Zencrypto.eth 🪷

Who am I? I’m a crypto enthusiast with some experience in trading. Collect NFTs and explore different blockchains for profit opportunities (now focused on projects on #Abstract and #Ton). Buddhist. Believe in karma. I’m raising a cat. I always follow back. Let’s be friends!

@predicttime_ @preddytrade The beauty of prediction markets is that for smart money, there’s zero gambling. On the flip side, you can still treat it like a casino if you want. Everyone finds what they need here.

@zencrypt0_eth @preddytrade super, do you think prediction markets are more organic as opposed to betting?

We're giving away $100 to one lucky winner - straight to their Preddy account You can use this money to win $1M by betting on an event, or buy a book that will change your life. To enter, follow @preddytrade and @predicttime_ and leave a comment answering the question: "Why do you love prediction markets and why will they only keep growing?" The best answer wins. Deadline - June 13 Prediction markets are the future. Prove you know it

@TheGreekTrader @willo2_Poly A pretty common story on Poly. The casino always wins. And the ambiguity of the rules is not a bug. This is part of the system. So if you want to win, don’t be greedy.

Did @willo2_Poly really get scammed by Polymarket or was he just a greedy dude who full ported into 'free money' and got rekt? Let's dive into it. Yesterday I made a post explaining why I thought this market would resolve to NO while YES was trading at 65% (check the screenshot or my profile). Long story short, based purely on the written rules, this looked like a YES resolution. However, there was strong precedent for it resolving NO. A previous market with almost identical rules had been clarified so that information outside the market timeframe didn't count. This was public information, although not easy for a newbie to find. It was immediately shared in the Polymarket Discord, which is why I always recommend being active there. Another reason a YES clarification would've been bad is that we'd never know when a market is actually resolved. The market timeframe was already over. If information that comes out days or weeks later that can change the outcome, how long are traders supposed to wait before considering a market settled? There are already markets where confirmation arrives days or weeks later, yet they still resolve based on what was known within the timeframe. Changing that standard would create huge uncertainty and be disastrous for the platform. Now back to Willo2. Willo2 was buying thousands of shares that MicroStrategy sold Bitcoin by May 31, AFTER the news came out at 70%-80%. (he had a few shares already, that he had sold them before the news). He saw that even though everyone knew MicroStrategy had sold the Bitcoin, the market was still trading around 70-80%, while markets for later timeframes, like June 30, were trading at 99.9% and he kept buying YES. I think we can all agree this was a dumb and greedy move. You always have to remember that if something looks too good to be true, it probably is. You don't just go all in, on something that doesn't make sense, thinking you are smarter than everyone else. And if there had been no ambiguity in the rules, Willo2 would never have been in this position because the market would've been trading at 99.9% immediately after the news came out, not 70%, when he was buying. Anyway, no matter how Polymarket clarified this market, there was always going to be massive drama. If they clarified YES, they would've gone against their own previous clarifications, which had created some level of consistency on the platform and all the sharp traders who traded based on that precedent would've been rekt. The real reason for all this drama was the unclear wording of the market. If the rules had explicitly stated that only the announcement itself mattered, it would've been clear. Instead, the wording left room for interpretation about whether information outside the timeframe should count. For me, Polymarket's biggest mistake was not clarifying the market before May 31. People had already asked for clarification specifically to avoid this exact situation. My take is that it sucks that @willo2_Poly lost $500k and I genuinely hope he makes it back. But he lost it mainly because he was greedy af. The problem isn't that Polymarket resolved this market to NO. The problem is that the rules were ambiguous enough that reasonable people could argue either side and they didn't clarify it days ago to prevent all of this.

@preddytrade Its okey now, thx

@zencrypt0_eth Hey, Can you report the problem? Thank you. Telegram announcements – @preddy_official Support – @preddysupport_bot

Preddy just got cleaner, faster, and easier to trade on. We shipped a new product update: 1. Cleaner light mode We refreshed the light theme with lighter cards, sharper borders, softer shadows, and better contrast. 2. Richer activity history The History tab now supports better filtering, sorting, and export to CSV / JSON. It also recognizes more activity types: yield, deposits, withdrawals, referrals, and more. 3. Claim winnings from anywhere A Claim button now lives in the top bar, so you can collect winnings from any page. Close resolved losses faster Resolved losing positions no longer clutter your portfolio. You can clear them directly from History with Close Losses. 4. Better sports markets UFC is now live in the Sports nav. Formula 1 markets now include more event types – pole position, fastest lap, podium, practice, safety car, head-to-head, and more. 5. Trading flow fixes One-tap orders now place correctly. Betslip settings remember your Sell mode and dollars-vs-shares preference across reloads. 6. Better mobile PnL sharing Share cards now open properly, keep full resolution, avoid clipping, and copy works first time. 7. Cleaner market experience Resolved markets now clearly show the winning side, charts have better labels and hover behavior, and long team names no longer clip. This update is not about adding noise. It’s about making Preddy feel faster, cleaner, and more reliable every time you trade. More to come 💚

@0xKingyo I don’t know what the team is doing, but it’s time for them to stop making promises and start actually creating content. Otherwise, it’ll all end the same way as Pirate Nation - a complete failure.

@zencrypt0_eth Totally agree. I just wanted to try something out and it did pan out. Team said this is more for whales to do something whilst we wait for racing and we can see it in real time as few people are non-stop playing for that Top1.

First thing first: honesty above all. I voiced my own concerns about this dungeon due to not having any limitations but someone's wallet. However... I am in profit and that's why you should consider giving it a go 🧵👇

@0xKingyo To be honest, this kind of format has been boring me for a long time. It’s the same thing over and over for the past 7 months: just banal milking of money from players.

Should you play? There's plenty of RNG due to the Jackpot but 60% goes towards a weekly prizepool. The team seeded the game with $10,000 so it could be enough to make you try it out. GLHF!

@tsybka @PolymarketTrade Btw, what do you think about this market: polymarket.com/event/who-will… Ursula wrote on X that she had a phone call with the orange. Seems like a great opportunity, in my opinion.

@zencrypt0_eth @PolymarketTrade Yeah, Trump can literally say anything and it can easily be counted as YES through UMA.

It’s always nice to be in a bond position that provides 4% APY in passive income on your purchased shares, along with rewards for providing liquidity. I suppose there’s no need to explain why NO shares are a giga bond?

@tsybka @PolymarketTrade But yes: aside from the fact that these clowns are capable of anything, UMA is one big scam, so the risk does exist.

@tsybka @PolymarketTrade I don't think the risk here is higher than in the market you suggested. Do you really believe that any official would outright say that aliens definitely exist? It seems to me that even the orange clown isn't capable of that. B

@0xDith The problem with most crypto teams is that they build Ponzi schemes and call them "games." To make a solid indie project, you need talent. Apparently, until giants like Blizzard master crypto, cryptoGameFi will remain impossible.

It's always one reason or another.. But games clearly have the highest failure rate among all app types in consumer crypto. The players who today still turn up & still believe, deserve the biggest, fattest, smelliest, hated-rally type vindication W you can possibly imagine.

@NumericNick @Polymarket UMA is one huge scam, @Polymarket

@Polymarket just resolved "Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire" as Yes. Small problem: Hezbollah never agreed to any ceasefire. They literally condemned the negotiations. $34M market. Let me show you how broken this is ⬇️

@ProofOfPlay Honestly, I don’t believe you. But let’s assume you’re not lying. Do you seriously think you can actually make money on this boring game? Guys, just go into the restaurant business already. Seriously. Stop torturing yourselves. The game is over. Alas.

We just crossed 100,000 players on Shiba Story Go! Thank you to everyone who has joined us on this journey so far. Your continued support means everything to the team.

@CarOnPolymarket He's TACO. So, he'll extend, as always.

@0xDith I hope this gives you time to do something interesting. Right now it feels like the game is stagnating. Nothing new.

This is the first live ops event run using GIGA-OPS. A new internal product we've built to orchestrate game-wide events easily & flexibly, without any dev time. This keeps our devs free for <bigger things wip> 😎

@CarOnPolymarket Did you buy?

Theres a 2% chance Trump says Crypto or Bitcoin during his Address to the Nation tonight #S6mRn2p" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/what-wil…

@EliBenSasson What is your forecast for the $STRK price? Around zero or slightly higher?

As an expert predictor of geopolitics, here’s my prediction: Hormuz is broke. Expect a 5-10m daily barrel capacity pipeline between Saudi Arabia and Mediterranean, via Israel (Ashdod port) in 5 years time.

@Crypto_Pranjal Taco always Taco

Took NO at 39c on “US forces enter Iran by April 30.” Not a geopolitical call. Just probability vs payoff. Escalation is already happening. But physically entering Iran is a different tier of decision. From what I’m reading: - About 50K US troops in the region, but 0 inside Iran - Ground entry needs political approval + clear objective, not just pressure - Very short window (30 days) - Iran has been preparing for this kind of scenario for 20 years (decentralized defense + underground bases + dispersed systems). So the market feels like it’s pricing escalation, while the @Polymarket contract needs a very specific trigger: boots on Iranian soil. At 39c, NO looked like better asymmetry. Could still be wrong. One headline and this flips instantly. Just sharing how I’m thinking about it. If you want to check the market yourself, it’s here: polymarket.com/event/us-force…

@tsybka Agree

Iranian regime NO fall by April 30 is another giga bond. Over 100% APY for the position, in which I don’t see even 0.01% risk (that would be in the realm of Armageddon). But as I said earlier, a reasonable entry into this position would be if a ground invasion of Iran begins. Degens will gladly provide a better price for this event. 📌Market: polymarket.com/event/will-the…