Walter Cavinaw

617 posts

Walter Cavinaw

Walter Cavinaw

@wcavinaw

Katılım Şubat 2015
853 Takip Edilen195 Takipçiler
Walter Cavinaw retweetledi
Mathieu Savary
Mathieu Savary@SavaryMathieu·
Given the constant fog of war and the heavy propagandist lean of communiqués by both Iran and the US, this data series might be the only real dose of objectivity we have.
Juan Correa-Ossa@ElClutch

Flow through Hormuz is still a trickle (below is 7-day moving total which used to average over 800 pre-war). However direction of travel is positive for now and does show Iran might be more willing to earn a bounty from its hostage than kill it altogether

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OSINTtechnical
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical·
Hegseth: “The only thing prohibiting transit in [Hormuz] right now is Iran shooting at shipping.” “It is open for transit should Iran not do that”
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Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️
I don't consider myself a "trader", but I do often suggest to people that they start in crypto. Why? 1. True, honest, actual edge can be found/seen more easily, in my opinion. And once you actually see what edge looks like, it's hard to trick yourself into believing you've found it in other domains. 2. There's way more than one way to make money. You can do your classic trades (e.g. directional or cash and carry or funding arb), but you can also find weird ways to capture yield spreads between borrowing/lending sources, farm rewards on abandoned projects, or force DAO treasury unlocks via governance (a la corporate raiding). Hell, you can even be purposefully unprofitable in your trading if you think it'll maximize your airdrop on some platform. 3. For systematic folks, it's trivial to get plugged into a bunch of CEX or DEX APIs and start messing around. Want to try market making on some obscure, low volume token? You can do that.
Ryan Scott (Horse)@TheFlowHorse

No question. If someone asked me where to start. I would not say crypto.

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Eric Nuttall
Eric Nuttall@ericnuttall·
“We have begun the twilight of shale” (!!!) -Anonymous US oil CEO in Dallas Fed Survey #tab-questions" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">dallasfed.org/research/surve…
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Walter Cavinaw retweetledi
litquidity
litquidity@litcapital·
Nvidia investing $100B into OpenAI in order for OpenAI to buy more Nvidia chips
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Maxfield on Banks
Maxfield on Banks@MaxfieldOnBanks·
one of the best Jamie Dimon quotes…
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Boring_Business
Boring_Business@BoringBiz_·
Bill Ackman: "One thing I believe is that the private equity, venture capital and real estate portfolios are mismarked" Ackman on Harvard and Yale endowment's exposure to private equity and VC. One of the best clips I have seen From his recent interview at University of Austin
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Jason Hart
Jason Hart@jasonahart·
"Tell them to put America First instead of their spoiled, rotten children, your grace"
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The Long View
The Long View@HayekAndKeynes·
Multi-strat hedge fund returns for 2024
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Kuppy
Kuppy@hkuppy·
If you’re like me, you have friends who keep sending you these crazy kaleidoscopes of potential Alpha. Be a good friend, take a deep breath, then have an intervention… Friends don’t let friends trade the weather. It never works, and they end up burning stupid amounts of premium…
Ryan Maue@RyanMaue

Once the "polar vortex" onslaught starts January 3 ... keeps reloading for multiple Arctic blasts. I'm watching the weather model cycles and thinking "yikes"

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Ááron Sepúlveda-Cué
Ááron Sepúlveda-Cué@AaronSepulvedaC·
"I criticize Rawls... Based on his work, I have developed the idea of ​​the State as an insurance company, which is the model that—from an ANCAP perspective—we should be work on Hence my assessment of @BobMurphyEcon's Chaos Theory From my point of view, that is the key
Ááron Sepúlveda-Cué tweet media
Javier Milei@JMilei

@QHoguera Yo critico a Rawls... Y de hecho desde su trabajo he construído la idea del Estado como un seguro que es el modelo que desde la visión ANCAP debemos trabajar... De ahí mi valoración de la obra de Robert Murphy en "La teoría del caos"... Desde mi punto de vista ahí está la llave.

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Auron MacIntyre
Auron MacIntyre@AuronMacintyre·
This is why data-brain will kill your society "Fewer people die in terror attacks than car accidents every year so muslim immigrants stabbing a few kids in a park is no big deal" -style reasoning The correct number of immigrants lighting women on fire is zero
Nate Silver@NateSilver538

NYC has a considerably lower crime rate than most large American cities. It's also a city of 8+ million where lots of crazy shit happens on a daily basis. I don't blame anyone for being concerned but it's sort of a test for whether you think in terms of narratives or base rates.

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Jason James
Jason James@jasonjamesbnn·
This is one of the greatest speeches I've ever seen any politician deliver. And Poilievre's right. We're not relying on him because we want to. We're relying on him because he's our last hope for this country.
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Nick Dobos
Nick Dobos@NickADobos·
Just finished reading this batshit crazy book. 10/10. Unlike anything I have ever read. 100% recommended.
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kirk
kirk@OneTrueKirk·
I’ve now seen my first full DeFi rates cycle — we’re back to the kind of stablecoin rates I saw during DeFi summer and the pre-FTX collapse bull market Wondering if we will see fixed rates adoption grow as a result of this. Ofc borrowers won’t want to lock in the current rates, but with better tooling than last cycle, maybe more will become motivated to lock in rates once they drop
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Walter Cavinaw
Walter Cavinaw@wcavinaw·
Interesting story on how politics killed Libra.
David Marcus@davidmarcus

How Libra Was Killed. I never shared this publicly before, but since @pmarca opened the floodgates on @joerogan’s pod, it feels appropriate to shed more light on this. As a reminder, Libra (then Diem) was an advanced, high-performance, payments-centric blockchain paired with a stablecoin that we built with my team at @Meta. It would’ve solved global payments at scale. Prior to announcing the project, we spent months briefing key regulators in DC and abroad. We then announced the project in June 2019 alongside 28 companies. Two weeks later, I was called to testify in front of both the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee, which was the starting point of two years of nonstop work and changes to appease lawmakers and regulators. By spring of 2021 (yes they slow played us at every step), we had addressed every last possible regulatory concern across financial crime, money laundering, consumer protection, reserve management, buffers, and so much more, and we were ready to launch. We had worked on a slow rollout of a limited pilot that some members of the Fed’s Board of Governors were supportive of. At last, Chair Jay Powell was ready to let us move forward in a limited way. The story, as I heard it, is that Jay Powell was told by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at one of their biweekly meetings that allowing this project to move forward was “political suicide,” and she would not have his back if he let it happen. I wasn’t in the room when this conversation happened, so take these words with a grain of salt, but effectively this was the moment Libra was killed. Shortly thereafter, the Fed organized calls with all the participating banks, and the Fed’s general counsel read a prepared statement to each of them, saying: “We can’t stop you from moving forward and launching, but we are not comfortable with you doing so.” And just like that, it was over. One essential point is worth making here. There was no legal or regulatory angle left for the government or regulators to kill the project. It was 100% a political kill—one that was executed through intimidation of captive banking institutions. That was the hardest part of this story for me personally. Not that we had failed, but that America, this country I immigrated to and became a proud citizen of because of its rule of law and value system, behaved in such a way for political reasons. It was a very tough pill to swallow. The bright side of the story, though, was the many learnings from this wild ride. By the end of the project, we had made so many concessions to get a thumbs-up that the whole design of the network became a Frankenstein of our initial ambitions. We also learned the biggest lesson of all, which is that if you’re trying to build an open money grid for the world—eventually moving trillions of dollars a day, designed to be here 100 years from now—you have to build it on the most neutral, decentralized, unassailable network and asset, which, hands down, is Bitcoin. And now this is what many of us who went through this scarring journey are building together at @Lightspark. And this time, we won’t stop until we get it done!

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