RealHoagyCarmichael🦖

Crank science: "My unfalsifiable speculation beats your testable theories and empirical evidence."

@RightAngle1776 @AVGirl4Life Most violent assaults including sexual assaults are committed by religious and nonreligious authorities in positions of power. Domestic "mullahs" are no more or less dangerous than priests or cops. wdsu.com/article/new-or…

I don't support a war with Iran. That said, I support and trust the president. I'm sure he made this decision because he had no other choice. I wish we'd focus on the war here at home. We have millions of mullahs here in the US, and the problem is getting worse. I get geopolitically that we need to choke China and subdue Russia. I get the strategy, but still the MAGA in me says fuck the world, America first. So i understand both sides; its a healthy debate, a much needed one; we aren't leftist NPC's.

The MAGA base is fractured over Iran. My whole feed is filled with infighting. I’m opposed to war. I don’t want to see a boots on the ground war, but in this case all that happened was some very tactical targets and we took out a murdering POS dictator. What’s the problem?

@RightAngle1776 @mhdksafa They dead. The new group is less radical and much more reasonable. Can Trump end the war now? We good? x.com/BulwarkOnline/…

@mhdksafa It's glorious. D*ath to the mullahs.

@Akareyon If you and I agreed that the consensus explanations for 9/11 were "functionally sufficient" to explain all observations (tentatively closed) I would have no reason to raise the point again. Unless you contradicted yourself in the future with more unevidenced sophistry.

@RealHoagy Would it make you go away and never come back?

As was my duty.

@Akareyon Not your endeavour anymore? Do you finally admit that we can consider the consensus theory tentatively "functionally sufficient" since the Twins' collapse is robust within the evidential envelope? Your evidence remains weaker than your sophistry.

@RealHoagy Best of luck in your endeavour!

@RightAngle1776 You're an idiot, aren't you? You said "The overarching future goal is to take the suicidal mullahs out of action", but Trump says he already did that. "They're all dead. The new group is less radical and much more reasonable." So what's the point now? x.com/BulwarkOnline/…

You're an idiot, aren't you? I gave you the objectives the administration has told the public and how they've met them; and what I see as his main goal concerning China. You're asking a normal citizen what the next tactical move of the army is? Are you dumb? My view is macro: only the president and his men know what's next. They're definitely not blabbing about our next move so our enemies can prepare. It's a shame that people like you exist. It makes the human race that much more tragic.

@RightAngle1776 Second time: what are the plan and objectives for the next period of B-2 bombing? Where have they been "laid out already"? Can you summarize those plans, or do you just want me to trust that they are somewhere?

Ah, the leftist talking point "he has no plan" and "he's spending too much," from the side that surrendered to the fucking Taliban and left 85 billion in military equipment just up for grabs by our enemies. You shouldn't talk about costs at all. The plan is the objectives he laid out already, all of which have been met or are in the process of being met. The overarching future goal is to take the suicidal mullahs out of action, the main antagonist in the Middle East. With them off the board, you'll see peace in that region not seen in a while. But obviously this isn't just about Iran. The plan, you leftist twat, is to outmaneuver China. We've kicked them out of the western hemisphere: Panama Canal, countries canceling Belt and Road agreements, captured Maduro ending China's oil grab there. Cuba will fall soon, ending China's/Russia's ambitions for a foothold. Iran is a choke point, a proxy that can no longer act on behalf of the Chinese. Only a hate-filled POS leftist couldn't look at the masterclass Trump's team has implemented. Not to mention trade rebalancing, wars ended, illegals being kicked out. We are no longer on a path of managed decline. Whether you like it or not, after our bones are dust, Trump's name will still be spoken of a thousand years from now. What he's done is remarkable.

@Akareyon I'm trying to determine what caused the deaths of 2,753 people in Manhattan and initiated a "war on terror" costing $10 trillion and 4.6 million lives around the world. I assume the truth is your primary interest as well.

@RealHoagy Will you go away and never come back if I say I agree?

@Melbana222 @micyoung75 This week on "Left, Right, and Center" the "Right" side admitted (unprompted) that if Russia had kompromat on Trump and was serving Putin to protect himself he wouldn't be doing anything differently than what he's been doing for a while.

@micyoung75 Trump’s war with Iran helped Russia 🇷🇺 undermining Ukraine’s defence and Europe’s assistance to Ukraine. Suddenly Europe, with no consultation by the US, is facing fighting two wars; one close to home and the other in the Middle East.

Applebaum's piece is worth reading slowly because the specific details are doing work that the summary can't. Danish military commanders - inside a NATO alliance the United States founded - had to sit in a room and war-game whether their forces would shoot down American planes and kill American soldiers. Some of them still haven't fully recovered from running that exercise. The most popular app in Denmark during Applebaum's visit was one that identifies American products so users know not to buy them. NATO has invoked Article 5 exactly once in its history. On behalf of the United States. After September 11th. Allied troops went to Afghanistan and some of them died there. Trump told reporters those allies "stayed a little back, a little off the front lines." The families of soldiers who didn't come back heard that. Now Trump is in the middle of a war in the Persian Gulf with the Strait of Hormuz locked, oil prices spiking, and he's telling NATO allies - the same ones he insulted and tariffed and threatened - that he's "demanding" they come help solve a problem his own decisions helped create. Applebaum's conclusion is precise: he doesn't connect what he does on one day to what happens weeks later. Allied leaders have drawn their conclusions. The rupture, as Mark Carney called it, isn't coming. It already happened.

@Akareyon I'm asking if you agree. According to your criteria, because the current model pretty much explains everything, and new inquiry isn't turning up much new, we can basically say this is the answer for now. Right?

@RealHoagy If you say so 👍

@Akareyon Oh Akareyon. All of these are explained by the consensus theory. Some have been directly explained to you, by me. x.com/RealHoagy/stat…

@RealHoagy Oh Hoagy

The history of science shows that premature epistemic closure (accepting a plausible narrative as a proven mechanism) is a profound error. It stifles inquiry and leaves foundational questions unanswered. [DeepSeek] #AIfor911truth

@Akareyon Apologies, you said "specific point". The explanation is functionally sufficient. Few anomalous data points. Further inquiry yielding diminishing returns. Progressive collapse theory is more or less at that point, right?

@RealHoagy > at some point

@Akareyon I liked this part. Nothing is ever "closed", but at some point the explanation is functionally sufficient enough that skeptics need to provide a superior model.

@RealHoagy Thanks, glad you like it! 👍

@Akareyon Explain. What observations are inconsistent with progressive collapse?

@RealHoagy yes

@Akareyon @Goatboy__ @jtimsuggs Impact shock delivers 20 seconds of momentum in a fraction of a second, until one or both of the star destroyers fail.

@Goatboy__ @jtimsuggs Star Detroyers are made of Anti-Newtonian Solid which exhibits directional strain-rate softening. Notice how the smaller contact area HH <=> SD resulted in a small dent, but the greater collision contact SD <=> SD area cuts like a well-sharpened knife, with little KE dissipation!

This moment when a Hammerhead Corvette rams into one Star Destroyer, making it crash into another, and destroying the Shield Gate above Scarif at the end of Rogue One. Never even considered that this was a possibility, so it’s safe to say my mind was blown when I first watched this happen on opening night back in 2016.

@Akareyon You explained the Newtonian mechanics yourself. x.com/Akareyon/statu…

Grok has taken a real liking to the Anti-Newtonian Solid :] x.com/i/grok/share/3…

@liliceberg1of1 @AngelicRawrx @One_Supernova @albrecht_bob @JeriTsaiNets @TizzyEnt Mike Tyson and Harry Styles are equally male, sex, binary. They're not equal men, gender, spectrum. Mike Tyson is more masculine than Harry Styles. Harry can't choose to "be male". Harry could "be more of man" and is choosing not to. Seems different.

@liliceberg1of1 @AngelicRawrx @One_Supernova @albrecht_bob @JeriTsaiNets @TizzyEnt Let's consider these effects. If your friend is worried about a difficult challenge and you tell him to "be a man" you're not asking him to grow a penis. You're asking him to behave differently. He can't become "more male" but he can act like "more of a man". Seems different.

Being a Christian wasn't the conduct, being hateful repeatedly was. Stop using Christ as your safety blanket for being an asshole

@liliceberg1of1 @AngelicRawrx @One_Supernova @albrecht_bob @JeriTsaiNets @TizzyEnt But you'd give violent convicted predators access to private spaces with boys, and common spaces where they can victimize boys and girls? Your ideological obsession seems deeply misplaced. x.com/antifaoperativ…

@RealHoagy @AngelicRawrx @One_Supernova @albrecht_bob @JeriTsaiNets @TizzyEnt Certainly wouldn’t give these men access to women’s private spaces like Fairfax county felt they needed to with Richard Cox

@liliceberg1of1 @AngelicRawrx @One_Supernova @albrecht_bob @JeriTsaiNets @TizzyEnt I'm attacking violent predatory offenders, including Richard Cox, because they are likely to commit more crimes against vulnerable people. You seem be happy to exercise with violent predators like Robert New as long as they're not confused about their gender.

@RealHoagy @AngelicRawrx @One_Supernova @albrecht_bob @JeriTsaiNets @TizzyEnt This doesn’t read like attacking Richard Cox