@SeanRedsox @RafaelaEnjoyer He’s at least hitting the ball hard, and has elite bat speed. Not saying he’s great but story and durbin have less redeeming qualities on their savant page (I don’t care that durbin doesn’t strike out)
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Will Fosho
1.2K posts
Will Fosho
@willfosho07
18 | @celtics @redsox @patriots
New York, USA Katılım Haziran 2021
443 Takip Edilen37 Takipçiler
This season is entirely about CR3 platinum glove and allstar season and absolutely nothing else
The WARmonger@TheWARmonger_
Ceddanne isn't back, he never went anywhere. He'll be near the top 5 in outfield OAA when that is updated tomorrow morning. 35% initial catch probability on this ball. Jump was an outstanding 7.6 feet above average on this one.
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant You gotta stop using era as your end all be all. It’s literally such an outdated stat, and has so much to do with fielding, luck, ballpark, etc. obv Sanchez’s best season was last year, but don’t be foolish
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@willfosho07 @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant In 2024 his ERA was 3.3. If Paul had a season like that they’d say he fell off. Thats the difference here. Sanchez has one full season as an elite pitcher. Let’s see if he can replicate last year again.
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@SeanRedsox @RafaelaEnjoyer Duran has played pretty good defense and is elite on the bases.His hitting metrics (though still awful) are also a lot better than story and durbin rn. If any ppl needa be out of the lineup is story and durbin, but I bet with the current record they let them figure it out for now
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@RafaelaEnjoyer realest post ever dude. this team is actually done for if duran and story are allowed to play. atleast durbin can play defense
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant Also there is literally not a large gap even if you look at regular stats. Sanchez literally had amazing era, so%, volume, etc. he’s just not that big a name and he doesn’t throw that hard, so you seem to have made up this gap in your head. He’s been an elite pitcher for 3 ssns
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant I’m sorry your brain can’t handle the “mental gymnastics” of looking at a number on a screen. These stats were created to get a better sense of how good pitchers are
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@EdHand89 @BradleyGrinnen Well then ig Breslow didn’t put in samaniego
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@willfosho07 @BradleyGrinnen I was told Breslow only goes with analytics.
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@EdHand89 @BradleyGrinnen His analytics are not great. Hes gotten extremely lucky this season so I would have waited a good bit to put him in a spot like that
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@BradleyGrinnen Had allowed zero runs all season and Harper and Schwarber are both lefties. I get it.
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant His babip his first two years was 284 was 273. He’s getting luckier this year. His xera his first two years was also over 50 points higher in both seasons over his era. Stop waffling, he’s a great pitcher but certainly not a large, if any at all, gap between him and Sanchez
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@willfosho07 @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant Skenes has been doing this for 3 years. It’s sustainable at this point. The WHIP might not be but his ERA definitely is.
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant Well that’s an exact area where we can use fip to evaluate. Skenes has a babip of under 200 (completely unsustainable regardless of how much he prevents hard contact) while Sanchez has one of 360. Sure reducing hard contact is better at helping babip but not 160 points worth
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@willfosho07 @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant He simply allows more runners on base, twice as many to be exact. Paul has proven 3 years in a row his production isn’t a fluke. Without the Oneil misjudged fly balls he’d have an ERA of like 1. It’s ridiculous
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant His gb% is literally taking into account contact. Sanchez is not particularly as good as skenes at preventing hard contact, but with today’s mlb I’d rather have a pitcher that keeps the ball on the ground more than in the air. Especially if they strike out batters at similar rate
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@willfosho07 @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant None of the real stats agree with your sentiment, especially WHIP. You’re entitled to your opinion but if the only thing backing it up is an advanced stat that ignores contact and exit velo it’s not a good argument imo
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant That’s not really true at all, fip really just characterized run prevention while taking fielding out of the equation. Sanchez wasn’t a particularly great SO pitcher, but was elite at and maximizing ground balls (more so than skenes). Sanchez is better than skenes this season def
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@willfosho07 @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant I don’t like FIP as a stat because it doesn’t account for average exit velocity or the ability to keep balls out of the air. Skenes is consistently great at preventing hard contact and that’s negated by stats like fip. The results matter more than what fip can provide.
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@willfosho07 @Sox_Savant its been 9 starts. skenes will clear him in every stat by august
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@pelscoverage @NAT181978 @Sox_Savant Sanchez had a better xfip and a comparable xera last year. He also has a significantly better xfip this year
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@NAT181978 @willfosho07 @Sox_Savant xERA says he’s actually been a lucky pitcher, says his ERA should be 2.8 instead of what it is now. Paul’s is 1.8 for reference
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@DanBFox1287 29th in xwoba as a team and 18th in xfip as a team. Literally insane
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Was doing research for an article and some of these numbers for the Rays are actually insane:
They are overperforming their expected average by 12 points and slugging by 14 points, while their opponents are underperforming their expected average by 31 points and expected slug
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@spaceangler_ @Sox_Savant No but the mlb would love to market him as the “future best pitcher of all time”
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@willfosho07 @Sox_Savant Acting like Skenes pitches in NY or LA lmao
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@willfosho07 @matthewcrory @TheSizzle20 Dude as a Red Sox fan lemme know what you'd think about this
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I guess mock trade season started early this year!
This one was cooked up by Fansided’s @TheSizzle20 (Cody Williams)
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@B_Fahrer @tylermilliken_ honestly prolly 7. Literally only story has been a bad defender. Though its prolly 6 cuz roman won't play enough in the field to win a gg
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@tylermilliken_ There are legitimately anywhere from 2-5 legit GG contenders one this team, which is laughable for a team that will likely win 70-75 games.
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If Caleb Durbin can find a way to not get benched because of his bat, he could win a Gold Glove.
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@waddlehouse17 @JordanLeandre55 not true. Hes statistically one of the best framers in the mlb (something you claim he's not good at), has a great arm and is one of the best blockers in baseball. We're not in the 1960s where we don't have stats to measure this stuff. The "eye test" is literally pointless now.
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@willfosho07 @JordanLeandre55 Catcher might be the hardest position to analyze from purely a data standpoint. There are so many things behind the scenes that are not accounted for. So no
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Only relevant is his offense because the team as a whole isn't hitting.
This is all I care about from a catcher:
Yankees Prospect Watch@NYY_Prospects
Carlos Narvaez is off to a very rough start to 2026 after tapering off to end last year. Even after his best game of the season today, he has a .542 OPS in 14 games, losing time to Connor Wong. Yankees have to be feeling better and better about their trade for Elmer Rodriguez.
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