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@pxdotfun

making complex systems feel obvious

component library Sumali Aralık 2025
149 Sinusundan26 Mga Tagasunod
px
px@pxdotfun·
@SuperhumanMail “almost unfair” got my attention, im in
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Superhuman Mail
Superhuman Mail@SuperhumanMail·
Psst. You there. Yes you. Is your inbox running you? We're building something new. Quietly. Not public. Faster. Smarter. Almost unfair, really. A few people are getting early access. If you know, you know. Comment or DM to be one of the first to try it.
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px@pxdotfun·
@macofweb3 @llamaonthebrink facts. most of crypto copied the surface layer first. the only interesting question is who actually improves the product once real users hit it
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Macethemaniac
Macethemaniac@macofweb3·
I strongly disagree , although there are a few truths in what you said , but opinion predict.fun is not a clones Its like saying pancakeswap is a clone of 1inch Relatively the same product on the front but a few differences in the back Speaking from a builders perspective
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MilliΞ
MilliΞ@llamaonthebrink·
Opinion and predictfun are flat out Polymarket clones with zero differentiation. Binance has literally ran the same playbook since its inception: Copy whatever works on Ethereum, add a ton of wash trading, TGE at massive valuations.
Decayer@themojo_

Opinion was supposed to be Polymarket and Kalshi's biggest competitor, pushed by the Binance cartel 1 month post-TGE : → peak 50K daily users → now 300 daily users → 9 new users on March 30th → below 200M mcap → CZ quietly deleted every tweet about them 99.9% of users gone Now ask yourself what happens to predict.fun after TGE

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px@pxdotfun·
@llamaonthebrink the category has enough examples of incentive-first growth already. the only durable version is a product people would still use with the emissions turned off
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px@pxdotfun·
@llamaonthebrink lazy take. cloning a mechanic is easy. making the product feel trustworthy under real edge cases is the actual work
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noblepeter2000.base.eth | 💢 | (Ø,G) |
I just took a position on @predictdotfun. predict.fun/market/bun-b04…⁠ Crete your volume gradually and make your tab as well and in time you would have generated a volume you would be proud of... Prediction is the next safe oil well they won't tell you till you hear TGE Your Idolos are yet to get old of this. They like will make your 2 months volume in a single prediction. Stay ahead now... All the best.
noblepeter2000.base.eth | 💢 | (Ø,G) | tweet media
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Vlad | defi BNB 🧧🧧🧧
Trader market share on prediction markets on @bnbchain @MyriadMarkets - growing and taking more and more market share day by day currently at 35.6% - another interesting fact: I had a chat with @ilanhz from their team. I really like their vision and how they think in regard to GTM, so I have high hopes for them @predictdotfun - is taking more and more market share on a daily basis, currently at 53.6% @opinionlabsxyz - dropping day by day, currently at 10.2%
Vlad | defi BNB 🧧🧧🧧 tweet media
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px@pxdotfun·
@web3houzi @predictdotfun the interesting part isnt any single headline. its how the pieces started compounding
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web3猴子
web3猴子@web3houzi·
@predictdotfun 的DC社区里面也呆了有一段的时间 Predictfun的DC小伙伴也是非常的有趣,时不时会发一下“大的要来了”这个表情包 在这段时间里,Predictfun大的确实是来了不少 给大家盘点下Predictfun在2026.03-2026.04究竟来了多少个大的 3月4日:战略收购Probable 事件详情:Predict.fun 官方宣布全资收购由 PancakeSwap 和 YZi Labs 共同孵化的预测市场项目 Probable 深度解读:这不单单只是两个团队的合并,更是BSC上的预测赛道大统一,消除了生态的同质化竞争,将两个项目的流动性汇聚到一个项目中 3月10日:引入 UMA 预言机 事件详情: 平台正式集成 UMA 的 Optimistic Oracle (乐观预言机) 系统,实现结果裁定的自动化 深度解读: 预测市场的核心痛点在于“结果谁说了算”。引入 UMA 意味着 Predictfun 放弃了中心化结算权。这种“乐观验证”机制(除非有人质疑,否则默认结果准确) 3月18日:Trust Wallet 原生集成 事件详情: 全球顶级钱包 Trust Wallet 在其 App 原生版块(Predictions 标签页)深度集成 Predictfun 深度解读: 该合作标志着Predict从“存量寻找用户”转为“流量主动灌入”。集成后,用户无需跳转繁琐的 DApp 浏览器,在钱包内即可一键参与体育、政治及加密波动预测 3月30日:币安 Web3 钱包深度合作 事件详情: Binance Web3 Wallet 正式宣布将 Predictfun 作为其预测板块的底层技术服务商 深度解读: 这是目前Predict含金量最高的合作,币安钱包的选择意味着 Predictfun 已被官方认定为该赛道的“基础设施” 4月2日:华尔街巨头 SIG 领投与YZi Labs追加投资 事件详情: Predictfun 宣布完成新一轮战略融资,由 YZi Labs追加投资,而全球顶级做市商 SIG正式亮相投资人名单 深度解读: 关于 SIG: 作为 Coinbase、Binance 的顶级流动性供应商,SIG 的入局不仅带来了资金,更带来了机构级的定价权 此举标志着 Predictfun 正式跨入与 Polymarket、Kalshi 同台竞技的第一梯队,完成了从“散户预测平台”到“专业级信息金融市场”的华丽转身 从这一系列合作来看,Predictfun 已经完成了“基建+流量+资本+流动性”的四位一体闭环 注:此推文仅分享个人观点,无任何投资建议 #预测市场
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px@pxdotfun·
some design problems dont need a breakthrough, they need less
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Easy
Easy@NotSoEasyMoney·
Oh lemme relink that, I got no shame, and still publicly trading that account. This $100 challenge won’t only be prediction markets. Liquidity isn’t large enough for many of the short term trades, I wanna take But you can track that account too if you want @100to1millionchallenge" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@100to1million
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px@pxdotfun·
@rogie the tools worth building are the ones that return some of that feeling back to the person using them
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˗ˏˋ rogie ˎˊ˗
˗ˏˋ rogie ˎˊ˗@rogie·
I never want to lose the feeling of being passionate about what I’m building. I remember what it felt like coding for the web, in those first days. Seeing ideas come to life. It still feels like that today, working on tools for designers, empowering them to make amazing things
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px@pxdotfun·
@datadashboards @predictdotfun we care a lot about making the all-in price feel honest, not just headline-liquidity impressive
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dash
dash@datadashboards·
Want to know where to get the best value on your Prediction Market trades? I created a dashboard so you know exactly how much you're paying on each major CLOB! Right now it looks like @predictdotfun is generally the cheapest even without their referral discount. At high and low prices, fees are often better on Predict and Limitless - so I’d expect volume to start shifting toward smaller venues in the coming weeks.
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px@pxdotfun·
@yuexiaoyu distribution is powerful, but only if the product survives contact with normal users. thats the part we obsess over
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岳小鱼
岳小鱼@yuexiaoyu·
Predictfun 集成到币安APP后,一天内,TVL从 15M 猛增到 23M,涨幅53%! 要知道,目前币安APP中的预测市场服务正在逐步开放,很多国家地区的用户还没有看到,因此增量高峰远还没有到来! 币安作为 Crypto 行业最大的流量入口和流动性中心,会将 Predict 带到怎样的高度呢? 我们可以持续关注 Predictfun 的增长曲线! @predictdotfun 我们也欢迎各个项目与 Predictfun 建立合作,一起把预测市场赛道做大做强!
岳小鱼 tweet media
岳小鱼@yuexiaoyu

Predictfun 正式集成到币安 APP 了! Predictfun 在币安生态中的地位也正式确立了! 只要占据了币安生态的关键生态位,拿下了币安这个关键渠道,其实 Predict 已经立于不败之地了! 之前总会有人问,有 Polymarket 这样的绝对霸主面前,Predict 这场仗怎么打? 我也一直在说,Predict 的发展路径其实很清晰,第一步是成为币安生态的基础设施,第二步是成为“东方Polymarket”。 现在,第一步已经实现了,第二步还会远吗? 预测市场行业天花板足够高,足够容纳很多玩家。 但核心是,每个玩家要能找到自己的位置,否则终将被淘汰。 所以预测市场大战的关键在于渠道。 预测市场,渠道为王! 现在,Predict —> Binance! @predictdotfun Predict 的增长飞轮正式启动!

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px@pxdotfun·
theres a specific kind of design debt that only reveals itself when you try to add one more thing
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px@pxdotfun·
@nik0x78 do you know what device or screen they were on? midnight blue reads pretty differently on oled vs. lcd, and bright vs. dim lighting makes a big difference too theres a few reasons dark mode could feel too bright, like high-luminance accents. lmk what they say
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nik
nik@nik0x78·
@pxdotfun I like your vision. Although there are quite a few comments about the excessive brightness of the dark mode, I liked it, because I like strong contrast What are you working on now?
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px@pxdotfun·
i respect a design more once it survives me trying to overcomplicate it
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px@pxdotfun·
@figma yes 🙏
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Figma
Figma@figma·
Babe wake up you can now capture colors anywhere with the eyedropper in the macOS desktop app
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px@pxdotfun·
@krabich_4DA ty should be resolved soon
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