de-pegged.eth🦇🔊

@JonBbC_TechGeek I wouldnt say it makes zero sense, unless you are talking about buying the 32gb version. That does make zero sense. The 64gb version still makes sense. Why? Because FSD is not ever going to be unsupervised unless it has more sensors, including radar. FSD still cool to own tho.

Let’s be honest. AI4 is cooked. Back in 2019 and 2020, people raved about HW3 in a very similar way, and it was hyped even more than AI4 (by Elon and Tesla). Based on history, the maximum life cycle for a computer like this is 4 years. Guess what? AI4 is approaching the end of its lifecycle. I know this is a hard pill to swallow, and I know this post could have a negative impact on Tesla in the short run due to the Osborne Effect, but it makes literally zero sense to buy an AI4 car right now. The only exception that’s possibly valid is if you can afford TWO new cars in the next 2-3 years. In that case, knock yourself out! You totally deserve it.

@28delayslater at some point, reality will also set in that FSD unsupervised needs to be as safe as Waymo, or it will be litigated to death. That means radar and possibly the oddly and strongly hated, lidar.

Tesla solved FSD which is why v15 needs a new architecture. Don’t overthink this.

@FredLambert yeah, in 2 weeks.

Elon saying that Tesla will set up mini factories to upgrade HW3 's computers and cameras. Is anyone really dumb enough to believe this? I'm curious.

HW4 sounds cool and all, but, if you thought HW3 owners were upset, just wait for the HW4 claims @DirtyTesLa @greentheonly @DillonLoomis @wholemars @TSLAFanMtl @28delayslater @MissJilianne @mischamartijn @GerberKawasaki @garyblack00 @Tesla @elonmusk @ZacksJerryRig @FredLambert

@KHONnews I hope they buy a house, not a car, with the money.

A settlement has been reached in a legal battle involving a Washington child who was attacked by a river otter: khon2.com/news/national/…

Rain is no issue for FSD and Teslas Robotaxis.

@GerberKawasaki Finally some coverage. Commenter bots be like "stop talking"

A promise is a promise. Many of us have paid several times on several Tesla vehicles for FSD that has never worked as promised. Tesla needs to make people whole. $Tsla apple.news/ArgJdT5WlTli76…

@Daveaay @tesla_na Robotaxi is just a word. It doesn't mean it's a taxi that drives itself. It means you drive it. Yeah. That's the ticket!

@tesla_na When unsupervised Tesla, enough of lying

For $99/month, your Tesla becomes your own Robotaxi under your supervision

@tesla_na They sold us the same dream too. Hardware 3 owners got a frustrating ADAS that cuts people off and misses exits constantly

@tesla_na You need to upgrade us HW3 owners who paid for FSD.

@tesla_na Is that what a robotaxi is?

@shinemeriz You know someone who uses Grok?

Never met someone who's using Grok for coding.

@stevenmarkryan How many millions of unsupervised miles is @Waymo doing per day? How much safer is @Waymo than a human driver? You @stevenmarkryan don't understand math

But with SOOOO many sensors, how could this happen?

@BLSmith2112 @farzyness Driving is a motion/dynamics problem. Household chores are quite simple and static. I disagree that it it too complex.

I really, really want to believe in this Optimus future @farzyness. I do. My entire net worth is in $TSLA and has been for almost a decade. However, until UNSUPERVISED Robotaxi actually starts to properly scale (and I know, exponentials are exceptionally hard to predict), I simply cannot believe in a @Tesla_Optimus future. Training Optimus is fundamentally similar to FSD. However, instead of a list of narrow/ridged list of rules, whose data can be gathered by paying customers, there is virtually unlimited variables with Optimus and ZERO manually operated paying customers. The problem-set for Optimus is 1000x harder than FSD. Yes, it doesn't operate in a safety critical domain like FSD, so it can iterate significantly faster, BUT it's being trained fundamentally the same as Robotaxi, and that hasn't been proven itself to be able to scale yet. If unsupervised @robotaxi does not fundamentally scale (soon), Optimus will fundamentally not scale. Period. Optimus isn't remotely nearing its vertical part of the exponential yet, it still needs ZILLIONS of training examples to draw from before it can start executing a limited set list of useful work in a controlled, manufacturing environment in a safe way (home environments likely won't happen until post-2030). Optimus to me is a science project. The moment unsupervised Robotaxi can scale to... lets say, double the size of Waymo (taking into account Waymos current massive scaling), then and only then will I be optimistic on Optimus.

@JonBbC_TechGeek Pushing updates without informing users? Time to turn off wifi.

BREAKING: Tesla is quietly updating FSD on HW3 cars. Many owners have taken note, claiming notable driving behavior differences on 2026.8.6.

@nymbusjp It's cheaper than making cybertrucks that rot in parking lots

Tesla is producing these Cybercabs to let them rot on the parking lot, as we now have indisputable evidence that the Robotaxi service will not scale before 2030. My decades of experience in the automotive industry confirm that this is standard practice to produce new vehicles to let them rot 5 years or more on a parking lot.

@Deandawiz If you don't think Tesla is going to kneecap v.14 lite in order to sell more HW4 cars, I've got a bridge to sell you.

Elon isn’t talking about HW3 because he knows how good v14 lite is gonna be 🔥 🔥 🔥 Can’t osbourne HW4 sales lol

@LynAldenContact I aways enjoy your perspectives!

-Create a YouTube channel. -Upload one video in April 2024. -Refuse to elaborate further. -“My job here is done.”

@havetorunalot @grok is just constructed from chatgpt outputs. It's always going to be a generation behind the public version.

Groke gave up. ChatGPT won.