Preddy
144 posts
Preddy
@preddytrade
The fastest way to win on prediction markets.
เข้าร่วม Eylül 2025
0 กำลังติดตาม658 ผู้ติดตาม
An aggregator with a frontend that loads faster than Polymarket
@preddytrade brings together markets across dozens of categories into one pro-grade interface that the team claims outperforms every other prediction market aggregator in speed
Professional order execution, a founder who believes in the product and is building it without VC money
Live on Predict Time LIVE - @MaxYatsuk, founder of Preddy
What Preddy actually is. Aggregation, copy trading, the token - and why a serious trader opens Preddy instead of juggling separate @Polymarket and @Kalshi front-ends
June 5, 12:00 UTC
Don't miss it
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@zencrypt0_eth Hey, Can you report the problem? Thank you.
Telegram announcements – @preddy_official
Support – @preddysupport_bot
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@preddytrade Are you having issues with the website? The tracked wallets aren’t loading. Create a Telegram channel or provide more timely updates on the product status.
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Preddy just got cleaner, faster, and easier to trade on.
We shipped a new product update:
1. Cleaner light mode
We refreshed the light theme with lighter cards, sharper borders, softer shadows, and better contrast.
2. Richer activity history
The History tab now supports better filtering, sorting, and export to CSV / JSON. It also recognizes more activity types: yield, deposits, withdrawals, referrals, and more.
3. Claim winnings from anywhere
A Claim button now lives in the top bar, so you can collect winnings from any page.
Close resolved losses faster
Resolved losing positions no longer clutter your portfolio. You can clear them directly from History with Close Losses.
4. Better sports markets
UFC is now live in the Sports nav.
Formula 1 markets now include more event types – pole position, fastest lap, podium, practice, safety car, head-to-head, and more.
5. Trading flow fixes
One-tap orders now place correctly. Betslip settings remember your Sell mode and dollars-vs-shares preference across reloads.
6. Better mobile PnL sharing
Share cards now open properly, keep full resolution, avoid clipping, and copy works first time.
7. Cleaner market experience
Resolved markets now clearly show the winning side, charts have better labels and hover behavior, and long team names no longer clip.
This update is not about adding noise.
It’s about making Preddy feel faster, cleaner, and more reliable every time you trade.
More to come 💚
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Prediction markets are emerging as a distinct asset class, pricing probabilities on events that traditional markets don't capture cleanly
Wintermute is now providing liquidity on event contracts across leading venues
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We've known the Preddy team for a while and have been consistently impressed by their execution.
Excited to support part of the infrastructure behind the scenes and watch them continue to grow. ⚡️
Preddy@preddytrade
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@AdzProsperous @Polymarket It was a mistake placing that in the same ui
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AHAHAHAHA, and this is the “promised” @Polymarket competitor?
5 markets and less than half a mil in volume...
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@polysider_ Appreciate it 🤝
Copy Trade updates are getting closer – and yes, that’s where things start getting really interesting.
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@preddytrade Preddy smooth so far!
Can't wait for the Copy Trade updates — that's when things get wild!
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Polymarket may be building the biggest upgrade prediction markets have ever seen
I’ve been digging through the new Polymarket v2 contracts and found something much bigger than “parlays are coming.”
Under the hood, this looks like infrastructure for trading entire probabilistic scenarios.
A new contract called Combinatorial Module was deployed and verified on Amoy testnet, and the deployer is linked to an address Polygonscan labels as Polymarket: Deployer 1.
So this does not look theoretical anymore.
The core idea is simple:
instead of trading isolated events, traders could trade entire chains of outcomes as a single position.
Right now prediction markets mostly work like this:
1. Trump wins
2. BTC above $150k
3. Fed cuts rates
4. Recession in 2026
Each market exists independently.
But real traders rarely think in isolated events.
They think in causal chains.
For example:
If Trump wins, crypto gets a regulatory tailwind, BTC rallies, risk-on returns, and capital rotates back into high-beta assets.
The interesting part is that the new module allows this exact structure to become one position:
1.1 Trump wins
1.2 AND BTC > $150k
1.3 AND Fed cuts rates
Not three separate bets.
One asset, one payout, one expression of a worldview.
And if all legs resolve correctly, the position pays out $1.
That means traders can buy cheap convex exposure to an entire macro thesis.
If the market prices the scenario at 8¢ and the full chain plays out, the position settles for $1.
This is where prediction markets start looking less like betting apps and more like probability derivatives.
What makes this even more interesting is that the module appears to work cross-category.
Sports, politics, crypto, macro, geopolitics — anything represented as binary/negrisk conditions can theoretically be combined.
The contract supports up to 50 legs in a single structure. And the positions are not static.
The code includes mechanics for:
– splitting positions
– merging them
– extracting legs
– recombining scenarios
– compressing resolved conditions
– and wrapping existing binary markets into combinatorial positions.
In other words:
this is not just “build a parlay and wait.”
It is closer to building dynamic scenario structures that evolve as the world changes.
The NO-side is where things become especially interesting!
There is a very important distinction here:
NO(A AND B AND C) is NOT the same thing as:
NO(A) AND NO(B) AND NO(C)
The first one is the complement of the entire scenario:
NOT(A AND B AND C)
meaning the structure fails if any part of the chain breaks.
That subtle difference is why these markets become much more sophisticated than standard YES/NO betting.
The market is no longer pricing isolated outcomes.
It is pricing the stability of an entire connected narrative.
This opens the door to a completely different class of products.
At that point, prediction markets stop being “Will X happen?”
They become:
“Which version of the future is currently mispriced?”
There are still two massive open problems.
The first is liquidity.
Every scenario gets its own conditionId / positionId, but the contract itself does not imply that every combination will have its own standalone orderbook.
And if liquidity fragments across millions of possible scenarios, the system breaks immediately.
Which means the real unlock is probably synthetic pricing and routing:
using liquidity from underlying markets to construct and price scenario positions dynamically.
The second challenge is UX.
Because probability algebra gets confusing very quickly.
Most users will not intuitively understand the difference between:
NO(A AND B) and: NO(A) AND NO(B)
So the challenge is no longer just building markets.
It is building interfaces that make complex probabilistic structures understandable to humans.
If Polymarket solves liquidity and UX, v2 may become much more than a prediction market upgrade.
It could become the first real probability trading layer for the internet.
Bullish.
Huge W @devjoshstevens @mustafap0ly @Polymarket @PolymarketDevs @SuhailKakar
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@minaev71611 Hello! Please contact our support team on Telegram: @preddysupport_bot
Include your acc ID and transfer details so the team can check the transaction and help with the deposit.
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@preddytrade 30.04.2026 sent 100 usdt to Bx2UGGnXcXm6zUXDWMf48xuobYnTizwLWCk2Beq1Anjy, still no balance, acc id 0x9724Ac3a26Ac31528C23726B49A952d848F762E1
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Prediction markets need recommendation algorithms that actually understand users.
Right now, when someone opens Polymarket, they see 50,000 markets.
They only care about ~30.
The real product challenge is not creating more markets.
It’s understanding which 30 matter to each user – and turning prediction markets into an event feed, not a database.
We’ve been working on this problem for a long time at @preddytrade
The next layer is social.
People don’t want to trade alone. They want to participate with friends, creators, analysts, whales, communities.
Social trading, shared conviction, public positions, onchain reputation — this is one of the things that makes prediction markets fundamentally different from Web2 products.
The interface war hasn’t even started yet.
Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸@pmarca
Interesting.
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Printr's raise closes May 1st
Hard cap: $2M
Polymarket already pricing $30M+ commitments at 54%
That's 15x oversubscription as the BASE CASE
The crowd is either pricing in a feeding frenzy
— or about to be very wrong
>$40M at 41¢
>$100M at 12¢
Someone put $30k on the $100M market
You don't need to touch the sale to trade this
The commitment window is live RIGHT NOW
What's your number?
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They’re right – building new prediction markets is a dead end.
Polymarket and Kalshi already won on liquidity.
But the mistake is thinking the market is the product.
It’s not.
The real problem is access:
millions heard about prediction markets, very few actually trade them.
Not a tech issue – UX + onboarding.
Outside of sports, there’s no natural demand.
Users need to be guided, educated, and shown what matters.
And today, most terminals and bots are stuck competing for the same small audience – because they don’t know how to build global distribution.
The real edge is:
→ interface that surfaces signals, not noise
→ distribution via bloggers, streamers, bettors
→ onboarding that turns attention into trades
→ an interface that is clear and that solves it
That’s exactly what we’re building at @preddytrade
Jonah Burian@jonah_b
A lot of the founders in my DMs pitched me a on prediction markets. I think most of them are chasing the wrong opportunity… Prediction markets are now among the most competitive categories on earth. @Polymarket and @Kalshi are raising mind-boggling numbers, and traditional players like @RobinhoodApp are building their own products. The category has incumbents with massive liquidity, strong brands, and aggressive product roadmaps. For the startups building net new prediction markets, it’s worth asking: what is the unique edge? Some pitch adding new market formats as their wedge. I don’t know if this is defensible. Every incumbent is actively expanding into new formats. Look at what @Polymarket offered just a year ago compared to today. They ship new products by the week. If the incumbents can add your market type faster than you can build distribution, the advantage evaporates. Others argue that better tech is the wedge. Tech doesn’t appear to be a limiter on @Polymarket or @Kalshi. The platforms work. Users aren’t leaving because of a tech problem. In my opinion, the more interesting opportunity is packaging prediction markets into entirely new products for underserved customers. People who would never open a @Polymarket account but have a real need to express a view on some future outcome. An outdoor concert venue might want to go long on rain for Sunday night to hedge cancellation risk. A logistics company might want to take a position on port delays. These are prediction market use cases dressed up as risk management tools, sold through channels the incumbents might not touch. And you don’t have to reinvent the wheel. You don’t need to build the market, source the liquidity, or design the matching engine. You can plug into existing prediction market APIs and focus entirely on distribution and product. There’s a fair pushback about platform risk here. But @Polymarket is onchain and open, which makes this meaningfully less risky than building on a closed platform. I’m not saying a new prediction market will never break through. In many mature categories someone always finds a way. @HyperliquidX broke into perps, one of the most competitive verticals in crypto with many well-capitalized competitors. AI gave @CoreWeave an opening in cloud. But in each case there was a specific structural reason the new entrant won. Disclosure: We are @Polymarket investors. Take the above with a grain of salt
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