𝕃𝕆ℕ𝕆
20.5K posts

𝕃𝕆ℕ𝕆
@WayofLono
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Bret Stephens: "If past generations could see how well this war has gone compared with the ones they were compelled to fight at a frightening cost, they would marvel at their posterity’s comparative good fortune. They would marvel, too, at our inability to appreciate the advantages we now possess" nytimes.com/2026/03/24/opi…



Trump on Iran: We really had regime change. This is a change in the regime because the leaders are all different. I think we can say this is regime change.







BREAKING: Just five minutes before Trump's announcement to halt the attacks on Iran, massive trades reportedly hit the market. In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains. Unusual.







Here's the question that haunts me as someone who helped create this category: if you built a prediction market on deaths of despair conditional on Kalshi and Polymarket scaling sports betting without guardrails — what would it say? That's the kind of question these tools were actually designed to answer.











