Christopher Ho
1.4K posts

Christopher Ho
@wykchristopher
Selling option for a living. Long term investor. Allin TSLA since 2017.




Some thoughts I’ve been having recently: Could DeepSeek and Zhipu considering their own chips imply that China’s HBM self-sufficiency has already reached a certain level, or is at least on track to get there? Also, is the EDA moat already starting to collapse? OpenAI reportedly completed Jalapeño in just nine months using its own in-house AI chip design tools. Is it really plausible that Chinese labs don’t have something similar? In fact, there are claims that the chip design tools developed by Chinese labs may be even more practical in real-world use than OpenAI’s. The fact that OpenAI is specifically launching GPT-5.6 inference on Cerebras makes me think they may see more demand for ultra-fast inference than people realize. Jensen has described markets like Cerebras as niche, but OpenAI’s move seems to suggest otherwise. Broadcom is a great company, but I think Hock Tan may be downplaying MediaTek too aggressively. He says MediaTek’s TPU has been delayed, but wasn’t Broadcom’s own TPU also delayed in some areas? Amazon’s 20% GPU price increase is not because of memory. It is because of rising demand. I also have doubts about whether Broadcom can continue to defend its high margins. MediaTek’s TPU margin is around 35%, while Broadcom’s is around 65%. Broadcom may be able to maintain high margins for the first couple of years as it wins new customers like Anthropic, but won’t margins eventually trend lower as competition intensifies? Morgan Stanley updated its TPU / AMD GPU shipment estimates, but personally, I do not understand how MS is arriving at this scale for AMD GPU shipments. Morgan Stanley now models AMD shipping 2.4 million GPUs this year and 2.7 million next year.




@PradeepBonde I want Your take on the book the art and science of technical analysis by Adam Grimes. Thank You



Typically in a bull market you are safer buying the Daily 21 EMA pullback or reclaim than you are trying to short every pullback hoping for more than a mean reversion, like a correction (2026 Iran War) or bear market (2025 Tariffs) Let the market tell you things are different. Then you can adjust. Don't take my word for it. Go backtest trending markets yourself. Most of us aren't smarter than the 21 EMA. If you equal-sized each of these pullback/reclaims with SPY 30dte+ ATM/ITM options, you'd be a profitable trader. Your win rate would be 19/24 = 79%. And your winners would pay for your losers. Don't worry about being right about every move. Just focus on keeping things simple and manageable.

























