OptimisticCynic

14.9K posts

OptimisticCynic

OptimisticCynic

@TransparentHRC

Sumali Eylül 2016
579 Sinusundan125 Mga Tagasunod
OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@ProfessorPape @MalcolmNance The Vietnam War shows how few troops are required to enter a one-way escalation ladder. Start with a handful and keep sending them until your political base collapses. It means watching logistics doesn’t tell you anything about that first step.
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Robert A. Pape
Robert A. Pape@ProfessorPape·
Another 10,000 Ground Troops preparing for Iran, raising total to 17,000. Stage 3 of Escalation Trap gets closer by the day, even as Sec Rubio says ground forces unnecessary. Track troops and logistics, not rhetoric wsj.com/livecoverage/i…
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@Billbrowder @ChrisO_wiki Withdraw from NATO and lose access to the air and naval bases that America relies on to fight the President’s war? Seems insane.
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Sir William Browder KCMG
Sir William Browder KCMG@Billbrowder·
Sounds like the table is being set for the US to withdraw from NATO. Not that this wasn’t obvious before, but it’s now being said pretty explicitly
Department of State@StateDept

PRESIDENT TRUMP: NATO wasn’t there for us. We send billions of dollars to them every year to protect them. We would have always been there for them. But based on their actions, I guess we don’t have to be, do we? Why would we be there for them if they’re not there for us?

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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@joni_askola NATO has total control over access to the Baltic Sea and the North Atlantic. Russia’s export economy would essentially end, the very goal of Ukraine long range strikes.
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Joni Askola
Joni Askola@joni_askola·
European armies are living in a fantasy. We do not have even a fraction of the cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, or interceptors needed to survive a high intensity war or actually deter Russia. We are entirely exposed and relying on empty stockpiles. We must wake up
Joni Askola tweet media
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Angry Staffer
Angry Staffer@Angry_Staffer·
Oof. An E-3? That’s not good. We only have around 20 active in the entire fleet. Between this and the radar systems we’ve lost, this war is getting very expensive from a national security perspective.
The Aviationist@TheAviationist

The Iranian attack on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia was apparently bigger than first thought, with reports of damage to multiple refueling aircraft, an E-3 Sentry AWACS, and injuries to at least 10 U.S. troops. Updated report: theaviationist.com/2026/03/27/ira…

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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@JamesSurowiecki NATO saves America money and vastly increases our ability to spend in R and D since we have allies to sell weapons to.
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James Surowiecki
James Surowiecki@JamesSurowiecki·
We do not spend hundreds of billions of dollars a year on NATO. We spend less than ten billion dollars a year on it. Trump's implicit claim here is that if we weren't a member of NATO, we would slash our defense budget by hundreds of billions. But that's nonsense. We don't spend almost a trillion dollars a year on defense because of NATO. We do it because the US wants to be able to project its power wherever and whenever it wants.
James Surowiecki tweet media
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@ProfessorPape @MalcolmNance There us only one thing that will determine if the US enters a ground war: Trump And he has multiple ways he could be pulled in: 1) severe loss of American life 2) terrorist attack in the US 3) irreparable damage Gulf oil infrastructure 4) personal humiliation
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@MalcolmNance Trump just wants to make sure that any Thanksgiving argument between relatives over whether or not Trump is an egomaniac can be settled quickly.
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Rep. Melanie Stansbury
Rep. Melanie Stansbury@Rep_Stansbury·
OK, so let me get this straight—the Vice President of the United States is going to Hungary to actively campaign for an autocrat….k got it.
Rep. Melanie Stansbury tweet media
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@JewsFightBack The Soviet Union was occupying all of Eastern Europe for a half century, but they gave it back.
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Jews Fight Back 🇺🇸🇮🇱
Jews Fight Back 🇺🇸🇮🇱@JewsFightBack·
47 years ago today, Israel gave Egypt the Sinai. Three times the size of Israel today. Given up for peace. Show me another country willing to compromise this much for peace. I’ll wait.
Jews Fight Back 🇺🇸🇮🇱 tweet media
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@factsforupsc Russians took Tehran and the north half of Iran in 1941 while the British occupied the south.
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tweetsforupsc
tweetsforupsc@factsforupsc·
This is How Natural Fortress look like Iran Ground invasion is not easy
tweetsforupsc tweet media
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@MalcolmNance The Russian invasion of Ukraine involved more than 150000 Russian soldiers from bases on Russian and Belarusian soil. Gulf War, 500k Americans plus allies. So 10k Americans will do what?
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Malcolm Nance
Malcolm Nance@MalcolmNance·
Your assessment is quite wrong. Strategic deception would not involve 10,000 troops. Where we attack is different but this op is a Go. Trump is painted himself into a corner. He’s gonna take the leap. And Land in paint.
Ken Klippenstein@kenklippenstein

A conventional ground invasion of Iran is not imminent; military sources tell me that the Pentagon is just trying to scare them using strategic deception: kenklippenstein.com/p/is-a-ground-…

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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@Mylovanov Why not make the reaction to Russia’s current invasion devastating if you want to teach Russia a lesson?
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Tymofiy Mylovanov
Tymofiy Mylovanov@Mylovanov·
Rutte: Ukraine's NATO membership is not on the cards for now. When the war stops, Putin must know the reaction will be devastating if he tries again. In Paris in January, a coalition of the willing agreed on what Ukraine's security guarantees should look like. 1/
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@TrashPanda08x We can’t have this because city folk don’t want this coming into their downtown through their single family zoned neighborhoods.
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Raghu
Raghu@IndiaTales7·
Vladimir Putin was asked why he was not assisting Iran in the conflict with Israel 🇮🇱 He replied: “Israel today is almost a Russian-speaking country, two million people from the Soviet Union and Russia live there. We take that into account.”
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@TrentTelenko Taking shelter in mosques or praying in mosques as their religion calls them to do. Potato, potato.
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Trent Telenko
Trent Telenko@TrentTelenko·
The US-Israeli air campaign needs to be inflicting 20 times that number a day to collapse Iranian Regime Security Forces control over the Iranian population in ~3 months.
The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷@TheIranWatcher

🚨 Over 200 Basij members reportedly killed in a mosque strike in Mashhad. Reports indicate that Basij and IRGC forces had taken refuge inside Imam Sajjad Mosque during heavy bombardment. This comes amid growing evidence that these forces are using mosques, schools, and other civilian locations as cover, believing they will be shielded from Israeli and U.S. strikes. Mashhad was heavily struck tonight.

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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@MulhollandL0ver The North was also very racially and culturally segregated, and initially the former slaves had hopes of integrating in the South. Reconstruction doesn’t end until 1877, and legalized segregation takes 20 more years to take hold. By the mid 1910s The Great Migration has begun.
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@dqveed North Korea is more willing to have a female leader than America?!?
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Geraldo Rivera
Geraldo Rivera@GeraldoRivera·
Somebody in Iran is negotiating with the US. Maybe as soon as tomorrow in Pakistan. Not everybody in Tehran is happy about that. Maybe they will turn on each other.
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OptimisticCynic
OptimisticCynic@TransparentHRC·
@Riley_Gaines_ Female sports were created because women wanted to compete and society wouldn’t let them.
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Riley Gaines
Riley Gaines@Riley_Gaines_·
"Female bodies are just as strong and fast and capable as male bodies." - State Senator Lindsay Williams in PA today If this were the case, why were women's sports created in the first place? They just say words and expect us to nod along.
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Tansu Yegen
Tansu Yegen@TansuYegen·
In South Korea, some tall buildings now have small gravity escape systems where you clip in, release a brake, and gently lower yourself to safety without electricity 🪂
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Tuklasin

@ProfessorPape @MalcolmNance @Billbrowder @ChrisO_wiki @joni_askola @Angry_Staffer @JamesSurowiecki @Rep_Stansbury