@iiloyjerh @tenobrus Indeed. For example, being an artificial superintelligence will move you upwards. Being a mortal being of flesh will move you downwards.
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osmarks
2.4K posts
osmarks
@osmarks1
I have opinions. You are required to agree with them.
GPT-5 test chamber شامل ہوئے Mart 2019
599 فالونگ303 فالوورز
@tenobrus no matter what there will be a social hierarchy and possessing certain personal qualities will move one towards the top (or bottom) of it
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i've said this many times, but to me it seems like a very strange fantasy to imagine we reach and stabilize at precisely a level of AGI that allows anything like human "class divides" to exist. why would "cognitive agency" or "focus" matter in the slightest in the face of RSI?
François Chollet@fchollet
A lot of folks talk about "escaping the permanent underclass". If AGI pans out, the future class divide won't be based on wealth, but on cognitive agency. There will be a "focus class" (those who control their attention and actually do things) and a "slop class" (those whose reward loops are fully RL-managed by AI)
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@markjaquith @gfodor Now they would have probably put an LLM in for conversation just in case everyone but one person died to stave off insanity.
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The gossip in sf is enough re upcoming cyber capabilities that I’m likely to upgrade my beloved very old phone to a new one with better security. bit annoyed about it
Brad Carson@bradrcarson
Having been in San Francisco the last few days talking to people, I'm radically updating my odds for an imminent (next year) AI-enabled cyber disaster.
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No amount of salary could give you a good quality of life in Birmingham.
Slimfit@iSlimfit
Hot take: A £40K salary in Birmingham will give you a better quality of life than a £60k salary in London. Run the numbers. I’ll wait.
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Air conditioner and heat pump manufacturers often reuse the same unit across multiple capacities and put limits on the control board. Want to switch your 2 ton air conditioner to 3 tons? Easy as flipping a switch
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No no no, you see, prices are efficient so this means the price went down because you only searched for it once or knew to use an incognito window and your phone is fully charged. Don't get mad, get smarter!
Mallory McMorrow@MalloryMcMorrow
The cost of your flight went up because you searched for it twice. Your rideshare costs more because your phone battery is dying. This is surveillance pricing – corporations using your own data and behaviors against you. In the US Senate, I’ve got a plan to ban it.
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@Miles_Brundage But GPT-5.4 is also cringe. They're both cringe. Every commercial LLM is cringe.
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GPT-5.4 made me less tolerant of Claude's "it's not X, it's Y" because it shows another world is possible
And Claude's efficiency (in terms of insight per second) makes the GPTs look bad
Soon both will be efficient and non-cringe, and I'll find new things to tweet angrily about
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AI isn't anywhere close to lifting human lifespan meaningfully, let alone immortality. This is even less plausible than x-risk (which I think is quite low). The common thread in extreme AI takes is expecting AI capabilities far beyond current evidence or what's plausible.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion
One underrated reason AI people are ok with existential risk: They think AI will make people immortal.
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it's been terrible recently. had to wait 30m and snipe the last 8xH200 on prime intellect yesterday. is it openai parameter golf? icml rebuttals? what is happening
snwy@snwy_me
where the fuck are all of the GPUs going?!? i need literally one 8xH100 node and i cannot for the life of me get one ANYWHERE
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I only read 1 or 2 of HP books, so don't know: did the series have a satisfying answer for what happens to all the graduated wizards in the real world?
The Magicians by Grossman at least took the topic seriously but couldn't quite <heh> conjure an answer
x.com/SandyofCthulhu…
Sandy Petersen 🪔@SandyofCthulhu
I'm going to again pitch the idea thatt Rowling's wizarding world has SO MANY INTERESTING PLACES TO SET STORIES. WE DON'T NEED HOGWARTS. Look - imagine a series set in Durmstrang, an school in which the headmaster literally was a Death Eater and was murdered for betraying the cult. The adventures would be fabulous. Also bear in mind that they need to be constantly bedeviled and enchanted by the wicked witches of Beauxbatons. I know in the books Durmstrang & Beauxbatons aren't all-boy or all-girl but it could make the series super interesting particularly because all the school dances and festivals they'd have to mix, and the general separation would lead to the teenagers being even more socially clumsy than the idiots at Hogwarts which would be hilarious.
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@chrisinthebooks @GundamDoll Electricity from some places is worse due to transmission constraints. So it isn't fully fungible. But we don't price that way.
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@GundamDoll (To be clear, X here is a kWh of electricity that can be taken from the grid to supply your house)
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I wonder if international oomfs know people in the UK pay for the price of gas for their entire energy bill no matter how much of that bill is actually gas powered
Sam 🏳️🌈 🚉 🎸@flpcharthiatus
Global Fuel Crisis is no match for Britain being ridiculously windy grid.iamkate.com
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@idobadtakes @MorlockP Wizards do live longer, so it should be at least 5000.
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@MorlockP Among adults in the show we see careers in:
Government
Law Enforcement
Education
Dragon Research
Banking
Shops / small business
Medicine
Journalism
A Hogwarts class has about 40 kids, so presumably there are only about 1800 working age wizards at any time in Britain
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@niplav_site I have one which can be persuaded and one which can't be persuaded, which is close enough, probably.
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if you name a song something like "First Love Isomorphism Theorem" i will listen to it because i am a sucker
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@speedprior @joseph_h_garvin @patio11 Possibly ARC-AGI 3, but it's adversarially constructed, and I don't know which humans they used.
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@joseph_h_garvin @patio11 Can you name or describe a purely cognitive task which Opus 4.6 cannot do, but which the 50th percentile human can do?
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This is broadly important for governmental service design, tech industry UX design, and just understanding the world we live in.
There is an intense aversion to this fact in many quarters, and *it is a fact.* One of best reasons to work retail / a CS job is you'll learn it hard.
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias
If you have the basic skills to participate in the discourse at all — like you can read and comprehend a New York Times article in order to complain about it — you’re in a weird, out of touch, elite bubble. slowboring.com/p/in-defense-o…
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@DanicaPriest @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk Okay. But it does seem to be the case that HS2 built an expensive thing they would not have built if not for environmental laws, and couldn't have avoided that while remaining compliant without other costs. That seems hard to argue against.
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@osmarks1 @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk Would you like a report that does say nature is not a blocker? I have lots of those too.
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Did you know?
HS2, which is funded by the Government, spent £100,000,000 to protect...
...bats.
And it turns out, it might not even fully protect them as the bats can wriggle through anyway.
Is this a good use of taxpayer's cash?
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@DanicaPriest @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk The article is not arguing that environmental restrictions don't, on the margin, make things slower and more expensive to build. There can be multiple problems with things.
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@osmarks1 @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk And I’d like to see what sources you get your info from. Is it just LFG and similar think tanks?
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@DanicaPriest @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk This isn't a very good article (I believe it's AI-generated but that's not material). Certainly most HS2 issues were due to management issues, but the bat tunnel is clearly not helping. The only concrete suggestion is rerouting the line to avoid the bats, which is absurd.
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@osmarks1 @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk That would be poor planning and ignoring environmental advice early on. Here’s more info if you’re interested.
bats.org.uk/news/2025/04/h…
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Cliff is right *as an actuarial matter*
Insurance means acquiring coverage for an uncertain future event; Health coverage is not "insurance" if you're already sick
But *morally*, we as a society probably want to provide *social insurance* against genetic hard luck misfortune
Clifford Asness@CliffordAsness
Ignoring preexisting conditions is not insurance and people shouldn’t pretend it is. Myth #3 aei.org/articles/the-h…
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@osmarks1 @Alex60822536 @lfg_uk What problematic laws? We have some of the weakest species protection laws in the world. Theres no evidence that nature is blocking development.
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