Super Contango

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Super Contango

Super Contango

@SContango

Houston, TX Se unió Aralık 2022
1.4K Siguiendo217 Seguidores
Cernovich
Cernovich@Cernovich·
Directionally speaking, yes this is what happened. If you find this hard to believe, then you’re revealing your own lack of understanding of modern special operations tactics and weapons.
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand

So, if I got that right, here's the narrative: - A US F-15E fighter jet got shot down over Iran, despite Trump saying 2 days beforehand in his nationwide address that Iran has "no anti-aircraft equipment. Their radar is 100% annihilated." (apnews.com/article/donald…) - The plane's weapons systems officer - a "highly respected Colonel," according to Trump - ejected from the plane and got "seriously wounded" (still according to Trump: @realDonaldTrump/116351956955900185" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…) - He still managed to "hike up a 7,000-foot [2.1km] mountain ridgeline and hide in a crevice" in the Zagros Mountains, despite his wounds (time.com/article/2026/0…) - U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drones started killing all "Iranian military-aged males believed to be a threat who got within three kilometers of [the American's location]" (x.com/ByChrisGordon/…) - To retrieve him the U.S. managed to seize an "abandoned airport," 200 miles deep inside Iran, near Isfahan (bbc.com/news/articles/…), which happens to be where Iran's largest atomic scientific center is located (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isfahan_N…) - They landed two MC-130 military transport planes in that airport (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) in an operation involving "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" (time.com/article/2026/0…) - Both MC-130 planes got "stuck in the sand" and the U.S. destroyed them themselves "to prevent them from falling into Iranian hands" (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) - They deployed "three new aircraft to extract all the U.S. personnel" on the ground (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) - There are videos circulating online of "heavy clashes" with presumably Iranian missiles raining down in Kohgiluyeh County, in the Zagros Mountains during that night (x.com/Afshin_Ismaeli…) - Iran sent pictures of the aftermath at the "abandoned airport" and it's a sight of utter destruction, with US plane and MH-6 helicopter parts scattered all over the ground, still smoking (turkiyetoday.com/region/wreckag…). Iran claims they are the ones who in fact destroyed all the aircraft. - Meanwhile a second U.S. plane, an A-10 Warthog, also crashed on Friday near the Strait of Hormuz according to two U.S. officials speaking to the NYT (#47863db0-d61e-51bf-b7e1-6c4a9dc988e7" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">nytimes.com/live/2026/04/0…). In that instance too the lone pilot was apparently "safely rescued." - In all this, after the multiple planes and helicopters destroyed or shot down, the documented heavy clashes, the "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" operating deep inside Iran, not a single US soldier was reported killed "or even wounded" (according to Trump: @realDonaldTrump/116350133044957842" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…). - And the 'highly respected Colonel' this was all for? No name. No photo. No interview. Nobody has spoken to him nor knows who he is. So to sum up: anti-aircraft equipment that supposedly didn't exist shot down an F-15 (and, apparently, an A-10 Warthog the same day). A seriously wounded man climbed a 2.1km mountain. The US seized an airfield 200 miles inside a country it's at war with, next to one of its most strategic nuclear sites, and deployed hundreds of troops all apparently unimpeded. Lost two planes to "sand" and destroyed their own helicopters. Videos show heavy clashes, missiles raining down - but not a single person got "even wounded". And the man at the center of it all? Nobody knows who he is, completely anonymous, zero pictures, but Trump says he is "SAFE and SOUND." And so is the rescued A-10 Warthog pilot, who also remains anonymous. Trump concludes this all proves the US has "achieved overwhelming Air Dominance and Superiority over the Iranian skies" (@realDonaldTrump/116350133044957842" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…), despite the whole episode only happening because Iran shot his planes out of the sky. Basically, the only thing that's "overwhelming" here is the audacity of the storytelling...

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ThePatrioticBlonde🇺🇸
ThePatrioticBlonde🇺🇸@ImBreckWorsham·
An hour after announcing his resignation, the US Army Chief of Staff says: "A madman is about to lead the great US military to ruin."
ThePatrioticBlonde🇺🇸 tweet media
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The_Real_Fly
The_Real_Fly@The_Real_Fly·
Trump: “We are engaged in a war with one of the strongest countries in the world.” ABSURD
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Josh Young
Josh Young@JoshYoung·
Total EIA inventories (including crude oil, gasoline and diesel) are still ~flat ytd. This is why WTI oil is near $100 and not the $250 or so many were saying recently. It is also why there is minimal oil market related pressure on Trump to prematurely end the war.
Josh Young tweet media
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Super Contango
Super Contango@SContango·
@ericnuttall It’s reverse covid. Except now instead of wti being the most expensive barrel in the world due to retail buying, it’s the cheapest barrel due to government jawboning.
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Eric Nuttall
Eric Nuttall@ericnuttall·
OilX: current OPEC production down ~10.6MM Bbl/d vs. February...bigger drop than peak COVID!!! I lack the necessary eloquence to properly express just how bad this is for the world.
Eric Nuttall tweet media
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Eric Nuttall
Eric Nuttall@ericnuttall·
April will be historic for the oil market, yet most people can neither see nor imagine what is coming.
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My screen is red
My screen is red@tradeoilstocks·
Today’s oil equity rug pull was something else. Oil up 1.5% and the stocks were up 3-4%. Oil shoots up to +4.5% and they sink to flat or down. Strange tape.
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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman@BillAckman·
Some of the highest quality businesses in the world are trading at extremely cheap prices. Ignore the MSM. One of the most one-sided wars in history that will end well for the U.S. and the world. And we have the potential for a large peace dividend. One of the best times in a long time to buy quality. Ignore the bears.
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Brian Allen
Brian Allen@allenanalysis·
Trump at a press conference today: “I’m going to take a few questions. You can ask me anything you want. You can talk sex.” Day 27 of the Iran war. Israel just struck Iranian nuclear facilities. Iran is demanding sovereignty over the Strait as a peace condition. The Philippines has 40 days of oil left. April 6th power plant strike deadline approaching. Thousands dead across the region. “You can talk sex.” This is the President of the United States.
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Santiago Capital
Santiago Capital@SantiagoAuFund·
@Nick_duCat Respectfully, this has been planned for decades. The reason it never happened until now is bc they knew it would indeed “not be an easy victory”…✌️
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Nick DuCate
Nick DuCate@Nick_duCat·
Just because Iran spent the past 40 years planning for a potential conflict with the US doesn't mean the US has spent the past 40 years planning for a conflict with Iran. The Administration thought the regime would collapse within 48 hours. It didn't happen. Now we wing it daily.
Santiago Capital@SantiagoAuFund

For those who think the U.S. does not have a plan with regards to Iran, pls answer this one question: If the U.S. has no plan, then why did Iran spend the last 40 years preparing to counter the U.S.'s plan...?

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Eric Nuttall
Eric Nuttall@ericnuttall·
I've so far avoided dramatics because I would be accused of bias. To be clear: this is the worst energy crisis of our lifetimes, well beyond what any sober mind could have envisioned, with no end in sight. The level of complacency to me is astounding.
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Pro-America | Politics & Markets
70% of their leadership is dead. Their entire Navy is at the bottom of the ocean. The US has complete air superiority over Iran. Thousands of targets have been destroyed and decimated. But because insurance companies are scared to send tankers through the Strait they're "winning the war?" You're an idiot.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
Anyone who follows me knows I tell it as it is. Iran is currently winning this war, strategically (not militarily) BUT ....that may be about to change
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Mahmoud Refaat
Mahmoud Refaat@MRefaat_Formal·
ايران متوسعة جدا الليلة بقصف #اسرائيل جغرافيا ولم تقصر القصف على #تل_أبيب كما كانت تفعل.. قلت وأكرر أن الصف الثاني الذي يقود ايران الان بعد مقتل لاريجاني وخامنئي أشد شراسة أضعاف مضاعفة من سابقيهم ويعتمدون نهج الرسائل ويجب قراءة رسائلهم بعناية للتعامل معها.. قادة ايران الجدد يقولون بوضوح أنهم ماضون بصنع الجحيم ولا يعبأون بأي خسائر تقع في ايران سواء كانت في الأرواح أو في البنية التحتية.
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الأحداث الإيرانية | عاجل
عاجل 🚨: عراقجي يقفل الباب نهائياً: "التفاوض مع الأمريكيين انتهى إلى الأبد.. تجربة مريرة وخيانة بعد وعود بعدم الهجوم!" وزير الخارجية الإيراني عباس عراقجي 🇮🇷: لا مجال بعد الآن للحديث مع الأمريكيين، فقد خدعونا بوعود بعدم الهجوم، وحتى بعد إحراز تقدم كبير في المفاوضات، قرروا مهاجمتنا رغم ذلك. التجربة مريرة جداً، والثقة معدومة تماماً. الحرب الإقليمية تُغلق أبواب الدبلوماسية نهائياً!
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Rock Bottom Entries
Rock Bottom Entries@RockBtmEntries·
$MLP.v @MLPotash Price action suggests capitulation may be underway as selling reaches a crescendo. The Co released a PR this week which suggests no material change to the fundamentals. Periods of extreme macro volatility can create large disconnects in valuation.
Rock Bottom Entries tweet media
Rock Bottom Entries@RockBtmEntries

$MLP.v @MLPotash ~50% retracement off highs Recent disclosed developments (DFC financing, Gabon support, upcoming drilling) suggest the broader story continues to strengthen, despite weak action. Peter Lynch "The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them."

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Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen·
@nnzp1730 @FuncMed_MD @heloguy44 @amlivemon @2pacUnc it matters to western paper traders, not eastern physical buyers. They will just buy more and more with the record surpluses we are sending them ($213bn thru YTD thru Feb, up 22%, another new record)... ...which is a retarded strategy if we are trying to compete with the east
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Live Monitor
Live Monitor@amlivemon·
Gold hit 4533.
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Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen·
@TimoteoMadera Iran's been told "you and your families are all are dead either way." what would you do if someone told you that?
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Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen·
Signpost 👇
Luke Gromen tweet media
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