bread

268 posts

bread

bread

@bread10k

in the trenches with deep tech/bio, AI/ML, and swing trading

เข้าร่วม Ağustos 2021
283 กำลังติดตาม49 ผู้ติดตาม
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I may have outperformed the index just a tiny bit? It’s as simple as riding the Photonics and Memory Supercycles from $AXTI to $SNDK. Just doing this for fun now.
Serenity tweet media
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Axos
Axos@Axoszs·
$PL Did a little gamble. Crazy volume into earnings, stock has held strong despite weak markets and has consistently moved higher after beating earnings.
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bread
bread@bread10k·
@stockmindsweb Cuz the war is super overblown and will end asap, biggest bull market ever approaching
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bread
bread@bread10k·
@SJCapitalInvest Thoughts on $PRE? Similar setups but EBITDA positive is a bit far out. Crazy revenue growth though
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S&J Investments
S&J Investments@SJCapitalInvest·
$PL +22% on earnings beat AH I trained Gemini to run my Asymmetric framework. I instructed it where to pull accurate data and what signals I use to determine what to buy. It spit this out. I bought it. I made money. AI won’t take your job. Someone better at using AI will.
S&J Investments tweet media
S&J Investments@SJCapitalInvest

The Asymmetric Screener: $PL (Planet Labs) This is where the math gets violent in the best way possible. You do not want promises; you want cash conversion. • The Print: In their most recent Q3 FY26 print, revenue hit $81.3 million, representing a 33% year-over-year growth rate. They subsequently raised their full-year guidance to roughly $300 million. • The Backlog: This is the most critical metric for the revenue ramp. A pipeline is just a list of hopes, but a backlog is contracted cash. Planet's backlog just exploded by 216% year-over-year to $734 million. They currently have nearly $2.50 in backlog for every single dollar of annual revenue, with the majority expected to convert within 24 months. The revenue visibility here is absolute steel. 🔹Leg 2: Undervalued & The Margins (The Floor) - PASS🔹 When we ran $SATL, we used $PL as the gold-standard comp because it was historically trading at a heavily compressed 2x to 3x EV/Sales multiple. • The Re-rate: Because the market woke up to this exact math, the stock has recently gone on a massive run (gapping up nearly 20% on their last earnings beat alone). But even with the recent institutional buying pushing the multiple up, the floor is still completely protected by the sheer volume of their cash generation. • The Margins: This is where their vertical integration moat shines. Their non-GAAP gross margin in Q3 was a massive 60%. Because they build their own satellite buses in-house rather than outsourcing, their margins look closer to an enterprise software company than a heavy aerospace manufacturer. 🔹Leg 3: Hot Sector - PASS🔹 As you noted, the table is blazing hot. The "EBITDA Turn" This is the crown jewel of the thesis. You hunt for companies right on the verge of the EBITDA turn to catch the institutional wave. • The Reality: Planet Labs hasn't just made the turn; they have established a new baseline. They just posted their fourth consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA ($5.6 million profit). • The Cash Flow: More importantly, they generated $114 million in net cash from operating activities year-to-date. They are not burning cash to survive or dilute shareholders; they are self-funding their own constellation upgrades. The institutional compliance green light is fully on, which is exactly why the volume bars on their chart have been towering recently. The Comps Breakdown When you stack $PL against the rest of the sector, the separation in quality is glaring: • The Leader ($PL): ~$300M forward revenue, 60% gross margins, positive EBITDA, $734M backlog. They own the table. • The Little Brother ( $BKSY - BlackSky): This is the only other legitimate, investable player in the pure-play EO space. They are also executing well and recently inflected to positive EBITDA, but they are operating at a much smaller scale (roughly $100M in revenue). They trade at a very reasonable 1x to 2x EV/Sales multiple and have a great niche in low-latency AI imaging, but they do not have the sheer orbital capacity or margin profile of Planet. • The Fraud ( $SATL - Satellogic): As we covered, generating ~$14M in revenue while shrinking sequentially, burning cash, sporting negative equity, and trading at a delusional 32x multiple engineered by a reverse split. ❗️The Verdict❗️ Planet Labs is no longer a speculative turnaround play; it is a verified, cash-printing utility for the global defense and intelligence sectors. The multiple expansion you look for in your framework is actively happening right now because the algorithmic models finally have clean, GAAP-profitable data to digest.

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bread
bread@bread10k·
@drewfallon12 my wife and her friends still use and enjoy their bikes fwiw, too bad they run the company like a shitco
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Drew Fallon
Drew Fallon@drewfallon12·
fitting that peloton founder started a rug brand
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bread
bread@bread10k·
@maxxyung11 Oh baby ill be rich with my $32 leap call if this happens
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Maxx Yung
Maxx Yung@maxxyung11·
just want to put it here right now that i think openai will acquire ginkgo within 8 months
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bread
bread@bread10k·
@biogerontology Majority of ppl aren’t even thinking about the next hour let alone death… solve facial aging and you’ll be a 500bn company though
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bread@bread10k·
@danielfoch Most of em are shitty fintech startups
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Dabs🩸
Dabs🩸@DabsMalone·
Python is amazing until you get into robotics and realize everything important is written in C++.
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bread
bread@bread10k·
@twtayaan Eks auto + argo cd + helm and its easy af. Skill issue
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Ayaan 🐧
Ayaan 🐧@twtayaan·
DevOps engineers turning a simple app into a Kubernetes cluster.
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Claude
Claude@claudeai·
1 million context window: Now generally available for Claude Opus 4.6 and Claude Sonnet 4.6.
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Boris Johnson
Boris Johnson@BorisJohnson·
I've long suspected Bitcoin is a giant Ponzi scheme and now I'm hearing tales of woe that make me fear I'm right. mol.im/a/15643681
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bread
bread@bread10k·
@chiptomunk If you know how the chart moves why not make bank
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chip 🍪
chip 🍪@chiptomunk·
Small, short term hedge. Go ahead and hate. DGAF.
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CASEY
CASEY@caseykcaruso·
we love the AI scientific discovery category i really believe llms are going to make insane future scientific discoveries last yr ppl still wondered if llms were stupid next token predictors. glad we are over that. dm me or @hunterharloff if you're building in the space
Sina@SinaHartung

this VC firm literally mapped out the entire AI space and no one is talking about it 🤯 huge alpha here for anyone looking to get into the space or understand the current sota of tech IMO

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Ashrith Sathu
Ashrith Sathu@sathuashrith·
@garrytan best use case of MCP I have seen is to connect your database to query data in realtime for your agents ( read only )
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Garry Tan
Garry Tan@garrytan·
MCP sucks honestly It eats too much context window and you have to toggle it on and off and the auth sucks I got sick of Claude in Chrome via MCP and vibe coded a CLI wrapper for Playwright tonight in 30 minutes only for my team to tell me Vercel already did it lmao But it worked 100x better and was like 100LOC as a CLI
Morgan@morganlinton

The cofounder and CTO of Perplexity, @denisyarats just said internally at Perplexity they’re moving away from MCPs and instead using APIs and CLIs 👀

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bread
bread@bread10k·
@JetAIinc U know ur a shitco when your reported rev is from a giga ATM 😂
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Maximilian Lombardo
Maximilian Lombardo@mglbio·
Thats why I feel like the business model that Gingko has just revived this week is fairly interesting - setting up agents that can then run relatively cheap experiments to update their priors and validate their hypotheses and “reason” over the results feels very possible right now, and the alignment of a few factors that weren’t previously possible in the transcriptic/emerald cloud labs era make this a more viable model
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David Li
David Li@davidycli·
until AI x life sciences models can run agent generated hypotheses in the physical world with empirical real world feedback, there will be no meaningful value creation (or value capture) it will continue to be a nice toy in industrial workflows
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Dale E
Dale E@DaleEarnhart333·
@commonsenseplay What shorts aren’t fucking printing today you dip shit
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Common Sense Investor (CSI)
Common Sense Investor (CSI)@commonsenseplay·
Every portfolio needs some short exposure. Quantum shorts are printing today. $IONQ $RGTI $QBTS $QUBT
Common Sense Investor (CSI) tweet media
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