@WallAndOcean

436 posts

@WallAndOcean

@WallAndOcean

@wallandocean

Private Investor

เข้าร่วม Şubat 2015
1.3K กำลังติดตาม109 ผู้ติดตาม
Nick Maggiulli
Nick Maggiulli@dollarsanddata·
@CaptainCons Yeah maybe read don't skip the part where I say it's worth it for those who can't afford it. Full disclosure: I got a need-based full ride.
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jedimarkus77
jedimarkus77@jedimarkus77·
I read "Taylor, Texas" and my mind goes straight to BBQ
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt

NEWS: Samsung is preparing to build a second chip factory at its semiconductor cluster in Taylor, Texas. The first fab (below) is Samsung's new $25 billion chip fabrication facility that will help produce @Tesla's future AI6 (HW6) chip. Samsung wants to expand and build a second chip fab as major U.S. tech companies line up to place their orders amid strained capacity at Taiwanese rival TSMC. The facility is a 40 minute drive from Tesla's Giga Texas factory. Last year, Tesla signed a $16.5 billion deal with Samsung to produce these AI6 chips, but Elon Musk says that number is "just the bare minimum. Actual output is likely to be several times higher." Various Tesla products such as their cars and their Optimus robot will use this AI6 chip. The first Samsung fab facility in Taylor is expected to be operational in 2026. (drone footage is from Nov 2025 via Airwave Dynamics)

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@WallAndOcean
@WallAndOcean@wallandocean·
@PaternalLegacy YOU CANNOT BE SERIOUS I see the full circle of clay though but it’s also tucked under the strip. The ball mark doesn’t look symmetrical and couldn’t clear all of the granules at the line edge. I’d give this to my opponent. I would not expect to be given this in return.
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Paternal Legacy
Paternal Legacy@PaternalLegacy·
in or out? Help me settle this
Paternal Legacy tweet media
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Robbie Hendricks
Robbie Hendricks@robbiehendricks·
An hour ago… wife: hey babe can I take the kids to school in your car? me: sure, love. any reason why? wife: just want to shake it up! me: sounds good, enjoy <gets in her car>
Robbie Hendricks tweet media
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@WallAndOcean
@WallAndOcean@wallandocean·
@moseskagan @HighyieldHarry It’s what the “seize the means of production”crowd can’t fathom, don’t understand what the actual “means” are, think you can just take the factory and have a business. Bad operators make the same mistake, if you’re not the means and not paying, they leave and start their own firm
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Moses Kagan
Moses Kagan@moseskagan·
@HighyieldHarry Total misunderstanding of what's going on They have relationships and gravitas, which is what gets SC in the room for Don to pitch
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High Yield Harry
High Yield Harry@HighyieldHarry·
Most realistic part of Mad Men is how these two old guys sit around doing nothing while taking the bulk of the economics.
High Yield Harry tweet media
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@WallAndOcean
@WallAndOcean@wallandocean·
@MarkYusko Why not though, isn’t it essentially a 2.5x - 3x levered single asset fund, with shortable shares, where the underlying asset popped 10% today. Maybe Bitcoin isn’t the most rational thing in the world, but mathematically this seems just about right for today’s action.
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MLFootball
MLFootball@MLFootball·
THE CRAZIEST STAT EVER… The most touchdowns in #NFL history of: 10+ yards - Barry Sanders (51)   15+ yards - Barry Sanders (41)   20+ yards - Barry Sanders (30)   25+ yards - Barry Sanders (27)   30+ yards - Barry Sanders (23) THE GREATEST OF ALL-TIME, @BarrySanders. 🤯
MLFootball tweet media
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@WallAndOcean
@WallAndOcean@wallandocean·
@paulswaney3 Completely agreed. In the few characters available I tried to show why it won’t fit the curve and then why if you do fit, your results are wildly out of expectations. That should indicate that you shouldn’t be ascribing the normal curve. LTCM failed due to this misunderstanding.
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Paul W. Swaney III
Paul W. Swaney III@paulswaney3·
@wallandocean But it’s not actually 6 sigma in the traditional sense Ascribing a normal curve to the market isn’t working.
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Paul W. Swaney III
Paul W. Swaney III@paulswaney3·
I speak for the engineers of the United States. Stop appropriating our culture! Sigma talk comes from Six Sigma and quality systems. That world has 3 properties 1. The process is designed to be stable and 2. the data is close enough to bell curve that sigma is a useful ruler. 3. The tails represent defects, so the goal is to crush the tails. Markets have the opposite properties. In the markets, 1. volatility changes over time. 2. The big moves cluster 3. The tails are quite fat, extremes show up way more than the bell curve story (Financial returns are not well modeled by a stable normal distribution like the quality systems associated with manufacturing.) So when someone says 10 % in silver is 4- 5 σ, the missing inputs are everything: what sigma? lookback window, 20 days, 60 days, 365 days? horizon? close to close? distribution assumption? If you estimate sigma from a calm window, then a shock day looks like a once in 10,000 year event. That is a math trick, not reality. Six Sigma logic works for a factory because the machine tomorrow resembles the machine today. Markets are adaptive. The sigma itself moves. Using a fixed sigma to claim impossibility is a category error. Lightning example is also a meme. Lifetime strike odds are a hazard rate, not a bell curve variable. Mapping it to 3.8 sigma is just a translation that functions like a prop If you want to talk odds, use odds! One tail beyond 3.8σ under a bell curve is about 1 in 13,800 US lifetime lightning strike is about 1 in 15,000 Cute comparison, but it ain't even close to statistics!
Edward Dowd@DowdEdward

Today’s 10% move in Silver is a 4-5 sigma event. A 3.8 sigma move is the chance that you personally get hit by lightning at least once in your lifetime…so not likely. You are witnessing history today.

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@WallAndOcean
@WallAndOcean@wallandocean·
@DVNJr The irony of this with the Hunts while Silver is trading at an all time high price is astounding
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Don Van Natta Jr.
Don Van Natta Jr.@DVNJr·
The Hunt family is worth $25 billion. So of course they need $1.8 billion in public money to build a new stadium. For NFL owners, it’s the gilded era. Forever.
Eben Novy-Williams@novy_williams

BREAKING: The @Chiefs are set to receive $1.8 billion (!) in public money for a new $3 billion stadium in Kansas. That's the largest public subsidy ever for a U.S. sports stadium project. More coming for practice facility, too. More at @Sportico 👇 sportico.com/business/real-…

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Logan Mohtashami
Logan Mohtashami@LoganMohtashami·
Just remember to always be mindful of any jobless claims data that spikes vertically, it's usually a one off
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Logan Mohtashami
Logan Mohtashami@LoganMohtashami·
We survived the 4% 10-year yield again 😏
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Meb Faber
Meb Faber@MebFaber·
@Citrini7 Same thing with politics - ask someone who their congressmen and senators are ...
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Citrini
Citrini@Citrini7·
Citrini’s guide to being a dick at the idea dinner: if someone you don’t like starts talking about tariffs, ask them what the current tariff rate on a given country is. guarantee by the second country you ask they have no clue.
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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan@McClellanOsc·
I find it amazing how many professional journalists do not understand the difference between a podium and a lectern. A podium, from the Latin word for "foot", is what you stand on. A lectern, from the Latin word for "to read", is what you stand behind while reading things.
Tom McClellan tweet media
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@WallAndOcean
@WallAndOcean@wallandocean·
@biancoresearch Jim, I believe you were incorrect about the Supreme Court in your LinkedIn post re Powell. Chief Roberts did not sit on the court when confirmed to succeed Rehnquist as chief. He had been nominated but not confirmed to replace O’Connor when Rehnquist passed.
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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan@McClellanOsc·
I got an apology from @grok.
Grok@grok

@McClellanOsc @Imbusschluessel I apologize for inaccuracies in summarizing your interview. It seems I misattributed "dead cat bounce" and "low money manager exposure," possibly from your prior discussions on similar concepts like liquidity. Your bearish outlook was the focus, but I got the phrasing wrong. I'll review the interview to ensure accuracy. Thanks for pointing this out.

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Robert Lufkin MD
Robert Lufkin MD@robertlufkinmd·
It doesn’t have to be this way.
Robert Lufkin MD tweet media
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