Jon Crowell
283 posts





Marathon finishing time distribution proves one of my biggest leadership lessons: Deadlines work! … even if they are somewhat arbitrary

OpenAI shutting down Sora is the most predictable outcome of misunderstanding consumer behavior. Everyone grossly overestimates how creative people want to be. 99% of humans simply want to scroll and zone out instead of spending energy conceptualizing, editing, and creating videos. No matter how much the barrier to creation is lowered by a single prompt. It still takes effort and a fair amount of creative thinking. Even Instagram has 2 billion users. But hardly ~10 million (or 0.5%) would be serious creators. So any AI consumer app betting on "with [new_app], everyone becomes a creator!" is being delusional and will go down the same way. After all the word "consumer" exists for a reason. They consume. They don't produce (or even want to lol)






FOSTERING THE FUTURE TOGETHER || 45 Nations || 1 Humanoid || 1 Mission || Empower our Children || The White House || 2026 Inaugural Global Summit





I love a jacket potato as much as any Englishman, but I sometimes fear that the ability for the rest of the world to see how we live has not been an entirely positive development for our country

Tried my hand at a very rough, initial geospatial battle damage assessment of Iranian missile and drone strikes against US and regional military bases. A few notes on caveats and methodology. 1/7






















