
83 Beals
550 posts

83 Beals
@83beals
Political prediction market research with a focus on identifying consensus mispricing and tail-risk outcomes.




AIPAC hasn’t claimed involvement in any competitive NYC primaries — but it still looms large. The dynamic is especially striking in Rep. Dan Goldman's race against his challenger Brad Lander, who has hammered the incumbent over his ties to AIPAC. politico.com/news/2026/06/1…




I'm running for NYS Assembly, but what can actually be done to advance Palestinian liberation at the state level? We can start by passing the Not On Our Dime Act! Thank you to @Ryan_Deitsch for filming 💜

I really appreciate lander as a coalition member, but do sorta hope he’s just a stepping stone bc #NY10 can elect someone more prog/left than him

Knesset Seat Poll 🔵Likud: 23 (-1) 🔴Yashar: 23 (+2) 🔴Together: 19 (-2) 🔴Yisrael Beteinu: 10 🔵Shas: 10 🔵Otzma: 9 (+1) 🔴Democrats: 8 🔵UTJ: 8 🟢Ra'am: 5 🟢Hadash-Ta'al: 5 change w. June 11 via Tatika/TOI. June 17-18


All beef squashed. Knicks brought everybody together.

@claireforny @DarializaforNY @EspaillatNY @NYCMayor Adds “now is the time of monsters.” “These monsters take many forms and those who find television ads that blanket the airwaves with misleading and bad faith attacks about Claire, Brad and Dari”















