Rob Ivanoff
21.9K posts

Rob Ivanoff
@rivanoff
i want to help more people. I lived in all top-10 financial cities. Founder and investor. Song-writer. Culture. Anti-war
New York NY Katılım Temmuz 2009
1.3K Takip Edilen1K Takipçiler

@trevhesinvests @qualtrim They have bots to click on them so they charge business for things nobody clicks on
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$META is getting sued because it's products are too addictive, and you're selling?
- FY25 Revenue growth = 24%
- Q126 Revenue growth guide = 30%
- P/E = 22.7 (18.4 without the 1-time tax charge of $15.93B)
- Fw P/E = 17.2
Let's not forget that 3.58B people use one of Meta's platforms daily... and only 74% of the world population (~6B people) have access to the internet
This stock remains undervalued




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Today is yet another reason why index structure matters.
I don't care if individual stocks are at levels where they seem "too cheap to be true".
If $SPY is only 6% away from highs and we're below the 200 daily, the best thing you can do is sit on the sidelines.
I've said that every day for the past couple months.
I haven't bought a single position aside from DCAs since 25th Feb when I added to $SOFI.
Sometimes the hardest thing to do is to sit on the sidelines.

Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA)@MMMTwealth
$SPY flips back above the 200 daily on the news. This is still a bearish looking chart until we see a reclaim of $660 and a higher high and higher low etc. Until that, there's just likelihood of more chopping around that we've seen since September now. The charts can tell you a lot and it's a whole lot simpler than following the macro on an hourly basis.
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@rusoyablo @anasalhajji Do they have LNG? Why are they not showing profit?
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@gnoble79 George I can tell you are a special person. I look forwards joining you or meeting you soon. I admire honest people.
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More than 800 people joined the event.
Countless attendees came back telling me it was some of the best value they’d ever gotten in finance.
That told me something:
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Here's what's inside:
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Locked in at this price. Protected from any future increases.
The conferences alone are worth more than the membership.
Each one features numerous presenters - hedge fund managers, buy-side analysts, independent research guys - all pitching their best ideas with full conviction. These kind of rooms used to be reserved for institutional investors paying thousands.
Between conferences, the Substack delivers the same caliber of thinking - real analysis, real names, and the same rigor I applied running billion-dollar portfolios for 45 years. Multiple times per month.
This is the all-inclusive package. Everything we do. One price. No surprises.
The founding member rate is for the people who've been here early - who saw what we delivered and want more of it.
Join us today:
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@aleabitoreddit Same idea apply to penny stocks just buy what is moving with a fancy name!
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I’m curious…
With $AXTI, $IQE, or $SIVE.
And the many other photonics winners I’ve longed like $LITE that returned 100-1000% over the past few months.
When is it time for the salty folks out there to admit…
That my thesis are just right after all. Instead of downplaying it?
$20B+ companies like $TSEM don’t just move up 70% in 2 weeks, unless institutions validated the thesis and found it compelling.
Same with $AXTI, it wouldn’t have ran from $450M MC to $3.85B MC unless institutions found it compelling.
I just spot these before others do, and post information synthesis/discovery.
In these cases, retail has clearly frontrun institutions and made life changing returns.
If the thesis were wrong, institutions can take the other end of the trade. Which they don’t.
Everyone on X keeps asking for the next 1000%.
And when there’s someone out there on X that posts multiple (for free) ideas.
Posts a clear directional trade before the price even moved.
-> then they do ~10x like $AXTI:
They’re met with slander instead?
Ever stop to think… maybe the thesis/idea was right after all?




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@aleabitoreddit @Lee_Trades 90% of them won’t survive. Google has its own photonics. All Chinese and Taiwanese executives will be going to jail or expelled because they were also spies.
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@Lee_Trades Yep, they’re all really volatile.
My $AXTI positions are now only up 724% instead of hitting 1000% sadly, for example.
Stocks don’t move in a straight line up.
But if you know what you own, it’s just another fun day in the markets.


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Photonics are not having a fun time.
Laser Companies from:
$LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down.
Substrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from:
$IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down.
Almost everything is red.
From 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%.
Good lesson to learn:
Embrace the volatility and don't use leverage.
If a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today.
Macro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings.
However, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028...
Or if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates.
Crashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.


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@aleabitoreddit This is nothing they will be down 80% like Amazon went down in 2001 and the Internet bubble. The AI bubble is all lies and hype. You will lose most your money because we don’t even need most of these fancy chips, we just need better programming and less of it.
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The US tech selloff from $MSFT, $GOOGL and $META looks really overdone now?
Mag7 roughly down:
Microsoft down -21.9% YTD
Google down -7.69% YTD
$AMZN down -7.36 YTD
Meta down -8.54% YTD
What makes things worse is SpaceX IPOing at $1.7T if they get fast-index inclusion.
Mega-IPOs typically serve as a massive market liquidity vacuum (good for SpaceX though)
However, I don’t think markets are truly convinced War in Iran is ending anytime soon.
-> Massive liquidity drain from large caps, -> more upcoming soon with SpaceX IPO
-> despite improving fundamentals
= don’t touch short term options.
Long term I expect Mag7 to recover.


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@MarioNawfal “Western intelligence” meaning Rothschilds and Soros Epstein
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🚨🇷🇺🇮🇷 Western intelligence says Russia is close to finishing deliveries of attack drones (and other lethal aid) to Iran.
Moscow allegedly started shipping them just days after the U.S./Israeli strikes began.
Russia is now actively helping keep Iran in the fight.
So much for staying neutral.
Source: Financial Times

Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇮🇷 Iran's Bandar Abbas coast about an hour ago. The lights offshore reportedly aren't from the city, but from ships stuck near the Strait of Hormuz waiting for clearance to transit.
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@MarioNawfal Financial Times is owned by the Japanese mafia nowdays.
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@RealJGBanks This is a backwards looking indicator. Just dump everything because the bottom is 30% down
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@DvdndDiplomats Sell. This should easily go down 50% and still feel expensive.
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The market's character is still one of a bear market or cyclical correction; strong open, fade into close and major average living below the 200-day line. Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and volume action, including better action from breakout names forming bases.
We are clearly NOT out of the woods yet. The market backdrop is one where sentiment has improved with rising pessimism, but not a full capitulation. The VIX has reached bear warning levels, but remains below true washout extremes. A volatility washout is not required for a bottom, but would add conviction.
Bullish Scenario
--The war ends
--Oil prices recede
--Stagflation concerns ease
--Central banks continuing their easing trajectory
Under this scenario, we would expect:
-A broadening market advance
-Emergence of new leadership from sound bases
-A Follow-Through Day (FTD) on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ confirming institutional buying with little in the way of immediate distribution
-Significant drop in volatility
Bearish Scenario
--The war persists or escalates
--The Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted
--Oil prices make new highs
--Stagflation becomes evident in hard economic data
This would likely result in:
-Limited general market rally attempts with most breakout stocks failing
-Lack of follow-through from breakout names
-Further deterioration in breadth and leadership
-Dearth of setups in buyable position
-Continued elevated volatility and distribution
In that case, sentiment would likely need to reach higher levels of pessimism before a durable market bottom could form. In its absence, and end to the factors that are pressuring the market could cause the market to bottom in less dramatic fashion.

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Rob Ivanoff retweetledi

@DeItaone Hahaha the Rothschild elite is worried that their lies are going to cause civil wars
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$100 OIL WON’T HIT LIKE THE 1970s
UBS says today’s global economy is far less vulnerable to oil shocks than in the 1970s, despite rising prices.
Economist Arend Kapteyn highlights that oil spending as a share of GDP has more than halved since 1974 due to improved energy efficiency and economic growth.
In the U.S., oil spending dropped from about 4.8% of GDP in 1974 to ~1.7% today—and would only reach ~2% even if prices hit $100 per barrel. Europe shows a similar decline.
Bottom line: although supply disruptions may rival past crises, the global economy’s lower “oil intensity” means far less macroeconomic strain.

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