Rob Ivanoff

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Rob Ivanoff

Rob Ivanoff

@rivanoff

i want to help more people. I lived in all top-10 financial cities. Founder and investor. Song-writer. Culture. Anti-war

New York NY เข้าร่วม Temmuz 2009
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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
How many books did he sell pumping the Virgin brand and the guy was a sociopathic scammer
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Jesse Cohen
Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv·
Which IPO are you looking forward to the most?
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Trevor Heslop
Trevor Heslop@trevhesinvests·
$META is getting sued because it's products are too addictive, and you're selling? - FY25 Revenue growth = 24% - Q126 Revenue growth guide = 30% - P/E = 22.7 (18.4 without the 1-time tax charge of $15.93B) - Fw P/E = 17.2 Let's not forget that 3.58B people use one of Meta's platforms daily... and only 74% of the world population (~6B people) have access to the internet This stock remains undervalued
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Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA)
Today is yet another reason why index structure matters. I don't care if individual stocks are at levels where they seem "too cheap to be true". If $SPY is only 6% away from highs and we're below the 200 daily, the best thing you can do is sit on the sidelines. I've said that every day for the past couple months. I haven't bought a single position aside from DCAs since 25th Feb when I added to $SOFI. Sometimes the hardest thing to do is to sit on the sidelines.
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Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA)@MMMTwealth

$SPY flips back above the 200 daily on the news. This is still a bearish looking chart until we see a reclaim of $660 and a higher high and higher low etc. Until that, there's just likelihood of more chopping around that we've seen since September now. The charts can tell you a lot and it's a whole lot simpler than following the macro on an hourly basis.

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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
@gnoble79 George I can tell you are a special person. I look forwards joining you or meeting you soon. I admire honest people.
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George Noble
George Noble@gnoble79·
The feedback from our last conference blew me away. More than 800 people joined the event. Countless attendees came back telling me it was some of the best value they’d ever gotten in finance. That told me something: The demand is there. The quality speaks for itself. So I decided to build something more valuable around it. Today I'm launching the NEW Founding Member plan for The Noble Update at $950/year. Here's what's inside: - Full access to all premium Substack content (institutional-grade research, stock picks, and deep analysis multiple times per month) - FREE access to at least 6 online stock idea conferences per year and every bonus event we add on top (I'm planning up to 2-3 extra events depending on schedule) Locked in at this price. Protected from any future increases. The conferences alone are worth more than the membership. Each one features numerous presenters - hedge fund managers, buy-side analysts, independent research guys - all pitching their best ideas with full conviction. These kind of rooms used to be reserved for institutional investors paying thousands. Between conferences, the Substack delivers the same caliber of thinking - real analysis, real names, and the same rigor I applied running billion-dollar portfolios for 45 years. Multiple times per month. This is the all-inclusive package. Everything we do. One price. No surprises. The founding member rate is for the people who've been here early - who saw what we delivered and want more of it. Join us today: georgenoble.substack.com/subscribe
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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
@aleabitoreddit Same idea apply to penny stocks just buy what is moving with a fancy name!
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I’m curious… With $AXTI, $IQE, or $SIVE. And the many other photonics winners I’ve longed like $LITE that returned 100-1000% over the past few months. When is it time for the salty folks out there to admit… That my thesis are just right after all. Instead of downplaying it? $20B+ companies like $TSEM don’t just move up 70% in 2 weeks, unless institutions validated the thesis and found it compelling. Same with $AXTI, it wouldn’t have ran from $450M MC to $3.85B MC unless institutions found it compelling. I just spot these before others do, and post information synthesis/discovery. In these cases, retail has clearly frontrun institutions and made life changing returns. If the thesis were wrong, institutions can take the other end of the trade. Which they don’t. Everyone on X keeps asking for the next 1000%. And when there’s someone out there on X that posts multiple (for free) ideas. Posts a clear directional trade before the price even moved. -> then they do ~10x like $AXTI: They’re met with slander instead? Ever stop to think… maybe the thesis/idea was right after all?
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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
@aleabitoreddit @Lee_Trades 90% of them won’t survive. Google has its own photonics. All Chinese and Taiwanese executives will be going to jail or expelled because they were also spies.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
@Lee_Trades Yep, they’re all really volatile. My $AXTI positions are now only up 724% instead of hitting 1000% sadly, for example. Stocks don’t move in a straight line up. But if you know what you own, it’s just another fun day in the markets.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Photonics are not having a fun time. Laser Companies from: $LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down. Substrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from: $IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down. Almost everything is red. From 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%. Good lesson to learn: Embrace the volatility and don't use leverage. If a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today. Macro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings. However, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028... Or if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates. Crashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.
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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
@aleabitoreddit This is nothing they will be down 80% like Amazon went down in 2001 and the Internet bubble. The AI bubble is all lies and hype. You will lose most your money because we don’t even need most of these fancy chips, we just need better programming and less of it.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
The US tech selloff from $MSFT, $GOOGL and $META looks really overdone now? Mag7 roughly down: Microsoft down -21.9% YTD Google down -7.69% YTD $AMZN down -7.36 YTD Meta down -8.54% YTD What makes things worse is SpaceX IPOing at $1.7T if they get fast-index inclusion. Mega-IPOs typically serve as a massive market liquidity vacuum (good for SpaceX though) However, I don’t think markets are truly convinced War in Iran is ending anytime soon. -> Massive liquidity drain from large caps, -> more upcoming soon with SpaceX IPO -> despite improving fundamentals = don’t touch short term options. Long term I expect Mag7 to recover.
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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
@MarioNawfal “Western intelligence” meaning Rothschilds and Soros Epstein
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇷🇺🇮🇷 Western intelligence says Russia is close to finishing deliveries of attack drones (and other lethal aid) to Iran. Moscow allegedly started shipping them just days after the U.S./Israeli strikes began. Russia is now actively helping keep Iran in the fight. So much for staying neutral. Source: Financial Times
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇷 Iran's Bandar Abbas coast about an hour ago. The lights offshore reportedly aren't from the city, but from ships stuck near the Strait of Hormuz waiting for clearance to transit.

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Rob Ivanoff
Rob Ivanoff@rivanoff·
@RealJGBanks This is a backwards looking indicator. Just dump everything because the bottom is 30% down
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Justin Banks
Justin Banks@RealJGBanks·
BREAKING: The market just hit Extreme Fear again. • Fear & Greed just hit Extreme Fear (19) • $VIX over 25 • $SPY at key support Historically: This setup leads to a bounce about 70% of the time.
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Dividend Diplomats
Dividend Diplomats@DvdndDiplomats·
Microsoft Update 🔥 Grabbed 2 more shares at $369.99. I now own 5 shares of $MSFT
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
The market's character is still one of a bear market or cyclical correction; strong open, fade into close and major average living below the 200-day line. Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and volume action, including better action from breakout names forming bases. We are clearly NOT out of the woods yet. The market backdrop is one where sentiment has improved with rising pessimism, but not a full capitulation. The VIX has reached bear warning levels, but remains below true washout extremes. A volatility washout is not required for a bottom, but would add conviction. Bullish Scenario --The war ends --Oil prices recede --Stagflation concerns ease --Central banks continuing their easing trajectory Under this scenario, we would expect: -A broadening market advance -Emergence of new leadership from sound bases -A Follow-Through Day (FTD) on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ confirming institutional buying with little in the way of immediate distribution -Significant drop in volatility Bearish Scenario --The war persists or escalates --The Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted --Oil prices make new highs --Stagflation becomes evident in hard economic data This would likely result in: -Limited general market rally attempts with most breakout stocks failing -Lack of follow-through from breakout names -Further deterioration in breadth and leadership -Dearth of setups in buyable position -Continued elevated volatility and distribution In that case, sentiment would likely need to reach higher levels of pessimism before a durable market bottom could form. In its absence, and end to the factors that are pressuring the market could cause the market to bottom in less dramatic fashion.
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