William Orchard

In case anyone forgot: Russia went to war in 2014 to prevent Ukraine from signing a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement with the EU.

Long shot but does anyone still need Airbnb for #ICML2025 ? I have booked everything to go but just got diagnosed with an acute disease that now I can't go 😭😭 since not going, the funding body might not reimburse the costs. high appreciate retweeting or contacting re Airbnb 🙏🏻

@PAHoyeck ...for our observations. When replaced by laws of gravitation, nothing of our observations changed in anyway, we observe epicycles in the same way we always have, but their explanatory power had vanished.

@PAHoyeck ...any "special" character. For example, that free will as a phenomenon is any different from the decisions made by a preprogrammed piece of computer software. That's all I am trying to illustrate with epicycles: when first proposed, they had special explanatory power...

Finally got around to writing my piece on free will and determinism! Are compatibilists just playing with words? Is their whole enterprise a coping mechanism to help assuage the torment of a deterministic worldview? Read on to find out! (link below)

@PAHoyeck I think incompatibilists often are saying something similar. They do not deny free will in the sense you describe. They are simply saying that free will can be reduced to causal determinism - as epicycles can be reduced to laws of gravitation. There isn't an "extra" thing on top.

@PAHoyeck Motion is relative, and a trajectory is simply the path traced by an object in motion. Relative to a stationary Earth, planets do travel on epicycles! The "illusion" follows from our theory of gravity explaining epicycles, but epicycles not explaining other gravitational motion.

Featured today by @MSKLibrary: A Dirichlet-multinomial mixed model for determining differential abundance of mutational signatures dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12859…

❤️‍🔥 Passionate about gene regulation research, wet/dry lab? 🎡 Excited about London's vibrant research and social scene? 🔬 Looking for a funded postdoc position (+ ideally, have the CV & drive to apply for a fellowship in your 1st year)? Please DM/email me to discuss!

@freganmitts @WhatsApp I realise you probably already know this, but this troy chap is surely a scam. Five (probable) bots all recommending him within minutes of you tweeting is fishy 🙃

Dear @WhatsApp, your app will not send me a verification code no matter what I do. I've enlisted no fewer than 3 IT professionals who cannot figure it out after weeks of trying. I just want to talk to family in Italy using your app! Why do u hate me? xoxo Megan

Small clip from of me talking about some work I did at @AmazonScience on Root Cause Analysis! I was really happy to have a chance to briefly chat to @AleksanderMolak about this! (and mercifully he's edited out my terrible rambling - so do please check it out!)

This is excellent and well worth reading for an informed opinion on the genetics of intelligence. Other kinds of opinion being abundant on this site.

@helenarambles Whenever I'm in Oxford I visit this painting. It's really special.

We will organize a "Causality for LLMs" Tutorial #NeurIPS2024 @NeurIPSConf. Happy to contribute to our community an intro of meaningful topics in Causal LLMs. And super excited for our panel w/ Yoshua, @bschoelkopf @LukeZettlemoyer @_jasonwei @Swarooprm7 @tom4everitt. Stay tuned!

@AleksanderMolak This is a hint for the real (Pearl) fans 👏

@predict_addict @SteffPy @lemmein4rds To tell you I'm not willing to debate? Reason enough I think. Hope that helps!

Pearl and his sycophants continue giving. The PhD student was blocked because he claimed that Granger causality is not causality which is quite rich when a second year PhD student makes such claims about Nobel prize winning econometrics. The causality field has a few sycophants who have no own thoughts but just chanting Pearl’s mantras. I have never seen any other field ljke that. #causality

@SteffPy @lemmein4rds @predict_addict My list was non-exhaustive. Very much has been written over decades on the philosophical questions posed by Pearlian models of causality. It's not simply a matter of "define it however you prefer", there are deep reasons to preferring it over Granger causality.

@SteffPy @lemmein4rds @predict_addict Honestly I am not willing to debate about it here on X. You write "true causality does not exist" as if its trivial what "true causality" is even meant to mean, and then spout off about "mistakes" in a wiki page as if you're the first person to think about it.