@piekutmp @Sandeman52 Caring about others shouldn't depend on how much money you have ...
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Yabadabadoo
2.1K posts
@Sandeman52 Why do you bother to get someone there if you already have $15 Million? If I were you would focus on enjoying that $15 Million.
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Yeah your investment strategy needs to change. If you want to retire EARLY, investing in individual stocks instead of VOO, which is in your profile, can get you there.
I turned $50k into $15 Million.
I didn’t do that with ETFs.
Marсo | Not-Ideal Investor@b_co_co
$75,000/yr earned. $27,000 gone to taxes. $18,000 gone to rent. $7,200 gone to your car. $6,000 gone to food. $1,800 gone to subs. $3,600 gone to interest. $11,400/yr left. Retirement minimum: $1,200,000. Something has to change. Your income or your expenses…
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@Fibonacci_TA There's just too much to love about NBIS. It's gonna go up. I think it 10x's in the next 5 years.
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$NBIS (Max Pain $230 | Price $227) — Jun 12 expiry
$3 under max pain, three dollars, on a $227 stock with 2.3M stacked at $410.
> puts die above $210, leaving almost nothing between current price and the pin
> calls wake up at $240, build consistently through $340, then detonate from $370 to $410 — measured in millions per strike.
🎯 Loaded at the pin: $230 is max pain and $240 is where the ramp ignites. $410 is the peak.
Who else has $NBIS on their radar this week?
Fibby.@Fibonacci_TA
$NBIS (2W) — Hit all the targets, so now what? We wait. I know that's not the answer most were looking for, but this one has made a stellar run from the breakout at $100 all the way to $264—and as beautiful as that is, it leaves a lot of room for a pullback. Just look at the EMA cloud and how much catching up it needs to do to get back to the candles. I expect bulls to make a stand around $182 and we'll take it from there. Taking profits on the way up on names like this is never a bad thing, in my opinion.
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@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit，非常感谢您这么详细地解答我的问题！ 从toxic financing、ATM dilution、债务利息到股权激励的分析都超级实用，让我对早期AI机会的筛选又多了一个清晰的checklist。尤其是$IREN vs $NBIS的对比例子，讲得特别透彻。 会继续认真跟着您的分享学习，期待更多干货！再次谢谢女神！
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Sure, #1 thing is toxic financing structure/float dynamics.
Best example is current Neoclouds landscape:
- $IREN is basically trash, since they have $6,000,000,000 ATMs and virtually infinite dilution, likely selling into every rally (structural overhang)
- While $NBIS is now YTD 153%+, from optimal structures (eg. $NVDA direct funding, mix of convertibles, etc.).
- On the other hand, $CRWV has endless debt interest given they took out high interest rate loans to finance GPUs.
It's extremely nuanced, but you need to take a look at the float dynamics.
If they're legitimately a good company, then it might be a good idea to go long after all the existing holders get diluted to oblivion.
But if you care about your equity appreciation, it's a good idea to stay far away from toxic financing structures or toxic overhang (eg. debt interest, that eats away at a company FCF long term)
With smaller companies, they have this all the time, like
$SLNH, where there's new $500m ATMs on a $250m MC.
Or like $BKKT where there's endless dilution to fund executive pay.
With these companies you're basically transferring your money over to the company while influencers talk about them. So those are red flags.
With many software names like $SNAP, they mask stock-based compensation with profitability. So while the company optically looks profitable, you'll likely see the value of your equity decrease due to dilution.
There's endless types of these share structures you need to look when screening ideas.
跟着Serenity学投资@chuge857
@aleabitoreddit 想请教一个具体问题： 你在筛选这类早期机会时，除了「现实世界观察 + 行业人脉」，还有没有一个你自己总结的「最小验证 checklist」？比如某个信号一旦出现，你就会把仓位从观察池提到重仓池？ 非常欣赏这种把金融、VC和硬科技研发背景融合起来的打法，期待继续看你分享！
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Added to my clean water contribution...
It's cool how they've gamified donations! Goal is to reach 100,000 lives changed through @charitywater.
Despite the odd comments in my last post, after doing my due diligence, @scottharrison and his team seem exceptionally trustworthy.
Wayne Liang@wliang
Lately I've been seeing a ton of people donate their X payouts to charities, and it's wonderful! For the last ~5 years, I've been sponsoring numerous children and funding schools in Ghana, but I've never contributed to clean water... Started my new journey with @charitywater!
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@TejKhaled @daniel_koss "we" ? Reread what I wrote. I wasn't in on it for that lol.
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@robbhope @daniel_koss You're panicking because a stock dropped with the entire market? Come on man.
We went up 17% in a day a couple days ago. 10% up and down has been part of this stock for as long as I can remember. Get used to it, and get some conviction.
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@daniel_koss You liked my comment but didn't reply lol. Now I'm even more curious. Should I buy more? Lol
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@daniel_koss Please give me hope. I just plopped 10% of my portfolio into it on Thursday night after hours when it was down 5%.
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@Sandeman52 Hey Sandeman, still just as bullish as before on NBIS, right? Nothing's changed? I put about 10% of my portfolio into it on Thursday night after I saw it dip 5% in AH. lol. Terrible timing on my part.
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Rosanna has been nailing it all weekend.
Rosanna Prestia, MBA@RosannaInvests
My take: one high-volume down day tells you about emotion and sell algos, not direction and it’s resolved both ways historically. The more useful question is the catalyst. Friday sold off on hike fears from a jobs number that was mostly a World Cup one-off. The scare was noise; the selling was mechanical. That’s the real “will this time be different.”
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@RingOfFireCGY That's an obnoxious amount to trade for the 1st overall. Calgary says no.
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Who says no?
To Calgary
- 1st overall pick (Flames take Gavin McKenna)
To Toronto
- 6th overall pick
- VGK 2026 1st round pick (30 or 31)
- Four 2026 2nd round picks (35, 36, 51, 55)
- 3rd round pick (68)
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@TheProfInvestor Don’t listen to him. He’s a paid account. Short $AMPX
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@daniel_koss Perhaps putting the money into Daniel’s Autopilot would not turn a bad idea at all 👌🏻
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New investors have a genuinely brutal problem right now:
The best stocks look like they already ran too far.
Just looking at the charts makes you feel like you are buying a generational top and will be a bagholder for the next decade.
I am not saying this is rational.
I am saying this is what many new investors write me in DMs.
So I will write a Substack article on how I would start investing if I were currently 100% cash and a totally new investor.
As a new investor, I think you honestly need at least one year to develop a feeling for how markets work.
You need to learn what makes stocks go up, what makes them go down, how earnings play into this, and what catalysts actually matter.
Then slowly increase your risk exposure after you have proved to yourself that you actually have a winning system.
Aping in in your first year of investing and expecting a great return is NOT the way to go and NOT what I can promise or offer here!
I think you need to give yourself time to learn and understand the mistakes and biases you have and make.
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@Jackson59994888 @TheProfInvestor I just bought a bit. GL if you buy.
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@daniel_koss Ohhh ok fair enough. Is autopilot an app? Got a link? I follow you on Substance but not autopilot.
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@robbhope I no longer share it publicly, only to X Subscribers, but you can kinda cheat if you look at Autopilot 😂
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YTD is now at +315%.
Return since 2024 just passed +3,000%.
May MVPs: $NBIS $DRAM $OUST.
Life-changing money.
These crazy numbers give me a lot of psychological safety to keep trading like an absolute madman.
It is nice to know that even if my portfolio crashed 90% tomorrow, I still would have done way better than if I had simply left my money in the bank and let inflation slowly eat it up every year.
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Ouch.
I don't understand why anyone would short $NBIS
There are so many actually great shorts out there today.
Why pick one of the obvious winners at the heart of inference demand, the most parabolic growth chart in market history (that I know of)?
Jeremy M. Jacquin@jeremymjacquin
$NBIS Last year, Nebius stood out to me as a compelling undervalued pure-play AI infrastructure company, backed by tangible data center assets and meaningful GPU capacity. Hence the reason I accumulated 9,000 shares with a $39/share cost basis. Today, it trades as a highly speculative hype-driven stock, priced at unsustainable multiples based largely on unproven future promises rather than current fundamentals. The risk/reward profile has deteriorated sharply. Prudent investors may consider taking profits on their overexposure amid elevated valuation risk. I have now opened a short position worth $40k on the @leopoldasch pump at $225 and $230.
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@vz921 @aleabitoreddit I think a ton of people are buying it simply because they expect retail to buy the wrong one on the IPO launch day. Including me. Zero actual interest in SPCX lol.
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@aleabitoreddit Buying the wrong space ticker out of pure FOMO. If that’s not a sign of how much pent-up demand SPCX has, nothing is.
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@DeepValueBagger yeah welcomed news after you called him a retard! 😂 not sure how your followers trust you
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Just last week I pointed out he held many ai dc plays but not $nbis. This is welcomed news. I wonder if this really made the market move afterhours. I feel extremely lucky as i just removed the 10 covered calls i had on it this week.
Wall St Engine@wallstengine
Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness LP disclosed beneficial ownership of 12.41M Class A shares of Nebius $NBIS, representing a 5.6% stake.
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Wow, beautiful day for $CPSH!
Given the fundamentals, especially with the forced-flow from $NASA, this is still undervalued at ~$200M MC.
Nonetheless, tomorrow is a blank canvas. Will elaborate on the AlSiC angle in my thesis soon.
Wayne Liang@wliang
So I was deep diving into $NASA ETF holdings to see what will heavily benefit from $SPCX IPO... And I came across $CPSH. At the start of this year, it was a solid US AlSiC play, but quickly became a multi-thesis bet. As of last week, $NASA ETF holds ~1.8M shares of $CPSH (I immediately started a relatively large position). This is important because $NASA is the only pure-play space ETF with direct SpaceX exposure pre-IPO. And a portion of every dollar flowing into $NASA for SpaceX exposure becomes a purchase of $CPSH. As SpaceX IPO momentum builds toward June 12, that flow accelerates. But let's go over why $CPSH even made the cut into $NASA's portfolio. At the beginning of 2026: > It was the only meaningful US/Western hedge against East Asian AlSiC supply (Denka, Sumitomo, JFC, etc.) > Existing customers: US Military, NASA, $LMT, $RTX, Northrop, General Dynamics, and more > AI optionality as $NVDA Rubin generation scales towards multi-thousand watt requirements (this angle alone deserves a whole new post) And the foundation has only gotten stronger... > Record 2025 annual revenue of $32.6M and Q4 2025 revenue $8.2M vs $5.9M prior year (+39% YoY). Q4 gross margin recovered to 14.6% from a Q4 2024 gross loss > New $4M hermetic packaging order announced post-Q1 > Navy SBIR office extended Phase I program for Amphibious Combat Vehicles > Potential US Navy destroyer ballistic shield contracts with Congressional funding already secured Now add the $NASA ETF layer... Large asymmetry here.
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@Limitless_LT @wliang Still like it even after crushing it today?
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