Kenneth Misher

@ElectionCenter_ And now it's ruled that drawing the districts based on race looking ridiculous is unconditional. Keep huffing that copium

The Supreme Court literally ruled that a second black district must be drawn

@Truththing25 I can't find that anywhere

@MisherKenneth Levers latest poll.

Last Federal poll modelled out for Atlantic Canada- Blue wave incoming

@FalkTG You can't understand why they won't give up their national sovereignty? Lol

And I won’t comprehend why - Sweden doesn’t join the Eurozone - Denmark doesn’t join the Eurozone - Norway doesn’t join the EU - Iceland doesn’t join the EU Although I really appreciate you, your solidarity is in fact quite often rather symbolic.

@twizzyu The most compact possible map of LA is 5-1 btw

Here's what the Dem proposal (SB407) for Louisiana redistricting looks like. Much more compact districts. Proposed CD-2: 51% Black, Harris+26 Proposed CD-5: 52% Black, Harris+5

@ElectionCenter_ Are you really that stupid? District court rulings are appealed to Appellate courts whose rulings can be appealed to the Supreme Court. You cannot appeal a Supreme Court ruling, go back to high school civics please.

They can and do. Thats why we have appeals.

@micah_erfan Hi, Illinoisan here: this is a lie. Illinois was not under Republican control when this map was drawn, speaker Mike Madigan(who is now in prison) who was a Democrat shoved this map through with dem majorities in both houses. He was speaker for 50 years btw.

This map is from the 2000s when Republicans controlled the state of Illinois, lmao.

@mattforney Should Republicans have 40% of the seats in NE? No, but they should have 1 seat in CT and in Massachusetts is easily gerrymandered, look at how non compact those lines are. A compact map leaves 1 swing district in SW Massachusetts.

Can we please stop with the idea that New England is somehow gerrymandered? This is a county-level map of how New England voted in the 2024 election. The majority of counties are blue, including every county in Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The "40 percent" of Republicans in most of these states are dispersed to the point where it's impossible to stitch a GOP-leaning district together without resorting to insane gerrymandering scams like the Democrats did in Louisiana, where they carved a black-majority district by shoving two cities together that were 250 miles apart. In many cases, particularly in Massachusetts, the "40 percent" of Republicans are in towns that vote 55/45 or 60/40 Democratic. This is first-past-the-post voting, where getting just one more vote than the other guy wins, and where geographic concentration matters more than the overall vote. The only way to increase Republican representation in New England would be to increase the overall size of the House. Massachusetts has only nine seats, Connecticut has five, Vermont has one, the rest of the states have two. If Massachusetts had, say, 20 or 30 seats, a few of them would be reliably Republican. There are other extenuating issues hobbling Republican representation in New England: - Massachusetts: hostile ballot access laws that were intended to cripple third parties but now cripple Republicans because they can't get enough signatures in many districts to even get on the ballot. This is why the GOP punches above its weight in statewide races (the majority of governors since 1990 have been Republicans); it's easier for them to get on the ballot when the entire state is the electorate. - Connecticut: the two red counties are primarily rural and lack enough population for their own districts. - Vermont: only one House district, so gerrymandering and redistricting aren't factors at all. - New Hampshire: voters here are weird and split their votes more than any other state. Extremely common for them to vote for a Republican governor or state representative and a Democrat for federal races. - Maine: ranked-choice voting has nuked the Republicans in almost every race since 2018. This year, even the most pessimistic BLOO WAVE prognosticators are conceding that Republicans will win Maine's second district due to their candidate being former governor Paul LePage. Stop it. Please stop it. You people need an education on how FPTP works, why it's superior to the gay proportional systems that Europeans use, and why it leads to problems like this.

@mattforney A map of CT that yields a 4-1 delegation is incredibly easy to draw and is much more compact than the current map btw

@ElectionCenter_ A reminder that lower courts cannot in fact ignore the supreme court and you're an idiot

A reminder that any lower court can just ignore the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court ruled in Purcell that it’s too close to the election.

@walkeri141 That is so unbelievably illegal. If an amendment like the Virginia gerrymandering amendment affects the entire state, any state district court has standing to gear a case regarding it. It is the state of Virginia not the state of the DMV.

Honestly wouldn't be surprised if the VA Dem trifecta gets sick of this and passes a law mandating these types of suits have to be filed in Richmond Same thing Illinois Dems did to stop the GOP from filing in random down state courts - now they go to Springfield or Cook County

@DrHistoryBrad Maybe do a little bit of research before you type. All these states have either already gerrymandered, can't gerrymander, have a divided legislature, or are Vermont with only 1 district....

Looking at you, California, Oregon, Washington, Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Maryland, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Vermont.

@ZFlawles1s Holy copium. The map has legally been struck down in court it cannot be used lmao 🤣

people have already voted. theres no way in hell the courts let this fly

@AzelfDaGirl Keep huffing that copium 🤣

The ruling does not allow for this

@_daneiel_ Ridingbuilder needs an update with 2025 election data!

People talk about Canada joining the US sometimes, but a less discussed topic in that is: what would Canada's congressional districts look like? I loaded up ridingbuilder and assigned the districts by province and gave it my best shot! Maps below ⬇️ 1/?

@ZacharyDonnini Notice how not even Dem plants l like votehub are trying to pretend the old 5th was fair anymore

Okay, I'll throw my hat in the ring in the fair Florida map discourse. Using results applied to the these lines: 2024 Pres: 21 🔴 - 7 🔵 2022 Gov: 22 🔴 - 6 🔵 2020 Pres: 15 🔴 - 13 🔵 2018 AG: 18 🔴 - 10 🔵

@JoeNC05 Lying about what voters are actually voting on in the ballot language is definitely illegal

If theoretically the VASC rules that the redistricting process was illegal, dems could hold another referendum in early 2028 which would unquestionably be legal. I still dont believe the case that this one was illegal is strong, but this is a real possibility.

@JoeNC05 @TheOnlyLazarus You're forgetting about the ballot language question

@TheOnlyLazarus The map itself is 100% legal, the court does not contest that. There is a question about whether they passed the amendment too close to the 2025 election, that's the only legal standing the opposition has. Gerrymandering is legal in Virginia

@ferald_gord The only reason they had referendums was because they legally HAD to. If they could've just done it they 100% would have.

i think there, is, actually, a big ethical difference in how dem states are giving voters the choice to gerrymander while red states don’t. i think that distinction is pretty noteworthy!

@davidslosttt Exactly. COI is such a subjective term it just means whatever the user wants it to mean. That's why we shouldn't use COI as a map drawing benchmark

@MisherKenneth the earmuff district only impacted Safe D seats (there's an argument it was a racial gerrymander but it wasn't a partisan one) I think the argument about FL-5 is true but you can also make that argument about literally any district on this new map

I'm very curious what the communities of interests in these districts are