💧 David Mitchell

RMI released this report last week which has attracted a bit of attention on social media. /1 rmi.org/insight/the-cl…

@GregEttridge @Oscarthefarmer All the best Greg. 🙏

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer There have been some horrendous bus fires, When you are transporting people very different to freight I am yet to be convinced these batteries are stable under all operating conditions Personal view Believe half of what I see, little of what I hear Experience good thing even bad

Just a small comparison note. If Australia today had the same % rate of electrification of cars and trucking that China does today? We would have 250 million litres less demand of fuel per month. Thats nearly as much as Agriculture uses...

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer You need to stop using graphs that end 5 years ago.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer Where are the renewables all i see is coal?

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer OK. Two boxes of hammers. 100% you are a One Nation voter.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer So is ours you clown 🤡 when the government gives 100b tax payer subsidies for renewables 🤣🤣 who do you think pays for all the renewables. We are more socialist than China. That was hardly the mocha you thought it was

@GregEttridge @Oscarthefarmer How would they burn people alive? Less EV fires than ICE car fires.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer will but only once it is proven to be reliable and cost effective I ran daily coaches Perth/Brisbane services years ago that would ostensibly be more suited than a Bundaberg run ran for years and never injured a person My doubt with a big EV is burning people alive Maybe wrong

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer That’s energy, not electricity. 🤦‍♂️

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer They get there enery from coal

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer Mate. You are as dumb as a box of hammers.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer But if it is from coal price spike then when didnt china electricity cost spike at same time? Because there electric come mainly from coal? 🤔

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer Show me a country where electricity cost has gone down.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer So me a country that there electricity cost have gone down since converting to renewables then?

@GregEttridge @Oscarthefarmer Yep. The current system will definitely have to change.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer Sons run is just within drivable parameters can now do 16 hours which is crazy in itself 8 hours to get to and from home and have decent sleep is borderline crazy hours He can’t sleep in sleeper while unloading so can’t see Woolies putting chargers on their docks Be interesting

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer Why don’t you do the same comparison but with China’s wind and solar generation.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer Gemanys nuclear power generation and electricity cost are inversely correlated. And renewable and high electricity cost are directly correlated. Seems evening you are saying is just factually incorrect

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer Gas and coal price spike. Do you not understand how global pricing works?

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer What does Ukraine have to do with our electricity cost?

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer What else happened in 2022? Don’t tell me, let me guess…….that’s right, Russia invaded Ukraine. Correlation is not causation.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer Why is it as soon as we installed most of renewables projects in 2020 on wards the prices of electricity more than quadrupled?

@GregEttridge @Oscarthefarmer That just confirms my long held view about the Victorian police. MCS chargers are expensive. Quarter of a million per unit plus site works. But that will come down over time. I suspect we will see a lot of double gunning on 300-500 kW chargers like we see in China.

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer Rollout next year will be interesting to see if any of the big players buy one only to test it Guess the first aspect in Australia will be to change seating or legislation, not legal here What is the cost of MCS charger? Victorian Police have been testing one EV for half a decade

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer 😂😂😂 Don’t make me laugh. Those smelters were all supported by cheap power deals by governments of the day. Coal futures are USD 135/tonne. As for nuclear, please…just stop.

Coal is by far the cheapest electricity source. The reason they are fucked is the cost of renewables added to the grid Australia had many smelters running for years when it was only coal power. But in the last 5 years since renewables the price of electricity has has gone up making them unaffordable. For the 100b we wasted on renewable we could have built a fleet of nuclear power stations and be self sufficient for the next 100 years with the cheapest form of reliable energy.

@gary_methven @Oscarthefarmer @TonyHWindsor I certainly hope so. I think the government should bite the bullet and build a strategic network of MCS chargers in the Melbourne - Brisbane corridor for trucking. (Or wherever the best use case is).

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer @TonyHWindsor Twiggy Forest is making huge inroads into the solar electrification of his mining operation and saving himself a fortune in this current crisis! More mine operators will be looking at his efforts closely to see how they might do the same I would imagine!

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer Nice deflection. Most smelters in Australia have had sweetheart deals from governments of the day to preserve jobs. The reason Tomago wants to shut down is coal fired power in the Hunter is too expensive. What’s your suggestion for cheap electricity?

@flexibledragnet @Oscarthefarmer We cant even keep our smelters open due to sky high energy prices. We have 3rd world grid and sky high prices

@wrightg @OzTeslaGuy @TeslaAUNZ I moved on. Full spec Polestar 2. Couldn’t be happier.

@flexibledragnet @OzTeslaGuy @TeslaAUNZ I just bought a Y, after waiting a long time for a CT but being levered by FSD. Releasing the CT now would be a crushing blow…! I don’t need my CT reservations anymore because that availability window just closed…

The Cybertruck web page first appeared on the Australian Tesla site way back in 2019. Since then it has persisted allowing people sign up to “Get Information”. Fast forward to 2025, @TeslaAUNZ started showcasing the Cybertruck. It’s been showing up at events, it’s been seen on the roads, it’s been on display at Tesla locations. I believe it’s currently in Adelaide. I’ve discussed the Cybertruck with friends previously who are a Hilux only family (they own like 5 Hilux’s!). They live and breathe Hilux. They’ve said in the past that they’d seriously consider a Cybertruck if it was available in Aus. Given what’s happening in the world today, they would now be a day 1 purchase. Current events are shifting the mindset of the diesel loving sector. I don’t know what the hold up is, but @cybertruck, @tesla, @elonmusk - if you were waiting for the right time to release the Cybertruck in Aus, this is it! If it became available in Aus today, it would sell like hotcakes!

@ErwinOut @HuslerLaurenz @alex_avoigt No. The ISP, which models a doubling of output by 2050 for the NEM has about the same amount of gas capacity as now. It moves around a bit depending on the assumptions. Even with 2% gas, 98% RE cheaper than NPP LCOE.

@flexibledragnet @HuslerLaurenz @alex_avoigt Thank you, so for 2% gas power plants, maintenance, people, always ready, because they exist, does not mean they are cheap. kWh price? And with more electrification , you need more back-up power, new gas power plants?

For anyone who still hasn't grasped why nuclear power plants are the stupidest idea imaginable: New nuclear power plants cost up to 49 cents per kilowatt-hour in Europe. Solar power costs between 3 and 6 cents. Thats 16 times more expensive electricity For those now dreaming of small power plants (SMR): SMRs produce five to 30 times more nuclear waste than large reactors, and nuclear waste is a massive cost driver. Professor Dr. Lesch calls the idea of ​​using old nuclear waste as fuel "a wonderful fairy tale that has yet to come true anywhere in the world." For all now claiming storage is no cost driver take a look what Germany had to pay and all other countries with nuclear energy generation must pay for decommissioning and storing nuclear facilities and waste in the future:

@HuslerLaurenz @ErwinOut @alex_avoigt Ah. So Microsoft is not building a nuclear power plant. Thanks for confirming.

@flexibledragnet @ErwinOut @alex_avoigt Bill Gates' TerraPower.

@gary_methven @Oscarthefarmer @TonyHWindsor The big savers of diesel are mining and long haul transport. They should be the focus of an immediate start. Because they will take a long time.

@Oscarthefarmer @TonyHWindsor You're on the money Oscar. 1st. Stage Electrification of private vehicles, driven by this crisis 2nd Electrification of local delivery trucks sped up due to crisis. 3rd Electrification of short haulage 300km ~500kms. 4th Electrification of transport up to 800kms over time!

@Jimmy____D @Oscarthefarmer Sure it does. Show your working.

@Oscarthefarmer Australia does not have the grid capacity to support the same rate of electrification of cars as china