S&J Investments@SJCapitalInvest
The Asymmetric Screener: $PL (Planet Labs)
This is where the math gets violent in the best way possible. You do not want promises; you want cash conversion.
• The Print: In their most recent Q3 FY26 print, revenue hit $81.3 million, representing a 33% year-over-year growth rate. They subsequently raised their full-year guidance to roughly $300 million.
• The Backlog: This is the most critical metric for the revenue ramp. A pipeline is just a list of hopes, but a backlog is contracted cash. Planet's backlog just exploded by 216% year-over-year to $734 million. They currently have nearly $2.50 in backlog for every single dollar of annual revenue, with the majority expected to convert within 24 months. The revenue visibility here is absolute steel.
🔹Leg 2: Undervalued & The Margins (The Floor) - PASS🔹
When we ran $SATL, we used $PL as the gold-standard comp because it was historically trading at a heavily compressed 2x to 3x EV/Sales multiple.
• The Re-rate: Because the market woke up to this exact math, the stock has recently gone on a massive run (gapping up nearly 20% on their last earnings beat alone). But even with the recent institutional buying pushing the multiple up, the floor is still completely protected by the sheer volume of their cash generation.
• The Margins: This is where their vertical integration moat shines. Their non-GAAP gross margin in Q3 was a massive 60%. Because they build their own satellite buses in-house rather than outsourcing, their margins look closer to an enterprise software company than a heavy aerospace manufacturer.
🔹Leg 3: Hot Sector - PASS🔹
As you noted, the table is blazing hot.
The "EBITDA Turn"
This is the crown jewel of the thesis. You hunt for companies right on the verge of the EBITDA turn to catch the institutional wave.
• The Reality: Planet Labs hasn't just made the turn; they have established a new baseline. They just posted their fourth consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA ($5.6 million profit).
• The Cash Flow: More importantly, they generated $114 million in net cash from operating activities year-to-date. They are not burning cash to survive or dilute shareholders; they are self-funding their own constellation upgrades. The institutional compliance green light is fully on, which is exactly why the volume bars on their chart have been towering recently.
The Comps Breakdown
When you stack $PL against the rest of the sector, the separation in quality is glaring:
• The Leader ($PL): ~$300M forward revenue, 60% gross margins, positive EBITDA, $734M backlog. They own the table.
• The Little Brother ( $BKSY - BlackSky): This is the only other legitimate, investable player in the pure-play EO space. They are also executing well and recently inflected to positive EBITDA, but they are operating at a much smaller scale (roughly $100M in revenue). They trade at a very reasonable 1x to 2x EV/Sales multiple and have a great niche in low-latency AI imaging, but they do not have the sheer orbital capacity or margin profile of Planet.
• The Fraud ( $SATL - Satellogic): As we covered, generating ~$14M in revenue while shrinking sequentially, burning cash, sporting negative equity, and trading at a delusional 32x multiple engineered by a reverse split.
❗️The Verdict❗️
Planet Labs is no longer a speculative turnaround play; it is a verified, cash-printing utility for the global defense and intelligence sectors. The multiple expansion you look for in your framework is actively happening right now because the algorithmic models finally have clean, GAAP-profitable data to digest.