Eben

1.3K posts

Eben

Eben

@EbenDuke

Присоединился Kasım 2025
36 Подписки8 Подписчики
Закреплённый твит
Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
Are you a current employee or ex-employee at a big AI firm? Worried about superintelligent AI? Consider starting an "International Association of Concerned AI Scientists". I think this might really move the needle on stopping the AI race.
Eben@EbenDuke

@So8res @Jambac311 Imagine an association of ex-employees from big AI firms such as OpenAI and Anthropic. Such an association could lobby world leaders in this way, begging them to shut things down. This association seems easier to achieve, and might have similar levels of clout/moral authority.

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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@dirtyharri27835 @ZippidyDae @RichardArion1 @alasky__ I'm a gentile. I advocate reduced US help for Israel / adding more conditions. Sorry bro, there are just a lot of white liberals in the world. x.com/EbenDuke/statu… x.com/EbenDuke/statu…
Eben@EbenDuke

@mattyglesias I'm working to brainstorm conditions. So far I've got: * Surrender wanted Israeli personnel to the ICC * Abandon illegal settlements What else should we ask for in exchange for our aid?

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꧁aleksa꧂
꧁aleksa꧂@alasky__·
Almost every woman over 30 I’ve spoken to in the past few years feels some version of the same thing: feminism has failed us somewhere along the way, and made men increasingly passive, hesitant, and unwilling to take initiative. How do we course-correct from here?
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Rob Cairns
Rob Cairns@RobCairns10·
@EbenDuke @Bratt_world @Gray_Mackenzie How optimistic of you. Trump is just the front man. The corruption runs deep. The Epstein class appears to be in charge. Who’s to say they won’t still be in charge after Trump is gone?
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Mackenzie Gray
Mackenzie Gray@Gray_Mackenzie·
Here are some of the details on what Canada had to give up to open the Gordie Howe Bridge, as per a Canadian government source. For the first 15 years, Canada gets 50% of toll profits and the other 50% goes into a regional "economic development fund." What that fund does and who runs, is not clear Under the previous agreement, Canada was to receive 100% of toll profit until they were made whole on the $6.4B they spent to build the bridge, which Michigan/the US contributed $0. The agreement also says it could be 50+ years before Canada was whole, that timeline is now longer. The Americans will have to agree if Canada wants to increase the bridge tolls by more than 10%, or lower them below compared regional averages. That clause helps out the owners of the Ambassador Bridge, the Maroun family, who have donated to the Trump administration and previously to US ambassador to Canada Pete Hoekstra, to try and stop the new bridge from opening #cdnpoli
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Eben ретвитнул
Daniel Kokotajlo
Daniel Kokotajlo@DKokotajlo·
In AI 2027, we predicted that AI would take over the world or irreversibly concentrate power. In AI 2040: Plan A, we've laid out our positive vision for what should happen instead.
Daniel Kokotajlo tweet media
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Michael A. Arouet
Michael A. Arouet@MichaelAArouet·
Europeans always say we pay higher taxes but are better off than Americans because of “free” healthcare. You are not, American households have higher net disposable income after healthcare spending. You pay absurd taxes and get a three-month wait for a specialist appointment.
Michael A. Arouet tweet media
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ZS
ZS@zszerosum·
@MichaelAArouet Correct. But it doesn't account for the curse of living in the land of the unfree. One major health crisis, one layoff, or one lawsuit, and you're on the streets. There's a reason we don't have Dave Ramsey in Europe.
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Michael A. Arouet
Michael A. Arouet@MichaelAArouet·
Europeans, unwilling to admit they are becoming poorer, argue that in the US only the super-rich are doing well, while Europeans are better off than Americans. Nope, Americans, excluding the top 1% and even the poorest 20%, are much better off than their European equivalents.
Michael A. Arouet tweet media
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@FreyaAndHerCats @btharris93 @aswren Out of 3 elections, Trump only won the popular vote once, by a thin margin. Current opinion polls show he's highly unpopular in the US.
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Ultra Freya
Ultra Freya@FreyaAndHerCats·
@btharris93 @aswren Oh honey. Do you Brits ever get tired of trying to speak for Americans? He won the electoral college and the popular vote. If I were you, I’d be more concerned about the muslim rapists freely roaming your streets than Americans 😂
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@Steve85817715 @ShadesOfBlueAn1 "Researchers found that the average computer science student in the U.S. ranked higher than about 80 percent of students tested in China, India and Russia, Loyalka said." ed.stanford.edu/news/computer-… You guys love to pretend not to understand the concept of nepotistic Indian hiring.
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SRI
SRI@Steve85817715·
@ShadesOfBlueAn1 RW DEI foks think those 170K high paid jobs should go to them by default even if they dont get picked, no amount of data is going to help them understand.
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ShadesOfBlueAndRed
ShadesOfBlueAndRed@ShadesOfBlueAn1·
🚨 Legal immigration flows & outrage levels Employment based immigration is the only one that has a labor market test (even though it nay be flawed). In general, those in this category earn much higher than other categories, pay taxes, contribute, are less dependent on welfare. Within this group, Indian origin are on top - highest incomes, lowest welfare, highest tax contributions etc. So the obviously all the anti-immigration outrage must be for the other immigration categories that depend on welfare, right?? Wrong!
ShadesOfBlueAndRed tweet media
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@ShantanuVashi10 @ShadesOfBlueAn1 Bro you're literally advocating socialism in your bio, don't give us a lecture about fiscal responsibility. Importing socialists like you is the worst possible idea for that.
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Sean Kumar
Sean Kumar@ShantanuVashi10·
@ShadesOfBlueAn1 The retards of MAGA do not get this: US is an aging country with tax payinh population smaller than welfare drawing. MAGA also are largest welfare recipients. For MAGA and older Americans to get benefits we have no choice but to import people and expand labor market
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Budman
Budman@TheTrueBudman·
@EbenDuke @RichardArion1 @alasky__ It actually does. Women used their 56% control of suffrage to turn gov into a wealth redistribution system. They treat men like shit because they can: they don't need men while married to gov. When that ends, you'll have to be nice to men. Men will ask out nice women.
Budman tweet media
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@mattyglesias We should re-orient Israel towards a focus on its Arab neighbors. If we are planning to wind down our involvement, Israel will have to coexist without big bad USA backing Israel up when it throws tantrums.
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@mattyglesias I'm working to brainstorm conditions. So far I've got: * Surrender wanted Israeli personnel to the ICC * Abandon illegal settlements What else should we ask for in exchange for our aid?
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Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
One clash of perspectives prevalent on the internet is that I think there's a widespread view that strident anti-Israel stances are a solid comprehensive proxy for sound values, whereas from my particular corner it is often (not always!) a proxy for hating Jews.
Matthew Yglesias tweet mediaMatthew Yglesias tweet mediaMatthew Yglesias tweet media
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@SashaGusevPosts I dunno if you can complain about a long sub-thread given that much of your online presence consists of going back and forth with these people.
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@SashaGusevPosts OK, so if it's not the current topic, the odds of it being brought up in any given comment are on the order of 0.05%?
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Sasha Gusev
Sasha Gusev@SashaGusevPosts·
Fun plot looking at a few top substacks with public comment sections and how many comments it takes until someone mentions race and IQ (across 200 sampled posts with >100 comments).
Sasha Gusev tweet media
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@Octarko @Annedroid22 If it was all some vast conspiracy to cuck men on a societal scale, why the big push for legal abortion, which cuts down on welfare-supported babies?
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@Octarko @Annedroid22 This is a little better, but our big problem now is low fertility, not single moms with babies supported by the welfare state. Economy is also going great btw.
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Annedroid
Annedroid@Annedroid22·
Feminism hasn’t failed. It’s accomplished exactly what it was intended to do. Solving this might actually be out of women’s control at this point. And I’d argue that it’s not necessarily, or at least strictly, women’s fault. You can’t blame women for female nature. Women aren’t the ones who gave women rights. It’s going to get a lot worse before enough women wake up to reality. I think we may have to surrender our rights, and unless the system itself changes, women aren’t going to do that because we have the state to fall back on. It hurts, and I don’t blame men for their hesitancy in committing to marriage. It’s like Russian roulette.
꧁aleksa꧂@alasky__

Almost every woman over 30 I’ve spoken to in the past few years feels some version of the same thing: feminism has failed us somewhere along the way, and made men increasingly passive, hesitant, and unwilling to take initiative. How do we course-correct from here?

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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@Annedroid22 If you aren't willing to accept the consequences of your own philosophy, what is that philosophy worth? You've failed to establish a compelling causal chain of how the steps in this supposed progression lead to one another. I suppose the Jews orchestrated it all, according to u?
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Annedroid
Annedroid@Annedroid22·
@EbenDuke Not a valid argument and it doesn’t invalidate point. But a fair observation, and you probably just reinforced why women don’t need sexual liberation. That said, a flattering pfp doesn’t make someone a grifter. I’m not profiting or soliciting anything.
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@Annedroid22 Sorry but railing against sexual liberation with that PFP is giving major grifter vibes. This is just conspiracy slop.
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Annedroid
Annedroid@Annedroid22·
I’m going to strongly disagree here. Women’s suffrage was pushed first for a reason. Of course things seemed fine for decades. Each subsequent wave hit a new generation of unsuspecting women, and this was imperative to complete the process. First give women the right to vote, then give their daughters and granddaughters an inferiority complex, dismantle the home, give them sexual liberation, push them into men’s work spaces, and give them legal protections. All of those required first that women could vote AND would be alienated enough from societal norms that they would be the ones advocating for the change. The final wave has served to marginalize white straight men and hit a generation of girls perfectly primed to respond positively to it. It had to happen in this order. Women gaining the right to vote was the foundation and without it none of this would be possible.
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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@GirlGurl26 @FemBias Many dudes don't care if the house is a complete mess. In that sense, housecleaning is a personal comfort issue for women, like gaming is for men.
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GirlGurl26
GirlGurl26@GirlGurl26·
@FemBias Gaming isn’t being done in service of others. Women’s unpaid labor is, some of the dumbest takes can be found online by people who think they’re enlightened
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Female Bias
Female Bias@FemBias·
Women have unilaterally decided that their personal comfort standards qualify as „unpaid work.” If subjective well-being is the criterion, men may apply the same logic. Since video games are a major contributor to male well-being, gaming is now recognized as unpaid work as well.
Jennifer Thomas@RadfemBeat

Working all day is what most stay at home moms do all day and into the night. But because it’s unpaid it is not called work. Men would never pay for the jobs women do at home and if they had to it would be cheap because what women do is not valued in the least especially if she doesn’t get a paycheck but even then her paycheck is degraded with insult and humility. Men are too selfish to ever make a set up work where they have to share and be fair. Maybe they can with men because they respect men for their size but no man can be fair and just with a woman. It will always be her capitulation to his entitlement and not worth giving your life for.

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Eben
Eben@EbenDuke·
@MT_6226 Loss-aversion is a standard result in behavioral econ. People care more about a drop in wages due to expanding labor supply, than a rise in wages due to an shrinking labor supply.
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MT
MT@MT_6226·
I'm not an economist, but I was always skeptical of the claim that "you can cut off labor supply to boost innovation" because the claim is only ever brought up when brown people are involved. It would be much easier politically to truncate labor supply by lowering the retirement age or changing policy to encourage/mandate lower working hours or more vacations. But this is never proposed. I think that's because this is not a rigorously studied position, it's an opportunistic claim brought up for purely nativist reasons.
steve hsu@hsu_steve

YAWN 🥱🙄🤥 Topics such as free trade and mass (low-skill) immigration are too complex and important to be left to social scientists. Anyone who aspires to epistemic rigor should study the record of "experts" on these issues, over timescales of decades. From the FT: ft.com/content/1b934a… Economists generally assume that a decline in available workers will mean stagnation and contraction and make the case for high levels of immigration on those grounds. Acemoglu and colleagues found the opposite: “In contrast to the prevailing wisdom, we find that lower birth rates so far have led to higher growth in GDP per worker across countries and higher wage growth across local labour markets in the US.” Their explanation? “The endogenous, labour-saving response of technology to the scarcity of younger workers.” Simply put, less available labour led to technological innovation and investment, leaving the economy intact and, by boosting productivity and wages, improving outcomes for workers.

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@dirtyharri27835 @ZippidyDae @RichardArion1 @alasky__ @RobCairns10 @Bratt_world @Gray_Mackenzie @TezMamTuKonto