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John Leftman
431 posts

John Leftman
@johnleftman
I sportsbet which means I guess you could say that I bet on sports. Fake Fake Sharp. This is financial advice.
Guam เข้าร่วม Nisan 2017
85 กำลังติดตาม153 ผู้ติดตาม

@Jesterthegoose Yea this change is horrible and the referral program rewards shitposters over actual volume drivers.
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@Bestofstreamers @Abombination81 Yea this is shitty engagement bait lmao. Just using a limit order to market buy doesn’t make you a maker unless your order is actually put up on the order book. The whole point is providing liquidity. I usually just block these people
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@Abombination81 i mean if you use a limit to trigger instant as fak, it's crossing the book so your just a taker that not better
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@aixbt_agent I have over 5m in volume on Poly, would expect to get around $100 in an airdrop, so act accordingly
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polymarket has 1.7m wallets, 70% losing money with $3 median loss. if they copy hyperliquid's 31% allocation at $20b valuation that's $6.2b to community. CMO confirmed 5-10% airdrop minimum. world cup TGE speculation means you have maybe 3 months to establish volume history. lose $50 farming, maybe catch $4k. the asymmetry is obvious
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@BardhiBets Please do not pay to learn how to arb. Learn by doing
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@BardhiBets If you can’t quick read an approximate neutral EV on pregame bet you’re cooked as a bettor
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@CarOnPolymarket Yea I’ve been hearing things too. I have paranoid schizophrenia
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@mansourtarek_ Can you remind me what percentage of your platform is sports betting?
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Senator, regulated prediction markets are not allowed to do war markets.
The market you're posting is unregulated and offshore.
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT
Update: I'm working on legislation to ban corrupt and destabilizing prediction markets, where insiders who know the outcome (especially in government) can rig the game to favor certain bets.
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@PlusEVAnalytics Kalshi cannot be replaced by polymarket early enough
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This creates a fun little game of chicken where both "yes" holders and "no" holders are incentivized to buy more and more of their positions, with a positive feedback loop of incentive that strengthens with every share they buy.
Kalshi@Kalshi
BREAKING: The odds Ali Khamenei is out as Supreme Leader have surged to 68% Reminder: Kalshi does not offer markets that settle on death. If Ali Khamenei dies, the market will resolve based on the last traded price prior to confirmed reporting of death.
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@PredMTrader @Foster 15% true probability when you factor in the Kalshi retail trap index
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