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[2601.22200] Adaptive Benign Overfitting (ABO): Overparameterized RLS for Online Learning in Non-stationary Time-series - Ontaneda & Firoozye arxiv.org/abs/2601.22200
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Objectively Random
74.4K posts
Objectively Random
@ObjRandom
Algo Trading, Strat, Macro. Math PhD (Erdős 3). Hon Reader@UCL. Created MSc Algo Trading (‘17-now), & teaching online. Too much street-side experience to list.
London, UK Se unió Nisan 2009
8.3K Siguiendo7.5K Seguidores
@AJEnglish @RabbiMivasair Now that, thanks to Iran, the US is out of Iraq, why don’t they abrogate the contracts? You pay direct or you don’t get oil. Force majeur.
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Iraq has some of the world’s largest oil reserves but the money it earns doesn’t fully flow through Baghdad. Instead, a system set up after the US invasion in 2003 still gives Washington lasting leverage over Iraq's oil revenues.
Al Jazeera’s Osama bin Javaid explains.
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@afneil How does the US negotiate, Andrew? Is it ever in good faith?
Every time they kill a negotiator it’s a sign that both parties must fight until total capitulation. At this stage I don’t know why anyone would ever trust Americans or Israelis. That trust will only get you killed.
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This headline currently leading Mail Online this morning rather bears out the drift of my column posted last night:
Iran fires missiles at American military bases across the Gulf and tells US it is 'negotiating with yourselves'
Andrew Neil@afneil
ANDREW NEIL: Trump is caught in an Iranian trap of his own making. I don’t see how he gets out of it mol.im/a/15676159
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The US is so powerful that it could destroy the entire Middle East and it would barely register for most Americans, yet if you listen to geopolitics-pilled people, it's constantly threatened by enemies so fearsome they will somehow destroy the American way of life unless the US wreaks havoc halfway around the world in a place they've never even heard of.
Jesse Watters@JesseBWatters
Spring Break goes WILD☀️ 🍺🤪 and the students have NO IDEA what’s going on🤣 “The BIGGEST issue in America is what BIKINI I’m wearing tomorrow”👙 “We’re going to war with IRAQ that’s been crazy”🤔 “I’ve NEVER heard the word Ayatollah in my life”🫢 “Is Venezuela in SPAIN?”😬😬😬
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NOBODY hates you because you’re Jewish. That is just a lie. Do you think any of us hate @normfinkelstein ?
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What?!
British children need 3 As to get into University
Foreign students need 2 Cs and 1 D for the same course
Make it make sense
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@AJENews Every American bomb should result in an attack on American-loving Arabs’ infrastructure. Each bomb results in another retaliation. Either the bombs stop or the alliances fracture.
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UPDATE: Iranian official says Trump's claim of diplomacy 'not credible'
🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/ve6pos?update=…
GIF
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@AJENews US shows it cannot be negotiated with.
It kills all the mediators. In warfare, if your adversary is like that the only rational response is to battle until the total defeat of one side or the other.
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L’hérésie américaine : faut-il brûler Peter Thiel ? legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2026/03/14/…
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@ZMTabloid Liora only identifies as a woman, right? Used to be Leonard?
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@libinterpreter @ErikSperling @RepGolden @RepCuellar @RepJuanVargas You got Grok to write a pretty detailed and nuanced explanation and you conclude the most kindergarten take (that Grok itself says is wrong) 🤦🏽
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@ErikSperling @RepGolden @RepCuellar @RepJuanVargas Your cognitive dissonance is par for the course. Being a left-wing radical does that to people.
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This could be a historic War Powers win:
Dems only need to flip 4 of their own who voted NO 3 weeks ago on War Powers Res.
Landsman says he now opposes the war
@RepGolden @RepCuellar have already cosponsored legislation to end the war by 3/30
That leaves only @RepJuanVargas
Just Foreign Policy@justfp
BREAKING: Dem leadership informed @HouseDemocrats offices that House floor debate on @RepGregoryMeeks Iran War Powers Resolution (H.Con.Res. 40) is likely to take place on **Wednesday** and the Iran WPR vote would be on **Thursday** Senate Iran WPR vote scheduled for **TODAY**
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This is objectively extraordinary: x.com/clashreport/st…
Jake Sullivan, one of the most senior former U.S. officials, says that the U.S. is in a war aimed solely at destroying Iran, one of humanity's oldest civilizations, against the U.S.'s own interests, at the behest of Israel, a 76-year-old state.
Listen to the video: he says that Israel's objective in the war "is just break Iran -cause chaos," basically destroy the country, "because as far as they’re concerned, a broken Iran is less of a threat to Israel."
Which he says is not in the US's interests "because a broken Iran means a broken global economy, as they continue to threaten the Straits of Hormuz. It means a potential refugee flow, like we saw after the war in Syria into Europe."
He also says the Trump administration cannot answer what their own objective is in the war "because they don't know why they're there in the first place," implying that they're there mainly at the behest of Israel (otherwise they'd be able to articulate at least one reason).
The curse of the "former official" strikes again... This is the same Jake Sullivan who, as National Security Advisor, oversaw the unconditional U.S. support for Israel's destruction of Gaza. Apparently breaking a people at the behest of Israel is only bad when a different administration does it...
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@OperHealAmerica Unitarians (including Thomas Jefferson) don’t either.
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Muslims do not believe that Jesus is God.
It’s that simple.
Don’t overcomplicate it.
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Objectively Random retuiteado
🚨 Andrej Karpathy just explained the scariest thing happening in software right now..
someone poisoned a Python package that gets 97 million downloads a month.. and a simple pip install was enough to steal everything on your machine..
SSH keys.. AWS credentials.. crypto wallets.. database passwords.. git credentials.. shell history.. SSL private keys.. everything..
and here's the part that should terrify every developer alive..
the attack was only discovered because the attacker wrote sloppy code.. the malware used so much RAM that it crashed someone's computer.. if the attacker had been better at coding.. nobody would have noticed for weeks..
one developer.. using Cursor with an MCP plugin.. had litellm pulled in as a dependency they didn't even know about.. their machine crashed.. and that crash saved thousands of companies from getting their entire infrastructure stolen..
Karpathy's take is the real wake up call.. every time you install any package you're trusting every single dependency in its tree.. and any one of them could be poisoned..
vibe coding saved us this time.. the attacker vibe coded the attack and it was too sloppy to work quietly.. next time they won't make that mistake.
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy
Software horror: litellm PyPI supply chain attack. Simple `pip install litellm` was enough to exfiltrate SSH keys, AWS/GCP/Azure creds, Kubernetes configs, git credentials, env vars (all your API keys), shell history, crypto wallets, SSL private keys, CI/CD secrets, database passwords. LiteLLM itself has 97 million downloads per month which is already terrible, but much worse, the contagion spreads to any project that depends on litellm. For example, if you did `pip install dspy` (which depended on litellm>=1.64.0), you'd also be pwnd. Same for any other large project that depended on litellm. Afaict the poisoned version was up for only less than ~1 hour. The attack had a bug which led to its discovery - Callum McMahon was using an MCP plugin inside Cursor that pulled in litellm as a transitive dependency. When litellm 1.82.8 installed, their machine ran out of RAM and crashed. So if the attacker didn't vibe code this attack it could have been undetected for many days or weeks. Supply chain attacks like this are basically the scariest thing imaginable in modern software. Every time you install any depedency you could be pulling in a poisoned package anywhere deep inside its entire depedency tree. This is especially risky with large projects that might have lots and lots of dependencies. The credentials that do get stolen in each attack can then be used to take over more accounts and compromise more packages. Classical software engineering would have you believe that dependencies are good (we're building pyramids from bricks), but imo this has to be re-evaluated, and it's why I've been so growingly averse to them, preferring to use LLMs to "yoink" functionality when it's simple enough and possible.
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Objectively Random retuiteado
I have so far received no response to the question below, roughly 24 hours after submitting it, though I do have a delivery receipt.
Peter Hitchens@ClarkeMicah
This morning I formally asked the Pentagon for the name of the US Navy destroyer which shot down the Iranian missile on its way to Diego Garcia, and for information on when and where the interception took place. I'll let you know what they say.
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@LastStand_Radio @RyLiberty A threat to the entire world.
Trita Parsi@tparsi
This video was apparently aired on Israeli TV. It shows Axis of Resistance leaders waiting in line to be killed by Israel. At the end, the camera zooms out and we see that the next leader waiting to be killed by Israel is Erdogan. Seems Israel is already planning the next war.
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@LastStand_Radio @RyLiberty Threat to whom, Bill? To whom???
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Objectively Random retuiteado
Nobody is talking about ARXIV going independent in less than 100 days.
- They are leaving Cornell behind after 35 years and gonna become standalone. Cornell office work and bureaucracy was holding them back.
- The blog says that they will hire faster, adopt to technology faster, and raise money faster starting July 1.
- This can mean better AI features to study papers, better plagiarism/quality checkers, expansion into more domains? (my take)
I am kinda excited. Arxiv is the backbone for open research access, and if all goes well, they are probably gonna do something big by end of the year.
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@LastStand_Radio @RyLiberty I think you’re mistaken Bill. I think you mean Israel. And the US. Iraq, Libya, Syria, Afghanistan, Gaza, West Bank and now Lebanon ? Who did those? Big mess, millions killed.
I think you’ve got it wrong, Bill. Either you are uninformed or just evil.
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@ObjRandom @RyLiberty To every citizen of every westernized country on earth. They have only one goal. They represent every bit of instability in the Middle East.
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Riz Ahmed jokingly crashes out over people finding the idea of him playing James Bond to be “very funny.”
“Me playing Bond was very funny to you?”
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