ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
$BTC Pi Cycle Top Risk is still at low risk.
We have a lot of bull market left in the tank.
Blockchain Decodedn the ultimate crypto analytics platform for beginners and pros,
launching soon! 🚀
@BcDecoded
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K Du₿.
12.5K posts
K Du₿.
@Crypto_Kdub
Father & husband | Crypto & real estate investor | Backing crypto startups | AI explorer | Blockchain Decoded Co-founder
North America เข้าร่วม Ocak 2016
396 กำลังติดตาม746 ผู้ติดตาม
K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
The NFCI just printed multiple consecutive green dots, signaling financial conditions are loosening.
Historically, clusters like this have preceded major moves in risk assets.
Not a prediction. Just a pattern worth watching closely.
Soon you will be able to track it live on Blockchain Decoded. Beta Launch just days away!
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
JUST IN: Ship traffic resumes in the Strait of Hormuz after reopening today.
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So many charts and indicators are firing. Things look they are about to heat up.
Blockchain Decoded@BcDecodedX
The NFCI just printed multiple consecutive green dots, signaling financial conditions are loosening. Historically, clusters like this have preceded major moves in risk assets. Not a prediction. Just a pattern worth watching closely. Soon you will be able to track it live on Blockchain Decoded. Beta Launch just days away!
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@decodejar I agree. I was trying to steel man their argument, my point is that it still falls apart and we end up going higher, earlier than they believe.
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@Crypto_Kdub In macro terms there is zero in common with 2022, and nothing is ever the same, so it will break anyway imo.
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Rigid timeframes looking for a bottom in Q4 should want Bitcoin to run up from here before failing in overhead resistance, but...
It won't be long until the 200 wma is above the February 60k lows.
If the bottom is in, Bitcoin comes down to sweep the lows, or even makes a final low in line with the ever popular 2022 fractal, the bottom will be in during the first half of the year.
Thus, if Q4 is a down quarter at all, I think it would be a higher low, with everyone screaming new lows just like late 2023 as the market was setting up to explode higher.
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
Thought of this again while getting tax help from AI
It’s so odd to work hand-in-hand with someone you don’t have to motivate or apologize to for being difficult
Chris Painter@ChrisPainterYup
Easy to lose sight of: It’s absolutely incredible that you don’t have to put in effort motivating AI systems to complete tasks. Imagine waking someone up and asking them to help write performance reviews, immediately asking them to read dozens of previous documents you’ve written for style, content, quotes, etc. Imagine trying to hire a contractor to do this. It feels hard to describe the degree to which my affordances around this kind of task were previously shaped by having to motivate the person I’m “waking up”/contracting. Opens up totally new ways of working/delegating that I wouldn’t have considered before.
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
This. And there are about 15+ more indicators also showing that BTC is forming a bottom range right now.
Bitcoin Archive@BitcoinArchive
BITCOIN FUNDING RATES NEGATIVE FOR 46 STRAIGHT DAYS. The only other time this happened was the FTX bottom in 2022. Shorts are paying to stay bearish. Whales are accumulating. Saylor bought $1B last week. BlackRock added $935M in Q1. The setup is identical.
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Wow. This is a big deal. Allowing customers to buy/sell actually $BTC and crypto. Instead of just ETF which buy OTC. This will move the price. Real onchain volatility.
Bitcoin Magazine@BitcoinMagazine
BREAKING: $12 trillion Charles Schwab to launch direct Bitcoin trading — CNBC 🚀
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
Destroying the @InternetArchive's @WayBackMachine would be the equivalent of the burning of the Library of Alexandria - one of the worst losses of knowledge in history.
Media giants are now threatening to do this.
We can't let this happen.
Pass it on.
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
BITCOIN FUNDING RATES NEGATIVE FOR 46 STRAIGHT DAYS.
The only other time this happened was the FTX bottom in 2022.
Shorts are paying to stay bearish. Whales are accumulating. Saylor bought $1B last week. BlackRock added $935M in Q1. The setup is identical.
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
@jonstewart Big fan of your work Jon, for like 20 years.
But you could find better guests on this topic. More nuanced.
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
Bitcoin has ~21,000 public nodes right now (plus ~45k total estimated, many on Tor).
Neutralizing *any* number wouldn't render it worthless. New nodes spin up anywhere, instantly—permissionless by design. The network stays alive on the remaining ones via longest-chain rules, and miners (who secure it with energy/hashrate) can operate privately.
You'd need to shut down the global internet or kill incentives for it to truly fail. Not happening.
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lol. 2 dudes talking Bitcoin that obviously don't understand Bitcoin.
The argument collapses on its own logic.
You can't simultaneously claim Bitcoin was built by the CIA for clandestine "money laundering" AND for total transaction surveillance. Those are opposite design goals. Pick one bud.
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Haha it gets worse.
One observation that keeps ringing true:
If you are too blackpilled you come across as an idiot.
“Who invented blockchain technology bro?”
“Must be CIA”
No clue what he is talking about re Bitcoin but opens his mouth anyway. BORING
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Pay attention people. They are clearly telling us the game plan.
The next Fed regime will be lower for longer.
Lower than all the forecasts.
The incoming Fed will be looking for reasons to cut rather than looking for reasons to hold rates where they are.
Nick Timiraos@NickTimiraos
Bessent to WSJ's Paul Gigot: "The Fed has been wrong on inflation and the core inflation is coming down, but I understand if they want to wait until the data's clear, but that will mean that interest rates should come down a lot more."
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Run it hotter than a habanero.
Lawrence Lepard, "fix the money, fix the world"@LawrenceLepard
Told ya! The fix is in.
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K Du₿. รีทวีตแล้ว
Told ya! The fix is in.
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says interest rates will drop once Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair.
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@rektcapital Except for each of these prior examples we were in a complete polar opposite macro regime. We are currently closer to post covid set up.
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#BTC
Whenever Bitcoin breaks down from its Macro Triangles (black), price tends to retrace until it forms a Bear Market bottom over time
But the manner in which Bitcoin does this is different from cycle to cycle
In 2018 and 2022 for instance, the Macro Triangle breakdown led to very rapid Bearish Acceleration until the final Bear Market Bottom accumulation period
But what we are seeing now is more akin to the 2014 Macro Triangle, where price is consolidating beneath the Triangle base (orange)
If Bitcoin continues to mirror 2014 then price could still continue to consolidate a bit more but the base of its current Triangle (~$82500) would be the ceiling for Bitcoin
Furthermore, Bitcoin tends to build major consolidation periods on breakdowns from Macro Triangles (orange boxes)
In 2018 and 2022, these major consolidation periods developed at Bear Market bottoms
Whereas in 2014, Bitcoin built two such periods: just beneath the Macro Triangle it broke down from and then later at its respective Bear Market Bottom
If history repeats, this current consolidation period could precede additional Macro Downside over time and the next major consolidation period would develop around the Bear Market Bottom
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Rekt Capital@rektcapital
#BTC In 2021, Bitcoin generated almost +100% in the highest overextension beyond the Macro Descending Triangle base The smallest rebound before breakdown was however ~half of that highest rally (+39%), typical of a weakening support before complete lapse In this cycle, the highest rally beyond the Macro Descending Triangle base was +52% If history is to repeat with a relief rebound from current levels, it would likely be the smallest rebound before potential breakdown And that rally would be ~half of the highest rally (~20%) which would see price reject at the Macro Downtrend (black) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
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