Hector

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Hector

Hector

@HectOracle

I’m here for a good time. Stock talk, real estate, #tech and $TSLA. Hard rock and guitar are my jam!

Canada Sumali Şubat 2021
313 Sinusundan1.4K Mga Tagasunod
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
💯
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Ron Butler
Ron Butler@ronmortgageguy·
@AndrewNDP2025 John your handle is AndrewNDP2025 Absolutely no one in Canada cares what you think other than the crazy blond haircut person running your fuckshow Convention last week
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John
John@AndrewNDP2025·
Hey Ron the word WOKE when used in the manner you use it and in the way you are thinking it should be used just shows your expectable ignorance of the word. Respectfully I don’t think you know what the word means. We are about the same age
Ron Butler@ronmortgageguy

@AC_newtothis @DividendDynamo That's just the Standard Woke response to the word WOKE You know EXACTLY what it means, it just pisses you off that it's so easy to categorize a whole discredited Ideology with one single word And since "Not Worth Listening To" You're BLOCKED

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Wall Street Apes
Wall Street Apes@WallStreetApes·
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, says that US Government raising taxes doesn’t do anything to help the average American He says raising taxes does nothing because Congress just launders the money to their friends, special interest groups and “17,000 lobbying groups” “I don't know anyone, and you guys in the room, you might be Democrats, Republicans who thinks that sending another trillion dollars to Washington D.C will actually improve anything. So when you say raise taxes, if you said raise taxes and directly give it to the people who need it, do it. That does not happen. It goes to all these interest groups, and they give it to their friends and all that.” “Which is why the people are considered a swamp. It's kind of a swamp, the 17,000 lobbying groups. But bank companies are guilty too. They're just fighting for their one self-interest as opposed to what's good for my country”
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Steve Bromann
Steve Bromann@SteveWps·
Is there a better movie then Sicario?
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@BubleQe I’ve been keeping an eye on $BN Thoughts on that over the Brookfield stocks?
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LNG QE 🇨🇦
LNG QE 🇨🇦@BubleQe·
What happened to $BIPC today? No position but all energy infra is in my watch list at the present time.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
@JPINVESTS23 @altcap Top 5 to buy (positively correlated to AI/general intelligence gains): NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, AMD. 10-15 to avoid (moats shrinking per AI disruption analysis): CRM, ADBE, NOW, WDAY, CRWD, ZS, NET, MDB, HOOD, DOCU, TWLO, HUBS, INTU.
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Brad Gerstner
Brad Gerstner@altcap·
Truth. Fade businesses whose moat shrinks w improvements to general computational intelligence. Their multiples will shrink ahead of their shrinking moats. Your portfolio should be positively correlated to improvements in general intelligence. 🧐🧐
Naval@naval

AI is going to drain a lot of moats.

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Justin G 🌰
Justin G 🌰@Justin4_OSU·
Anyone else not able to get in to the Metallica waiting room queue for the Sphere?
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@sportsnetmurph Who knew Dan has great taste in music as well. Nice.
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@MrMikeInvesting Ok but what are people gonna sell to raise money to buy these once they’re public?
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Mike Investing
Mike Investing@MrMikeInvesting·
2026 is going to be a MASSIVE year for IPO’s… These are the largest IPO’s scheduled: ~ SpaceX: $1.5T ~ OpenAI: $850B ~ Anthropic: $380B ~ Databricks: $134B This injection of liquidity into the markets is about to be something that has never been seen before…
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Sarah
Sarah@OG_Sharbie·
EWR shut down due to @JetBlue flight - just another reason to avoid this airline
Chip Franklin.com@chipfranklin

Hey @Jetblue Your flight attendant chose to begin the flight by specifically thanking President Trump and his cabinet for all that they do. This will be the last time I choose your airline, and I will tell everyone about my experience. And oh yeah, fuck off

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Kenneth Chan
Kenneth Chan@iamkennethchan·
BREAKING... B.C. government's PST expanded to wider areas of the economy in 2026, specifically to more services, especially relating to real estate & building development. As well, PST exemptions will be removed for some services. #bcpoli #vanpoli #vanre dailyhive.com/vancouver/bc-p…
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@DrDavidKass @grok find all these q4 13fs and list the most common adds and sells between them. Top 10
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David Kass
David Kass@DrDavidKass·
I will summarize the major Q4 portfolio purchases/sales (Form 13F) of Warren Buffett, David Tepper, Li Lu, Stanley Druckenmiller, Bill Ackman, and Dan Loeb after the market closes today.
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Origo
Origo@origoinvest·
$SATS EchoStar Updated Analysis Since we now have a tentative timeline on a SpaceX IPO, its a good time as any to update my NAV analysis and areas of interest as we go crescendo in to the next 6 months. Exciting times. The key takeaway from this exercise is that at the current valuation of $129 / share, $SATS is still trading at a discount to what I estimate to be a worst case scenario With a clear catalyst ahead EchoStar represents a high conviction expected value play with a high probability of 40-90% upside within a compressed timeframe Let's dive deeper into some of the swing factors at play: 1) Value ex-Space X: I estimate there to be $42-53B of asset value to the HoldCo (net of any OpCo debt). The main variables to this are (i) value of the remaining AWS-3 (paired) and (ii) Boost Mobile. AWS-3 (paired) remains a highly strategic asset and my base case at $2.5 MHz POP is quite conservative in my view. Boost Mobile is the largest "unknown" and can seriously surprise to the upside if the hybrid MVNO model takes-off and they become a core player in D2C through the SpaceX partnership. If this happens there is probably further upside to my high case. 2) HoldCo liabilities: there is a ~$8B NAV swing between my low and high case which is a function of (i) tower lease litigation and (ii) tax impact from spectrum sales. On the tower lease litigation there is >$4B of remaining lease obligations as at Q3 and we are taking the full hit in my low case. Whilst we are not privy to the contractual details it is highly unlikely in my view that EchoStar would be liable for the full sum with recourse to the HoldCo. Without going into too much detail the key legal elements revolve around the drafting of the Force Majeure clause (since EchoStar was forced by the FCC to sell its spectrum) as well as the counterparty and guarantor group under the contract. From what I gathered from the case it is likely that the EchoStar subsidiary that entered into the agreement is separate to the spectrum selling entities, is of limited substance and did not provide guarantees. Having said this I am still assuming some settlement amounts in both base and high cases. On the tax liability from spectrum sales, as I've highlighted previously there is a chance the Company can avoid this all together due to section 1033 of the tax code on forced sales of property (since the FCC mandated the spectrum sale they should qualify for a deferral so long as they reinvest the proceeds) 3) Based on all the above I get to a NAV ex-SpaceX range of $24-42B. Now if we overlay the value of the SpaceX stake, even at the very low-end of the IPO range ($800B) I get to a total NAV of $133-186/share. If the $1.5T rumoured valuation is true then we are closer to $190-243/share. Note that SpaceX is expected to represent >50% of $SATS NAV in my base case. 4) Thoughts on exit / trimming: as we approach fever pitch on the IPO I believe there is a good chance that $SATS trades, at least temporarily, at a premium to NAV (which is not reflected in my analysis). If this happens I would suggest trimming more aggressively as I would expect that premium to flip to a small discount once SpaceX shares are live. On the balance of probabilities I think the $200-250 range is a good area to take some profits. @transhumanica @BDeveran @ACapitalLP @HighStakesCap
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@SadClubCommish Another Seahawks interception will seal their fate
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Jason Brough 🙁
Jason Brough 🙁@SadClubCommish·
I cannot believe the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. Against the Patriots!
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@eevblog @grok give this some thought and tell me your conclusion. Make sure to not let political bias affect your response
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Dave Jones
Dave Jones@eevblog·
Question for Americans from a dumb Aussie about the Minnesota thing. Obama used ICE to deport approx 3M illegals, and got the nickname "Deporter in Chief". And he wasn't even voted in on doing that. There were some protests, but nothing even remotely violet or crazy. Why is now everyone so violet and crazy? Is there any other explanation apart from Orange Man Bad?
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@mattsekeres I’ve been a die hard Canucks fan since ‘82. Only way to survive this season is to turn it off. See you at draft lottery
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Matthew Sekeres
Matthew Sekeres@mattsekeres·
So bad it’s comical. 11-0 aggregate on consecutive HNIC appearances. Say this though: tank is being executed with military precision. Wasn’t long ago, Jets were below them in standings. Now? 7-point #Canucks *lead* & Winnipeg has played one fewer. That’s how you tank!
CanucksArmy@CanucksArmy

RINK WIDE POST-GAME: Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers | Game #48 - Jan. 17, 2025 w/ @patersonjeff & @harmandayal2 | @RinkWideVAN twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…

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Michael
Michael@Mikemccarthaaay·
Are we ready to admit last season of white lotus was painfully bad or are we still pretending ?
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Hector
Hector@HectOracle·
@BubleQe I’ve been out of energy for a while now. What are your 2 fav to add right now?
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cinesthetic.
cinesthetic.@TheCinesthetic·
What’s an HBO series (that’s not The Wire, The Sopranos or GOT) that y’all would recommend?
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