James Turnbull

460 posts

James Turnbull

James Turnbull

@turnbjames

Emerging market finance and energy consultant. Russia specialist

เข้าร่วม Temmuz 2016
1.1K กำลังติดตาม264 ผู้ติดตาม
Eric Daugherty
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh·
🚨 NOW: Iran just pathetically WALKED BACK their claim to have struck 2 US warships in or near the Strait of Hormuz, now reportedly saying it was just a “WARNING SHOT” and it’s “unclear” if there was damage Lmao 🤣🤡 A sign of PANIC! Iran should realize there’s NOTHING they can do to deter Trump’s Project Freedom. The U.S. has locked and loaded over the course of the ceasefire
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
Fair point but if you amortise the carbon footprint manufacturing the car (mini all that copper and lithium, aluminium etc) against all you energy savings you don’t break-even until year 7. Best thing is to keep driving your iCE until it expires. Then buy hybrid or EV, depending on circumstances..
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Mark Chitty
Mark Chitty@TechPdM·
@SoFar9570 @turnbjames @implausibleblog To be fair, it's a little on the optimistic side, but EVs are roughly three times more energy efficient than ICE vehicles in real world conditions. Even if you've discovered a way to refine and distribute petrol and diesel using magic fairy dust, the point is still 100% correct.
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Farrukh
Farrukh@implausibleblog·
Gent in yellow, "I'm an engineer, a scientist by background, and what I really care about is energy" "And that's one of these things which I feel has been turned into a culture war" "So let me say one thing" "We know that heat pumps, insulation, EVs, etc can save half your energy usage" "It's a massive difference" "And Iran, while, and this is not just about climate change, we can use as a strategic reserve" "We can use that oil for aviation or AI data centres" "But we've got politicians here on the table today, I believe, who deny these facts" "And why should we platform you when we can save that money? The energy. The money" "And this also means that we're not paying the oil money to Russia, which uses it to strike Ukraine every day, and we pay again for defence missiles" "So it's a very serious question. And this is the science, this is the fact. You cannot say that that does not save half the energy."
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
C’mon - Bordeaux is not 6th best team in France - Didn’t expect Bath to win away yesterday but would back them against any of the others, bar Toulouse. Bath currently second I think in Premiership, so you are being a bit disingenuous. English club game defintely on the rise, even if not there yet.
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
That is false. The TMO doesn’t bring his own film crew - where would this magical footage come from. They depend on the TV crew to replay moments of controversy, as in the act of an an unclear grounding. It works the same every where but in France. UBB is a classy team that defended like tigers and would have won anyway but this left a bad taste in the mouth.
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Governator99
Governator99@governator99·
@RugbyVous That’s actually wrong. The TMO saw what none of us saw because he has access to footage that we don’t which is not controlled by any tv director. The tv director only decides what we see on tv.
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Parlez-Vous French Rugby
So let me get this straight: All these English fans definitely saw head contact But also they weren’t shown footage? The TMO saw what everyone saw and chose not to call it in, the TV director is under no obligation to show replays of possible penalties
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Bukowski
Bukowski@BettingRugby999·
Second rows who could be a good add to @BathRugby Trying to be realistic so no Skelton, Snyman, McCarthy, Eben, Beirne, Itoje, Flament, Vaa’i… Premiership - Chessum (Tigers) - Bamber (Sale Sharks) - Coles (Saints) - Jenkins (Chiefs) URC - Adre Smith (Stormers) - JD Schickerling (Stormers) - Gregor Brown (Warriors) - Cobus Wiese (Bulls) - Nicolo Cannone (Trevise) - Ben Carter (Dragons) Top 14 - Jonny Hill (Racing 92) - Verhaegue (MHR) - Duguid (MHR) - Tuilagi (USAP) - Maximin (Pau) SuperRugby - Josh Lord (Chiefs) - Ah Kuoi (Chiefs) - Sam Darry (Blues) - Dearns (Hurricanes) - Salakaia Loto (Reds)
Bukowski@BettingRugby999

Bath need top level second rowers. You can see the gigantic difference between Ewels and Roux, who both are good players, and Coleman who is world class.

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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
Versus 4 French clubs and 1 Irish. Recent history has not been pretty - English club’s were being stuffed by the elite teams COVId largely because of the salary cap - which is half one of the super clubs spend. We lost 3 franchises over the same period in what felt like an existential crisis and some of our finest talent to Too 14. In 2026 we see attendances soaring, investment returning and 2-3 teams starting to compete in elite competition. Feels like genuine progress to me.
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Caolán Scully
Caolán Scully@Caolan_Scully·
Only 2 English clubs have won a European title since 2008... Yet every year we listend Prem pundits blaming refereeing without a hint of irony Not that we are not prone to the same stuff on our TVs in Ireland I should add but still, bit mad
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
@BettingRugby999 Couldn’t agree with you more. That was my worry going into this game. Think the front row will be good enough even post TDT but the line-out needs work. .
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Bukowski
Bukowski@BettingRugby999·
Bath need top level second rowers. You can see the gigantic difference between Ewels and Roux, who both are good players, and Coleman who is world class.
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Andy Goode
Andy Goode@AndyGoode10·
French directors not giving us any angles on the head shot on Barbeary
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
In an ideal world we would but there’s a price to everything. We need to be competitive as an economy in the meantime. Our energy is the most expensive in the world for a developed nation. We have to allow the technology to address emissions whilst remaining an investable economy. Gilts now over 5 %, which is horrendous as nobody wants to invest in Uk- energy policy is a big part in this.
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
Not sure I agree. I’m in the copper industry and have an understanding of how much copper and other critical minerals will be required to drive th electrification of the car fleet. We will get there but it won’t be soon. We won’t hit net zero by 2050 whatever else happens in the world, but technology is making leaps and bounds that will be a lot kinder to the environment, but it will take a lot of disruptive moves to get there. I’m not a proponent of shutting down our industrial base to shave 10-30 years off that timeline. As Elon Musk has said, we need to make significant changes, but the situation dictates that we do so on a timeline that is more than 50 years and less than 500 years. A lot of people would have you believe we have to stop using energy tomorrow or we are all doomed.
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JHVI
JHVI@JHVI1·
@turnbjames @implausibleblog I just watched a video of Mars. Meanwhile some of you have been saying “we can’t change overnight” for decades now to preserve an industry or way of like that is ruining wildlife and is heating up the planet rapidly. Future generations are screwed and you know it.
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
@afneil We are all a bit shocked by the battle readiness of UK naval forces but, whilst its capability may have receded notably since 1982 it’s still far more potent that Argentina with 2 aircraft carriers and Nuclear subs.
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Andrew Neil
Andrew Neil@afneil·
The Falklands are now defended by a substantial and well-armed British garrison, Typhoon jets and the formidable Sky Sabre air defence system. Plus provision for rapid reinforcements. None of that existed in 1982. There’s no way Argentina could just ‘walk in and take over.’
𝐍𝐢𝐨𝐡 𝐁𝐞𝐫𝐠 🇮🇷 ✡︎@NiohBerg

Britain could lose the Falklands because of weak leadership. It's not the 80s anymore, there's no Thatcher in charge and the UK is a depressing shell of its former self. If Argentina simply walks in and takes over, possibly soon with Trump's approval, what exactly will Keir Starmer do? Send an angry worded letter? Would he even care at all?

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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
@JamesMelville I agree - from what I have seen of him he would be an amazing candidate. Very likeable character and leader.
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James Melville 🚜
James Melville 🚜@JamesMelville·
The three favourites to replace Keir Starmer as Labour Leader are Angela Rayner, Ed Miliband and Wes Streeting. This is absolutely ridiculous. None of them are an improvement. They are all part of a failing government and tarnished Westminster swamp. If Labour are really serious about reconnecting with the public, they should completely reboot and go for Al Carns as their next leader. Ex Royal Marine, awarded the Military Cross, grew up in a working-class household in Aberdeen and is way more relatable and charismatic than the three stooge favourites for next Labour leader.
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Olga Nesterova
Olga Nesterova@onestpress·
Several rumors are circulating today about possible developments in the Middle East. At this stage, they remain unconfirmed and originate from unclear sources. Given the sensitivity of the situation, I will report only verified information to avoid contributing to unnecessary anxiety.
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David Keyes
David Keyes@DavidMKeyes·
🚨 Game changer!! The top Basij commander, General Fuqit Immout, has fled Iran. Expect the regime to fall this week.
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Royal Ambassador
Royal Ambassador@JaokooMoses·
CONFIRMED: Several US military bases are experiencing internal revolt as a huge number of soldiers are refusing to go to the battlefield and die for Israel. This will have a devastating impact on pentagon and the Whitehouse. Internal revolt is the first time to be experienced.
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Tim CB
Tim CB@balmer_tim·
I am the face of modern Britain. My surname Carpenter was first used in 1121 in the reign of Henry I. My ancestors built his country.
Tim CB tweet media
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James Turnbull
James Turnbull@turnbjames·
@GBNEWS Rather parochial and irrelevant debate to be fair. Clearly the majority of Iranians want the leadership to be overthrown. No idea who Jonathan is but, as he confesses to have no insight or knowledge of the situation or basis for the conflict, why have him on the show?
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GB News
GB News@GBNEWS·
'Russia invaded its neighbour... Iran did not start this, Israel and the US did.' 'We did not start this, we are ending this!' Lisa Daftari of The Foreign Desk and Jonathan Lis debate Nigel Farage's assertion that Iran poses a bigger threat than Russia.
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James Turnbull รีทวีตแล้ว
Ken Cao-The China Crash Chronicle
People keep saying the U.S. is now paying more for oil and gaining nothing from striking Iran. That’s simply wrong. The strategic benefits stack up fast. Here are 9 benefits to start: 1) Preemption – Iran was reportedly negotiating for advanced Chinese anti-ship missiles that could threaten U.S. aircraft carriers. Acting early prevents a far more dangerous battlefield later. 2) Contain China – Iran is one of Beijing’s key strategic partners in the Middle East. Weakening Tehran disrupts China’s regional network. 3) Secure Hormuz – The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of global oil flows. Greater control over this chokepoint means enormous leverage over global energy markets. 4) Signal to Gulf states – Saudi Arabia, the UAE and others quietly exploring Chinese weapons suddenly remember who actually provides regional security. 5) Deterrence demonstration – A decisive strike reminds rivals that the U.S. still dictates the rules of escalation. 6) Energy leverage over Asia – Japan and South Korea rely heavily on Middle Eastern oil passing through Hormuz, giving Washington additional strategic influence. 7) Pressure on China’s energy lifeline – Much of China’s imported oil also passes through the same chokepoint. 8) Reset Middle East balance – Weakening Iran reduces the influence of Tehran’s proxy networks across the region. 9) Global power signaling – The message travels far beyond Iran: the United States still has the ability to shape outcomes in critical theaters. Geopolitics isn’t sentimental. It’s strategic arithmetic.
Ken Cao-The China Crash Chronicle tweet media
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