chaoscap

6.8K posts

chaoscap

chaoscap

@DigitalAssetAd_

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Присоединился Eylül 2024
1.4K Подписки311 Подписчики
Jesse Peltan
Jesse Peltan@JessePeltan·
I don’t think people realize how affordable Teslas have gotten. A new Model Y is $530/month. (72 months)
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Troy@troy_berglund

@JessePeltan @elonmusk Remember when oil megacorps price gouged people to wishing they had a Tesla? The problem is that people who cant afford $5 gas cant afford an $1000+ a month payment for 84 months🤷‍♂️

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Paul Chase
Paul Chase@PaulRChase·
Well, here are my thoughts... Firstly, I doubt that Trump has ever heard of Hegel or would have the slightest inkling of what 'dialectic' means. But the picture you present is essentially Trump's narrative - that NATO allies and others are free-riders on American hard power. But your analysis is ahistorical. You write as if America has no skin in the game - like they're doing the rest of us a big favour keeping the bad guys at bay. You don't mention the petrodollar system that replaced the Bretton-Woods Agreement that was repudiated by the 'Nixon-shock' in 1974. That new system was a deal between the US and Saudi Arabia, and then the other Gulf petrostates, whereby in return for American guarantees of security and investment these states would price and sell oil in US Dollars - and then recycle the Dollar surplus back into the US economy by buying US debt. It is this arrangement that has created an almost limitless demand for US loan notes and funded 50 years-worth of US budget deficits. Part of that US security guarantee was to keep the Hormuz Strait open so the oil exports could keep flowing. But in this present conflict America has failed to defend its Gulf allies from Iran's retaliatory strikes and now the Hormuz Strait is closed. This is a strategic catastrophe for the US - proving themselves to be unreliable allies to the very states that buy their debt. This could be the fulcrum on which the petrodollar system is undermined or even collapses and the Yuan becomes the currency for pricing oil. This isn't some Trump-genius Hegelian dialectic working its way through, it's a god-almighty cock-up by a President being manipulated by a Zionist Israeli leader. The tail wagging the dog nearly always leads to disaster.
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James E. Thorne
James E. Thorne@DrJStrategy·
Food for thought. Trump, Hormuz and the End of the Free Ride For half a century, Western strategists have known that the Strait of Hormuz is the acute point where energy, sea power and political will intersect. That knowledge is not in dispute. What is new in this war with Iran is that the United States, under Donald Trump, has chosen not to rush to “solve” the problem. In Hegelian terms, he is refusing an easy synthesis in order to force the underlying contradiction to the surface. The old thesis was simple: the US guarantees open sea lanes in the Gulf, and everyone else structures their economies and politics around that free insurance. Europe and the UK embraced ambitious green policies, ran down hard‑power capabilities and lectured Washington on multilateral virtue, secure in the assumption that American carriers would always appear off Hormuz. The political class behaved as if the American security guarantee were a law of nature, not a contingent choice. Their conduct today is closer to Chamberlain than Churchill: temporising, issuing statements, hoping the storm will pass without a fundamental reordering of their responsibilities. Trump’s antithesis is to withhold the automatic guarantee at the moment of maximum stress. Militarily, the US can break Iran’s residual ability to contest the Strait; that is not the binding constraint. The point is to delay that act. By allowing a closure or semi‑closure to bite, Trump ensures that the immediate pain is concentrated in exactly the jurisdictions that have most conspicuously free‑ridden on US power: the EU and the UK. Their industries, consumers and energy‑transition assumptions are exposed. In that context, his reported blunt message to European and British leaders, you need the oil out of the Strait more than we do; why don’t you go and take it? Is not a throwaway line. It is the verbalisation of the antithesis. It openly reverses the traditional presumption that America will carry the burden while its allies emote from the sidelines. In this dialectic, the prize is not simply the reopening of a chokepoint. The prize is a reordered system in which the United States effectively arbitrages and controls the global flow of oil. A world in which US‑aligned production in the Americas plus a discretionary capability to secure,or not secure, Hormuz places Washington at the centre of the hydrocarbon chessboard. For that strategic end, a rapid restoration of the old status quo would be counterproductive. A quick, surgical “fix” of Hormuz would short‑circuit the dialectic. If Trump rapidly crushed Iran’s remaining coastal capabilities, swept the mines and escorted tankers back through the Strait, Europe and the UK would heave a sigh of relief and return to business as usual: underfunded militaries, maximalist green posturing and performative disdain for US power, all underwritten by that same power. The contradiction between their dependence and their posture would remain latent. By declining to supply the synthesis on demand, and by explicitly telling London and Brussels to “go and take it” themselves, Trump forces a reckoning. European and British leaders must confront the fact that their energy systems, their industrial bases and their geopolitical sermons all rest on an American hard‑power foundation they neither finance nor politically respect. The longer the contradiction is allowed to unfold, the stronger the eventual synthesis can be: a new order in which access to secure flows, Hormuz, Venezuela and beyond, is explicitly conditional on real contributions, not assumed as a right. In that sense, the delay in “taking” the Strait, and the challenge issued to US allies to do it themselves, is not indecision. It is the negative moment Hegel insisted was necessary for history to move. Only by withholding the old guarantee, and by saying so out loud to those who depended on it, can Trump hope to end the free ride.
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chaoscap
chaoscap@DigitalAssetAd_·
Sure and that’s without looking at the carfax that probably has an accident or two you have not been buying cars in this price range there are no “deals” to be had all of these are problem childs. All the deals for actual reliable cars get scooped up by dealerships and marked up to $10k
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Dave
Dave@GamewithDave·
For those who used a computer between 1995 and 2001, what's the computer game from that time that sticks with you the most, and why?
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Pedro
Pedro@pedro_loula·
@BillAckman S&P 500 valuations remain sky-high, completely out of touch with reality.
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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman@BillAckman·
Some of the highest quality businesses in the world are trading at extremely cheap prices. Ignore the MSM. One of the most one-sided wars in history that will end well for the U.S. and the world. And we have the potential for a large peace dividend. One of the best times in a long time to buy quality. Ignore the bears.
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Ratty Bastard
Ratty Bastard@RatJuno·
@Chilis One of your waitresses gave me a strawberry lemonade after I ordered a watermelon one, which caused me to experience an allergic reaction. The cook also served us the steak we sent back because it was under cooked and had a hair in it. Nobody gaf
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A. Vane
A. Vane@andersvane·
@lamps_apple You don't need ships when you have "international law". What's so hard to understand? Having ships sailing about is an ecological nightmare. And very expensive!
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Apple Lamps
Apple Lamps@lamps_apple·
No wonder Secretary of War Pete Hegseth told Britain to keep its ass home 🤣🤣🤣 [LBC] How many frigates do we have in the fleet? [UK Defence Secretary John Healey] We have, we have, we have, we have, ah, we have, we have 17 frigates and destroyers. It's down from 23 at the end of the last Labour government. [LBC] Mr. Healey, if we've got a fleet of 17 in total, where are they all? [UK Defence Secretary John Healey] Well, every nation with every piece of its military kit has some, some, some in operation, some on deployment, some, some in states of readiness, some being repaired. We only have HMS Dragon in operation down there now. [LBC] Where are all the others? Are all the others being repaired in some way, shape or form? [UK Defence Secretary John Healey] Look, I'm proud of what we're able to do.
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
This is a good move, as retails investors are much more likely to hold on SpaceX stock after IPO, versus institutional investors who are given IPO share allocations and often use retail as a way to profit and dump. This will help minimize that, and it rewards loyal retail investors.
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Kalshi
Kalshi@Kalshi·
JUST IN: SpaceX IPO to reportedly reserve up to 30% for retail investors
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chaoscap
chaoscap@DigitalAssetAd_·
@stevenmarkryan Ya bro the 275x fwd P/E hasn’t priced that in!!
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stevenmarkryan
stevenmarkryan@stevenmarkryan·
A moment of silence for bro here who sold his $TSLA stock before Robotaxi, Optimus & Terafab reached scale:
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hemi
hemi@chellmut·
@siimland Sorry, but there’s hardly a worse muscle for this purpose than the calves—they’re among the most heavily influenced by individual genetics and overall body structure.
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Siim Land
Siim Land@siimland·
You better not skip leg day... Low calf circumference (<35 cm) independently predicts higher mortality risk in older adults, whereas high calf circumference (>38.5 cm) is associated with reduced mortality. Calf circumference is mainly used as a practical proxy for skeletal muscle mass. Graph: PMID: 40702088 Studies: PMID: 34648208; PMID: 36156674
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Philip Matthews
Philip Matthews@PhilMatthews58·
The only thing missing here is that Putin is running the show. The absolute main beneficiary is Putin. His control of Trump seems to be absolute. China should be worried. Both Russia and America could very well end up controlling the world's oil flows, it prices, its transportation and supply. You disobey Washington or Moscow, and the oil supply is cut off to your country until you have a change of mind. This will make Tariffs look like just a day out in the park. As China has no natural resources of its own, like oil, even water, it is dependant on other countries for it's energy needs. Soon it will be dependant on just Russia and America. China could have a massive problem in the future if Trump and Putin contine to go "unchecked". Both Trump and Putin would sell their own families to the highest bidder. They are friend to no one, allies only to themselves. India also has a big enough problem. Without the removal of Trump and Putin and their respective regimes, the only way forward is an immense investment in alternative energy sources: solar, wind, sea. To China's credit, they are doing exactly this. But will this be enough? The country that creates a free, clean and limitless energy source, such as fusion reactors, and frees themselves of the shackles of Oil, will be positioned the best. Meanwhile, I guess everyone will be racing to build dirty fission reactors, and nukes. Just to be safe.
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Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
The Most Obvious Thing Nobody Wants to Say Out Loud Months of watching the news, and it comes down to this: either everyone in Washington has suffered a simultaneous catastrophic brain injury, or something far more deliberate is going on. Let’s start with the sanctions. Trump has lifted them on Russia. Iran. Belarus. Three regimes that between them have shot down passenger aircraft, poisoned people in English cathedral cities, and run prison systems that make Alcatraz look like a Marriott. Those sanctions. Gone. Just like that. But Canada? Canada gets tariffs. Germany gets lectures. France gets ignored. NATO gets treated like an embarrassing uncle at Christmas. Are you seeing this? Marco Rubio flew to Budapest. To visit Viktor Orban – a man who has spent fifteen years methodically dismantling every court, every newspaper, and every independent institution his country ever had. And now JD Vance is making the same pilgrimage. These are not coincidences. You don’t fly to Budapest unless you really, really admire what Viktor Orban has built there. And what has he built? A state with no functioning opposition. A press that agrees with the government. A judiciary that does what it’s told. Sound familiar? Trump has never – not once – said a critical word about Putin. Not one. He has praised him. Repeatedly. Enthusiastically. Like a schoolboy who’s just discovered his favourite footballer. Meanwhile Zelensky – the man whose country is being shelled daily – got dragged into the Oval Office and humiliated on live television. This is not a foreign policy. This is a preference. Now here’s the bit that should make you put down your coffee. A united Europe – with NATO overhead, shared defence, shared intelligence, shared values – is the one thing the Trump regime cannot control. You can’t squeeze France and Germany and Poland simultaneously if they’re all holding hands. But break the chain? Isolate each country? Make them feel exposed and dependent and alone? Then you can deal with them one at a time. That is what is happening. Not tariffs. Not trade disputes. Not some philosophical disagreement about multilateralism. The goal – the actual goal – is to dismantle the umbrella so that every European country gets rained on individually. And here’s how you know the public has worked it out, even if the commentators haven’t. A recent poll asked people across Western democracies a straightforward question. Would you rather depend on China, or on the United States under Donald Trump? In Canada – America’s nearest neighbour, closest ally, sharer of the world’s longest undefended border – 57% chose China. Twenty-three percent chose the Trump regime. In Britain, 42% preferred Beijing. Germany, 40%. France, 34%. Citizens of countries that sent their sons to die on American-adjacent beaches in 1944 now trust the Chinese Communist Party more than they trust Washington. Read that sentence again. Slowly. And then there’s Iran. Three weeks ago the Trump regime lifted sanctions on Tehran. This week – with Israel bombing the city – American aircraft are joining in. The same regime that decided Iran was fine, actually, no problem, here are your sanctions back, is now at war with Iran. Because Netanyahu asked nicely. This is not strength. This is a regime so desperate for the approval of whoever is in the room that it will contradict itself within a fortnight and call it strategy. Maybe Trump didn’t lead America into this. He was pulled. By a smaller country with a very clear agenda and a very good read on exactly how malleable this particular president is. That is not a superpower. That is a sock puppet.
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Ricardo VarelaBarral
Ricardo VarelaBarral@ricky_varela·
@Microinteracti1 Basically, Europe doesn't depend on donations from the Jewish lobby in Washington, D.C., to win elections, nor on shady deals between Witkoff or his son-in-law with Putin. Because it would be politically devastating for their own governments to collect soldiers killed in this war
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chaoscap
chaoscap@DigitalAssetAd_·
@Microinteracti1 @ylecun China owns the media. “Orange man bad” “MAGA are fascist racist” are CCP psyops and you fell for them.
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Byron Bader
Byron Bader@ByronMBader·
Going to need a 30 for 30 on how baseball hats cost $60 in 2026. What's happening here?
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Will Schryver
Will Schryver@imetatronink·
🤦‍♂️ What an ignorant fool you are. Absent express permission from Iran, the US will never again sail a single warship into the Persian Gulf, nor will they ever again occupy bases in the Persian Gulf region. Over the course of just a few days, the US has suffered its most devastating strategic defeat of the post WW2-era. American global hegemony has been dealt a mortal blow. The petrodollar system will never recover its dominance.
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Will Schryver
Will Schryver@imetatronink·
🔥 Total Fire Control Any talk about "opening the Strait of Hormuz" via military means is complete nonsense. A ground invasion is out of the question. It is a physical impossibility. Warship escort is similarly impossible. Iran has total fire control over the entire strait.
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Live Monitor
Live Monitor@amlivemon·
200 pts on NQ is all they could muster? lol
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