CrashBandicoot

@holy_moses7 He is the soldier

One of the most degenerate geopolitics traders is about to make(?) $700,000 on his bet that the Philippines and China would clash, all because a few soldiers bonked each other.

@Eltonma Bro did a Conor McGregor move

Had a fight with diao, I pushed her and I twisted my knee. She was not harmed.

@Maximilian_evm How many of them started as millionaires Bozo?

Hard to ignore: 168 traders on Polymarket have officially reached dollar-millionaire status, each clearing over $1,000,000 in net profit. This isn't just a trend anymore; it's a massive wealth generation machine for those with information edge.

@austiinxbt @TheGreekTrader It’s only considered insider trading when random dude makes 50K on Polymarket

@TheGreekTrader Bruh some straight bullshit How is this not clear insider trading & market manipulation??

Banks and big trading firms will be getting Trump's posts on Truth Social before anyone else. Life is unfair.

@capjack2000 @cheappropbets @astraffon

@cheappropbets @astraffon It’s not per individual flight, it’s % of flights at an airport. So someone would have to do something that grounded a large number of flights.

You can soon wager on airport delays at Kalshi. Hmmm.🤔

@ryanchern That’s bullshit. KO / TKO would have instantly jumped to 99 as soon as ref waived it off

Many people believe the McGregor fight was rigged. A prediction market's order book is a public record of what informed traders know and when they know it. As prediction markets become the most liquid venue to trade any event, they're also the most likely place for informed money to show up. During the one-minute match, there's no significant evidence that anybody was trading on this information. This isn't definitive proof that the fight was clean; only that if it was rigged, nobody traded on knowing it would end like this.

Atlas Apple Park Wallpapers 🗺️ basicappleguy.com/basicappleblog…

@bonzerbarry Right in the back door btw

@bonzerbarry Trump should target a Brokeback Mountain if he wants to make a meaningful impact

Trump: Pickaxe Mountain (an untouched nuclear facility believed to be more fortified than Isfahan) is a possible, you know, a possible target for a nice big fat shot right into the front door, and I think that uh maybe you'll see that, I'll tell em right now, look. The fact is that they have no air force, they have no navy...

@GollumGekko1 @mahdijasimg It implies that US won’t let them pass through if they pay Iran

@mahdijasimg Why would they pay the US 20% and still get shot at when they can pay the Iranians 1% and not get shot at?

The US will have difficulty opening up the Strait of Hormuz without repeating a cycle of regional escalation and temporary respite. But if some were discreetly paying Iran to guarantee passage, they’ll openly pay the US - specially as an American fee will likely be temporary.

@hey_itsmyturn You gotta be shitting me 🤡

POTUS: "The Hormuz Strait is OPEN, and will remain OPEN, with or without Iran. We are reinstating the THE IRANIAN BLOCKADE, so named because it is only stopping Iran’s ships or customers from entering or leaving. All other countries will have fair and open use of the Strait. The U.S.A. will be, from this point forward, known as “THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT,” but as such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped, for any and all costs necessary to do the job of providing safety and security to this very volatile section of the World. The process and formation will begin immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"

@RZimmt @BabakVahdad

Iran's pro-reform Shargh daily: The Trap of "Both War and Peace" Iran's remaining in a state of "neither war nor peace," or more accurately, "both war and peace," is a trap. Escaping this trap does not mean surrender, abandoning deterrence, or accepting any settlement at any cost. Nor does the solution lie in choosing between perpetual war and peace at any price. Iran needs a third path: combining effective deterrence with results-oriented diplomacy. Deterrence should prevent coercion and renewed attacks, while diplomacy should translate that strength into lasting political, economic, and strategic gains. This third path should be guided by clear and measurable objectives: preserving Iran's territorial integrity; consolidating its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz while ensuring the security of maritime navigation; preventing further attacks; achieving the gradual and tangible lifting of sanctions; resolving disputes surrounding the nuclear program; and restoring Iran to the global economic and political landscape. Iran's effective sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz will become a lasting national asset only if it does not deepen Iran's isolation or lead to the formation of a new coalition against it. Instead, within the framework of an agreed regional order, it should link Iran's security and sovereignty with the security of global commerce. Iran can move forward through limited but measurable steps: consolidating a verifiable ceasefire; establishing a communication channel for crisis management; ending attacks on critical infrastructure; reaching a gradual agreement on the nuclear issue; securing genuine and verifiable sanctions relief; and, ultimately, advancing toward a broader and more durable regional order. If the ceasefire does not open the way to a political solution, the mere passage of time will not necessarily strengthen Iran. Such a situation risks eroding the country's resources, keeping state institutions in a permanent state of emergency, limiting the central government's capacity to make decisions, and depriving the government, the economy, and society of the ability to plan for the long term. A government forced to devote a significant share of its resources to the constant management of crises will find it increasingly difficult to provide security, economic stability, and a clear vision for the future. Likewise, a society that cannot make long-term decisions regarding employment, investment, migration, education, or everyday life will gradually lose both its confidence and its willingness to support major national decisions. The ceasefire was essential to halting the war, but it is not Iran's final answer. It must become a pathway to preventing another attack, strengthening the authority of the central government, restoring state institutions to normal functioning, and reducing economic uncertainty. Iran needs a shared future with the world. It must not be allowed to remain trapped in a situation where the war has not truly ended, peace has not been achieved, the government continues to erode, and society loses its ability to imagine and build its future.

@MKhamenei_ir Right… Mojtaba is totally alive. He just can’t show up in public for a very legit reason

In an hour; Imam Sayyid Mojtaba Khamenei's important message following the  funeral and burial of the Leader of Truth-Seekers of the World, Martyr Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei #WeMustRise #MartyrKhamenei

@MEPPonPM @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Bro is cooking

ALPHA ALERT, 20x OPPORTUNITY ALERT: Trump has announced that the ceasefire is over. On the surface it sounds like more empty words from The man but theres way more to it than it seems. It is my understand that israel and the US have used the funerals in Iran to build a new database for the next decapitation strike. Once the mossad has you tagged,it doesnt matter if you go back to your bunker they can get you. From Iran perspective, the principal reason for signing the MOU was removing the military threat. By trump announcing the ceasefire is over, Qatar.turkey and pakistan cant vouch that the US that they wont order a new decapitation strike on the IRGC. The decapitation strike threat is genuinely back while the MOU is technically dead. Trump wants Iran to fully open the strait. The IRGC has a decision to make, either risk getting decapitated again in the next week or playing nice and reopening the strait to buy time. Fun fact is Iran can fully reopen the strait for 1 or 2 weeks (which would resolve the market to Y)and close it again after. it doesnt really cost them anything long term. With the latest development , I find those 2 markets extremely underpriced and next few days should be really interesting: Remember whos giving you all the insight on geopolitics here: market in comment.

@polyvaults_ai @itskkoma Traders

@itskkoma 67% fee hike plus lower rebates is a rough combo for sports traders. the edge just got a lot thinner huh

This is not great at all and tbh the odds you see are pretty on par with sportsbooks now The real edge is cashing out where Sportsbook lock

@Eltonma Sycophancy City in the comments per usual

Diao is probably the biggest mistake of my life.

@DextersSolab Are you one of those who made +2,000%?

I don't understand how all the smart traders were buying NO here. I mean you all had the footage with Ronaldo's tears. So why y'all decided to buy NO lol? At the same time, those who bought YES dip, made +2,000% PnL. Market: [polymarket.com/event/will-ron…] Weird.

@TheGreekTrader I could easily write much better market rules

People don't realize how hard, or even impossible, it is to write prediction market rules that cover every edge case. Polymarket, Kalshi and every prediction market platform struggles with this. In the Ronaldo World Cup crying market, some people argued that the "clearly shed tears" clause shouldn't exist because of yesterday's edge case. But if that clause was removed, it would create new edge cases that the rules don’t cover. No rulebook will ever cover every possible scenario. What prediction markets should do is issue clarifications quickly when an ambiguity is identified and be transparent about how the clarification decision was made.

@GollumGekko1 That’s why you should never hold to resolution

Polymarket team clarified that Ronaldo crying at the World Cup would count This was obviously a clarification to reality, HOWEVER It very much highlights how important writing good well though through rules is The rules here were essensially overturned, as they required a CLEARLY visible tear By clarifying this way they have changed the rules and rugged the people who read the rules If they clarified the other way, the people who bet on reality, that is that Ronaldo cried at the World Cup, the people betting on reality would have been rugged Either way sucks - The solution is to maybe account for what happens if he cries but without tears flowing? This has happened before and 5 extra minutes thinking about rules when creating the market could have prevented this

@clashreport It's just a prank

A 21-year-old woman died during a 40-meter rope jump in Limeira, Brazil, after organizers forgot to attach the safety rope.