Tom Dimpletree
1.1K posts


First Day: Iran's Retaliation Larger Than Expected, but Israel Maintains Firepower
The US, lacking the range for carrier-based air strikes, limited itself to launching Tomahawk missiles.
Based on just two different videos, both showing more than 20 Tomahawks launched, I estimate the US expended 10–15% of its Tomahawk inventory on the first day, hitting dozens of targets in Iran.
The Israeli attacks were even more aggressive, with two major waves on the first day striking over 200 targets on Iranian territory.
However, all strikes were launched from Iraqi airspace, indicating some continued Israeli caution regarding Iran's air defenses.
Iran is seeking to eliminate the American AN/TPY-2 radars, but these structures are highly mobile, with US crews able to relocate more than once a day. To locate them, Iran would need Chinese assistance and considerable agility.
Both Israel and the US heavily invested in drone operations for terrain monitoring to hunt for Iranian missile launchers, at least two large-scale launchers were identified and destroyed.
There are still no reports of naval combat, which also suggests that Iran's navy (with over 30 warships) remains largely intact, as does the entire US fleet, which is staying well back in the Arabian Sea.
On this first day, several strikes targeted mountain base exits to obstruct and delay the movement of Iranian launchers. Iranian radars were also hit, though in limited numbers. Iran has improved its guerrilla tactics for radars, which may be helping.
Israel likely also worked to obstruct known silo coordinates.
I see Israel repeating tactics from the last 12-day war.
On the Iranian side, the focus was on US bases in Gulf countries. At least 6–8 bases are under heavy bombardment, what I calculate as damage already in the billions of dollars, given that the Qatar base alone cost $10 billion.
Air defenses at these bases were largely exhausted on the first day, with few Patriot batteries still operational and showing low efficiency, as some footage demonstrates.
Iran also destroyed an AN/FPS-132 radar in Qatar and a radome in Bahrain, which probably housed a high-altitude radar or SATCOM system, both high-value assets.
Overnight, Iran is expected to maintain the missile pace, focusing on Israel and additional US bases.
I believe Iran will launch around 100 long-range missiles during this period.
This is a protracted conflict. On the first day, the Strait of Hormuz was already closed, as we had predicted here, and it has strong potential to drag in other Gulf countries.
On this first day, everything has unfolded as we anticipated over the last 15 days.

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Trump’s team told you no invasions in the Middle East. They broke this promise, just as they’ve broken so many.
Stephen Miller@StephenM
To anyone still gullible enough to fall for scummy media hoaxes: Trump said warmongering neocons love sending your kids to die for wars they would never fight themselves. Liz Cheney is Kamala’s top advisor. Liz wants to invade the whole Middle East. Kamala = WWIII. Trump = Peace.
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@timkaine your talk on Fox this morning proves that you are a terrorist sympathizer. You trust Iran over your own country. You are a POS. Leave office immediately for the sake of America
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Why $650 Billion in AI Spending ISN'T Enough. The 4 Skills that Survive ... youtu.be/NCgdpbEvNVA?si… via @YouTube

YouTube
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.@AOC: When I was elected, the Democratic Party was telling working people "everything is fine" when it wasn't. I campaigned on the pain points in my life.
If we are to succeed, if we are going to stave off authoritarianism, we need to have a working-class centered politics.
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@notSJWfriendly @KFFNCOACH @TeamAOC @PorterLandrum @AOC Millenials do not want socialism, that is nonsense
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@KFFNCOACH @TeamAOC @PorterLandrum @AOC If these numbers are true then the MSM and Socialists have done a good job brainwashing the masses. If the Millenials get their wish of socialism then they will suffer for the rest of their lives. Socialism fails all the time. FYI, Sweden, Denmark, etc are not socialist.
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@SergeantJSmith @SenSchumer I bet you need an ID to get into his neighborhood
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@SenSchumer We need ID to buy a car, a house, open a phone account, and on and on and on. STFU with your bullshit gaslighting and lying. You’re a joke
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Bad Bunny's full message to ICE and all republicans during his Grammys speech is SO important:
"We're not savage. We're not animals. We're not aliens. We are humans, and we are Americans. Also, I want to say to the people...I know it's tough not to hate on these days, and I was thinking sometimes we get contaminamos. The hate gets more powerful with more hate. The only thing that's more powerful than hate is love, so, please, we need to be different. If we fight, we have to do it with love. If we don't hate them, we love our people, and we love our family. And that's the way to do it, with love."
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Tom Dimpletree đã retweet

@JKosmalski @YQuidnunc @MissyIsMaga @WallStreetApes @GuntherEagleman Be careful, the animals get mad when you introduce logic too quickly
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@YQuidnunc @MissyIsMaga @WallStreetApes @GuntherEagleman Not a homeless problem in Florida where it is also warm....Just saying...
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The fraud being exposed in California is INSANE
- 18% of THE WHOLE COUNTRY’S home health care billing is coming out of Los Angeles County
- One doctor billed the government $120 million in a single year claiming to oversee 1,900 patients
- With almost 2,000 hospice agencies, Los Angeles County has more than 36 states combined and 30X MORE than the whole state of Florida and New York
“How is that possible? And take a look at this map, a cluster of 287 hospice providers, in a two-mile radius, some in strip malls, unmarked buildings, even a wrecking yard and vacant lot. All of it is just paperwork. I could fill that out in Kazakhstan if I want and get a hospice license waiting for me.”
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@LdyLemuria99348 @YQuidnunc @MissyIsMaga @WallStreetApes @GuntherEagleman Well, have you seen the mayor?
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@YQuidnunc @MissyIsMaga @WallStreetApes @GuntherEagleman Very high rent. 1 million dollar home with 3 bedroom, 1 bath, less than 1000 Sq Ft living area, in an neighborhood where you need bulletproof vest. Fact. Hospitals in LA inundated with patients needing severe help. LA county and state not well managed.
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@YQuidnunc @MissyIsMaga @WallStreetApes @GuntherEagleman Keep lying to yourself, your city your state is fucked
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@MissyIsMaga @WallStreetApes @GuntherEagleman Then leave. Shut the behind you. A little education: LA County has a population bigger than most states.
This morning it was warm enough for short sleeves, in February. That is why we’re inundated with the country’s homeless, whom our taxpayers have to support. You’re welcome.
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@allenanalysis Only thing we need to be alarmed about is your use of Ai and not thinking for yourself
Keep this Ai slop up and you will end with nothing
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🚨 BREAKING: Donald Trump just CONFIRMED that Tulsi Gabbard is involved in the Fulton County 2020 election probe and says she was PERSONALLY present during the FBI raid that SEIZED ballots.
The sitting president is OPENLY tying the intelligence chief to a local election investigation and hinting at “interesting things” coming.
That’s federal power hovering over election infrastructure and it should ALARM everyone.
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🚨BREAKING: THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS NOW ARRESTING INDEPENDENT JOURNALISTS FOR REPORTING ABOUT THE MINNESOTA ANTI-ICE CHURCH PROTEST.
This IS the censorship Republicans spent years screamed about…
Independent journalist Georgia Fort was on the scene as a member of the press, doing exactly what journalists are supposed to do: film and document a protest.
For that, she was arrested by the FBI.
In her own words:
“As a member of the press, I filmed the church protest a few weeks ago and now I’m being arrested for that. It’s hard to understand how we have a Constitution, Constitutional rights, when we can just be arrested for being a member of the press.”
Read that again.
She wasn’t organizing.
She wasn’t participating.
She was reporting.
They want journalists to think twice before showing up… They want cameras turned off. They want documentation of their crimes and constitutional violations to stop.
If you witness something the Trump administration doesn’t want seen, you become the target.
When a government starts treating observation as participation, and documentation as a crime…
You no longer have free press.
This is what authoritarian governments do.
They don’t ban the press outright… they terrorize it into silence.
If journalists can be arrested for doing their jobs, then the public loses its witnesses, its accountability, and its ability to know the truth.
And once that’s gone, everything else is easy to hide.
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@TheRickWilson Remember when journalists were standing upright American’s.
That was a long time ago
Now they’re equivalent to clickbait trolls
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@Suzierizzo1 Dude takes medication
Nothing to see here
Keep scrolling
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