Swift11
1.9K posts
How are Georgia Democrats so bad at messaging these races that 10% of the electorate is going into the voting booth and picking the candidate based on which name sounds black?
Dj@DjsokeSpeaking
The additional evidence for this is the COA races: there's an equally large ticket split happening there, with the D-aligned candidate named "Fatima" outperforming the D-aligned candidate named "Will" by 20% Ds went into the booth saying "hmm, which one *sounds* like a Dem?"
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Big win for Trump, pro-Israel groups.
Big defeat for the isolationist and antisemitic faction of the right.
Josh Kraushaar@JoshKraushaar
Decision Desk HQ calls KY-04 for Ed Gallrein over Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY).
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@PatrickRuffini That means his weakness is only with independent voters who were expecting miracles after the disaster Joe Biden left behind. Sorry people, you can't make prices go down across the board - deflation almost never happens. You can only make them stay still.
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Low overall approval and high in-party approval is not that difficult to square.
Last time we saw a president lacking significant juice within his own party was GWB second term when the base was mad about spending and immigration.
DJT will never have that problem.
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten
As Indiana goes, so goes the nation: Trump still has the juice with the GOP. His approval with them is the same or higher than in past midterm cycles. Most of the GOP say party leaders should follow Trump's lead. GOP lawmakers who mess with Trump get voted off the island.
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@Bruce_Diavolo @ClayTravis They had already filed for bankruptcy!!!!!!!Its not like it was a healthy business.Without the merger it was only a matter of time and every expert back then said so
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Here’s Mayor Pete announcing the Biden administration’s decision to fight the Jet Blue and Spirit merger so they could protect consumers and ensure low fares. Now the airline doesn’t exist and passengers are stranded across the country.
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@kausmickey @NPR Just watch what happens to prices if Hormuz stays closed. Not all of us are trust fund babies Mickey.
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@TomBevanRCP I clearly remember Tom crowing that R's were certain to win the 22 senate elections. Utter fail.
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Not sure why people can't seem to grasp the obvious point: personal feelings about Trump are - or at least should be - irrelevant to analyzing elections.
By the way, I'll put my/our track record over the last 20 years up against anyone in the business.
x.com/CathyYoung63/s…
Cathy Young 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇮🇱@CathyYoung63
Or maybe -- speaking as a former RCP columnist who had an excellent working relationship with Tom for several years -- it's the brains of Trump normalizers that have been "utterly broken" by him
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@Invisibleman817 @whignewtons Didn't his dissent essentially come down to tariffs being more important as a tool of presidential foreign policy, than a clearly articulated power granted to the Congress? Cus that's not what the framers wrote. In plain language.
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@whignewtons This isn’t a matter of being consistent. Each case is different with different circumstances and facts. Different precedents and laws. Here his opinion was based on the statutory interpretation of the particular law and an originalist and textualist interpretation of the wording.
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If Justice Kavanaugh is being consistent on a more expansive executive power, we'd expect him to appear more "liberal" during a Democratic administration and more "conservative" during a Republican one. And the reverse for a justice like Gorsuch who doesn't.
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@EFeinman @QuinHillyer Which means he was an at minimum a competent lawyer to begin with.
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I just read Justice Thomas' dissent in the tariffs case. Even before reading Gorsuch's rebuttal, I find it the single weakest opinion from Thomas that I have ever read. And I'm a Thomas fan, in general. But this was nonsense -- and dangerous nonsense at that.
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@QuinHillyer How can Thomas claim to be an originalist when the constitution has literal, black-letter, categorization of powers into “executive” and “legislative,” but he somehow disagrees with those categorizations on the basis of vague historical analysis?
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@stephenkaus @kausmickey It not Mickeys fault. He has no job. He sits at home doing nothing productive. Lamenting his hairline. His lost credibility.
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@kausmickey My God, how far you have fallen. I didn't think anyone could upside this Greenland stuff. But here you are. Slate contrarianism poisoning the brain.
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Pssst -- The germ of truth in Trump's Nobel Peace Prize madness: He really does deserve it. I mean if this axios.com/2026/01/17/gaz… doesn't get you the Peace Prize, what does?
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@BrlyThnkng I can assure you, and I think my work a test to the fact, that I believe Tim Walz is as much of an ignorant, reckless boor as is Trump.
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We can’t be sure that Walz is deliberately radicalizing the impressionable and reinforcing the delusion that federal LEOs are a hostile occupation force they’ve been deputized by the state to confront. Maybe he’s too thick to understand the gravity of his remarks. But he’s playing with fire.
Noah Rothman@NoahCRothman
Tim Walz Wants the Worst nationalreview.com/corner/tim-wal…
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@Logano3xChamp @oldcarp13 @Redistrict @CookPolitical @ercovey Based on Ballotpedia's January 2026 analysis of enacted mid-decade redistricting, Republicans are projected to net 3 House seats: +5 in Texas, +2 in Ohio, +1 in North Carolina, +1 in Missouri, offset by Democratic +5 in California and +1 in Utah. Projections vary across sources.
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NEW @CookPolitical House rating changes: 18 races move in Dems' direction, including four key races from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis by @ercovey: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
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@neontaster I'm sorry, but no. Cursory observations that led right to "good shoot". Castillo shooting was legal, so this gotta be too! Lawyers gonna lawyer.
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@robertwrighter And, she likely wasn't look AT HIM! She was looking at the guy trying to rip her out of the car. She may not have even known there was an agent in front of her. If the 2nd or 3rd shot, from the side of the vehicle, prove to be fatal, that's gotta be tried in a court.
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Some people have replied, 'He was looking at her, not at her wheels.' Well in that case her cranking the steering wheel to the right would have been clearly visible to him.
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@JustinWolfers Yea, economy is very bad.
x.com/RapidResponse4…
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47
👀🚀
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December jobs numbers are out: Employment continues to slow, and we added +50k jobs. The unemployment rate fell a tick to 4.4%.
Oooph, revisions are brutal: October revised down -68k to -173k; November revised down -8k to +56k. Remember: The Fed thinks these numbers are overstated by 60k.
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@whignewtons Assessing the first shot might be hard. The second and third shots, from the side of the car, at point blank range, to the head, is not hard. At all.
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Finally, a take I agree with. I’m watching the same video. I’m going back to read Barnes v Felix. I’ve worked on the highest profile police involved shootings. This is hard stuff. The people who think it’s easy—from either direction—are about outcomes and not process.
Megan McArdle@asymmetricinfo
Opinions of the ICE shooting are pretty reliably tracking opinions about ICE and aggressive deportation raids. That shouldn't be the case. Cops on a bad mission might be legitimately forced to shoot someone who endangers them. And officers on a good mission can do bad things.
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@ChrisChief85 @thomaschattwill @bungarsargon Fleeing also is not a right to shoot her. Particularly from the side of the car. Twice. From point blank range.
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@sc56115 @thomaschattwill @bungarsargon You're right, detention alone does not constitute a right to shoot her. Merely detaining her isn't what happened, though, is it? She fled that attempted detention, disregarding an officer in front of her car.
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Mayor Frey is just straight up lying. You can see from this angle that the driver drove right at the officer.
Breaking911@Breaking911
Another angle of the ICE involved shooting in Minneapolis.
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@sc56115 @ChrisChief85 @thomaschattwill @bungarsargon Or… she doesn’t drive toward him. Problem solved.
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@ChrisChief85 @thomaschattwill @bungarsargon Maybe. But that's not license to shoot her in the head. Including twice from the side of the vehicle.
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@sc56115 @thomaschattwill @bungarsargon Do you agree she was being detained/arrested by legal enforcers of the law?
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