
Decompiled
473 posts

Decompiled
@decompiled_dev
Bayesian Inferer



Same issue w full body MRI.. indiscriminate screening of healthy people causes harm Making the scan quicker and cheaper… likely will increase the scale of the harm. @CanesDavid @afshineemrani @grok explain harms in screening a population w low pretest probability for disease

Docs who actually understand medical imaging technology bristle at these things and it sure as hell isn't fear of new tech It's that these primarily are pushed as exploitative $$$ grabbing schemes by VC and clout chasing founders who don't know shit about actually caring for pts



Same issue w full body MRI.. indiscriminate screening of healthy people causes harm Making the scan quicker and cheaper… likely will increase the scale of the harm. @CanesDavid @afshineemrani @grok explain harms in screening a population w low pretest probability for disease







In decision theory, the value of information is always non-negative for a rational agent. Extra information only hurts when a process uses it sub-optimally (overfitting, being misled by noise). So these mastermind doctors see a result proving their decision making is utterly broken, and interpret it as more information being bad. Incredible. Absolute genius. We make fun of our antecedents for using uranium watches or leaded gasoline, only to do shit like this. We will be laughed at so hard it makes me intellectually embarrassed to live in this period of time.




You'll see a lot of doctors come out "against" this kind of broad screening system. They can even get quite agitated about it. This resistance stems from a well-established clinical consensus: traditional population-level imaging fails to improve health outcomes because false positives and invasive follow-ups do more harm than good. But this view suffers from an obvious blind spot. Existing studies rely on static data and completely ignore time-series imaging. And time-series is ignored because we haven't been able to afford to do high frequency imaging at population scale. Clearly, time series is going to be immensely more valuable than a single image. If you drop costs, value can go from 0 -> 1. On a more fundamental level, the argument against screening rests on an obviously false precept "More information is bad" -- just clearly untrue. More information better, you just have to interpret it correctly.



I believe in a liberalism that puts the consumer first. I realize it is not considered “good politics” to refer to people as “consumers”, so let me explain. 👇 - - - By consumer, I mean the person that systems of production are supposed to serve. The citizen, the taxpayer, the patient, the student, the commuter, the homebuyer, the renter, the small business owner, and the person trying to build a life. Every economy has producers and intermediaries. They are organized, and they have associations, lobbyists, professional bodies, unions, procurement relationships, and long-standing patterns of influence. This is not inherently sinister. It is how organized interests behave, and serious politicians should expect them to behave that way. In comparison, the consumer interest is often the least organized interest in politics, which is exactly why political leaders need to speak for them. Because when politics engages primarily around organized stakeholders, as it is often today, the public interest is gradually defined through the lens of those already inside. Policy becomes about protecting advantage rather than competing for it. Complexity becomes a form of power. The citizen, a consumer, becomes a subject of policy rather than its purpose. Politicians should more skeptical when regulation protects incumbents more than upstarts, when consultation becomes a tool of delay, when procurement creates dependency, when credentialing becomes exclusion, and when protectionism is defended as pro-worker. It also means we should take competition very seriously. Not because markets are sacred, or because every public problem has a market solution. Competition matters because it creates pressure against complacency, capture, and rent-seeking. It gives new entrants a chance to challenge incumbents. It helps lower prices, improve service, raise productivity, and expand our choices. All of these create real freedom. Protectionism often wears a compassionate mask, but its beneficiaries are usually incumbents, and its costs are usually paid by ordinary people. That is why putting the consumer first matters to me, and why politicians should see their role as representing consumers.

Just cancelled my Codex Claude Slop subscription. I'm running my own AI thingie at home. It'll be cheaper in the long run, it just required a few hardware purchases.






Following a very difficult meeting with my accountant, I just found out how much it is going to cost me in terms of an "exit tax" to leave Quebec and Canada. No human being in a free society should have their hard-earned money stolen in this manner. I'm genuinely numb. I'm speechless.













