Smirkley

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Smirkley

Smirkley

@Smirkley

Politics + data + charts + randomness 📉 + nonsense

เข้าร่วม Eylül 2023
3.2K กำลังติดตาม14.3K ผู้ติดตาม
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Brian Thompson was the Minister of Health in Canada, apparently. How else could Hasan and Luigi explain this?
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@YouAreWrongOk I decided to look it up. The garment industry made up about 46% of NYC’s entire industrial labor force in 1910 and produced 70% of women’s clothing for the US. Now only 2% of clothing purchased is US made.
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YouAreWrong
YouAreWrong@YouAreWrongOk·
@Smirkley in 1990 my grandmother worked in a factor in Queens making sweaters. That wasn't that long ago. Don't let them gaslight you into thinking those jobs can't come back.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Since 2008, NYC lost 45.8% of its manufacturing jobs but gained 82.5% more health care and social assistance jobs.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Name change. I’ve switched to just @Smirkley I’m going to turn off most notifications for my sanity. That is all.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
1% of the NYC jobs are in manufacturing and nearly 21% in health.
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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
I simulated 100,000 people to show how often people are "thrice-exceptional": Smart, stable, and exceptionally hard-working. I've highlighted these people in red in this chart:
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Smirkley รีทวีตแล้ว
Martin Lowe
Martin Lowe@NormalDenizen·
And here’s the problem with modern statistical science in education. I bet half the replies go «yeah but how representative is that sample?». Good point! Probably higher SES than the other group, probably by quite a lot. Confounders everywhere. Better question though, is «how can we find the true numbers?», and the answer is you can’t. I mean you could, but then you’d have to get past the ethics board with a random cohort of kids not going to school. Good luck with that. There will never be good research on this until people warm up to the idea that school isn’t what it’s cracked up to be, and if we do get there, we probably won’t need numbers? In other words, the idea that schools are great is shielded from criticism.
Smirkley@Smirkley

Only teachers are smart enough to educate children. Education majors, training to become certified teachers, score an average of 1029 on the SAT. While homeschooled students (taught by parents with no formal teaching credentials) score 1190.

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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@jflory204 The insurance companies, with low profit margins, must make tough decisions about scarce medical resources, just as single-payer systems like Canada’s do. Hasan and Luigi are children.
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John Flory
John Flory@jflory204·
@charliesmirkley They would rather no one gets treatment than admit socialism doesn’t work
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Brian Thompson was the Minister of Health in Canada, apparently. How else could Hasan and Luigi explain this?
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@jimoxe @BringBack_Chief @sourpatchlyds Moving a student from an average teacher to a top-tier teacher results in a gain of 0.15 to 0.25 standard deviations in test scores. That fades within 1-4 years. Teacher Training, Teacher Quality and Student Achievement
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Only teachers are smart enough to educate children. Education majors, training to become certified teachers, score an average of 1029 on the SAT. While homeschooled students (taught by parents with no formal teaching credentials) score 1190.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@GuyCooldude42 I do have infinite universes where I can make that happen,
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guy jean
guy jean@GuyCooldude42·
@charliesmirkley There's so much difference between public school and homeschool, apples to oranges and incomparable unless you try to control for A LOT of confounding factors. Take the same homeschool parent and child put them to teach and learn in a public school and see how they fare.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@LARVAMOLT 25% of homeschooled kids take the ACT or SATs.
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ʟᴀʀᴠᴀᴍᴏʟᴛ
@charliesmirkley Yes - they do have higher scores because of selection bias. As I said previously, 999/1000 homeschooled kids live like Genie the feral girl with no education. 1/1000 of these kids is actually given private tutors and an above-average private education - that kid takes the SAT.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Not all women are under 5’10”. So I win. 80% of elementary teachers are education majors. Even 45% of high school teachers. 52% of homeschooling mothers and 48% of fathers hold a bachelor’s degree or higher (NHERI). 45% of younger Black women hold at least a bachelor’s degree. I can only assume their kids have amazing SAT scores.
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Jesse Norwalt
Jesse Norwalt@jesse_norwalt·
@charliesmirkley This assumes a couple things that aren’t true, first that teachers all have education degrees, they don’t. Many science and math teachers have backgrounds in stem especially at junior high and high school levels. Also only 60% of parents who homeschool have bachelors or higher
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@jaradkoby the population-level fact does not rescue the argument when the data matches people on education. You’re comparing similarly educated subgroups. I have no idea what your second point means.
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Jarad Kobuszewski
Jarad Kobuszewski@jaradkoby·
@charliesmirkley For example, Conservatives are less likely to hold degrees. This could explain the gap widening. What doesn't change with education is religious beliefs which are much more likely to inform psychological beliefs than education, especially if all you take is gen psych
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Jarad Kobuszewski
Jarad Kobuszewski@jaradkoby·
Since I'm already on their page, one last point on bad stats They say the stats presented (5 graphs) do not represent a "refusal to seek help" even though it explicitly does. Christians are far less likely to seek diagnoses. Why? Because they believe God will get them through it
Smirkley@Smirkley

What closes the ideology-mental health gap?🧵 Education actually doubles the gap. Thus the gap isn’t caused by uneducated conservatives refusing to seek help. 1/5

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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@jaradkoby Again, they are seperate and you have no idea what the word “objectively” means. You have a pet theory and don’t bother to provide evidence for it. Your second post doesn’t because I partially controlled for this and the correlation for non-attenders is as strong or stronger.
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Jarad Kobuszewski
Jarad Kobuszewski@jaradkoby·
@charliesmirkley It is if the interpretation is bad/objectively wrong. I also touched on that in my second post in the thread
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
@nandtpolitics That is one route. Maryland only requires a bachelor’s degree (not specific in the subject) plus certification. Obviously, having the degree is the easy way to do it.
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Conservative Maryland
Conservative Maryland@nandtpolitics·
@charliesmirkley Why just make shit up? Maryland's certification requires a major in the field you are teaching for high school. This is true for the majority of states. Fucking retard clown.
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Guys, 90% of you just aren’t smart enough to be teachers!
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Smirkley
Smirkley@Smirkley·
Do you think people randomly check boxes? If not, next argument. Education majors improve through attrition but stay mediocre. See LSAT scores. 1 Physics/Math 160.0 2 Economics 157.4 3 Philosophy/Theology 157.4 4 International Relations 156.5 5 Engineering 156.2 6 Government /Service 156.1 7 Chemistry 156.1 8 History 155.9 9 Interdisciplinary Studies 155.5 10 Foreign Languages 155.3 11 English 155.2 12 Biology/Natural Sciences 154.8 13 Arts 154.2 14 Computer Science 154.0 15 Finance 153.4 16 Political Science 153.1 17 Psychology 152.5 18 Liberal Arts 152.4 19 Anthropology/Geography 152.2 20 Accounting 151.7 21 Journalism 151.5 22 Sociology/Social Work 151.2 23 Marketing 150.8 24 Business Management 149.7 25 Education 149.4 Ed majors are more than one SD behind math majors. The class of homeschoolers who took the SAT at 17 will also improve through attrition before they graduate, so this argument doesn’t do anything,
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TheKidsAreNotAllRight
TheKidsAreNotAllRight@MsVeteranTeach·
@charliesmirkley The data you link is taken from what 17 year olds say they *intend to major in, when/if they go to college*. The ones who check “education major” average 1029. I hope you can see how the data doesn’t show what you claim it shows/
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