83 Beals

523 posts

83 Beals

83 Beals

@83beals

Political prediction market research with a focus on identifying consensus mispricing and tail-risk outcomes.

NYC 参加日 Nisan 2026
8 フォロー中4 フォロワー
Benny Polatseck
Benny Polatseck@BPolatseck·
Millions of New Yorkers can’t even catch a glimpse of the parade but @NYCMayor Mamdani made sure the head of the NYC DSA has a prime viewing spot at City Hall. Equal (non-access) for the public. Special treatment for the insiders. Socialism is a scam.
Gustavo@unionGustavo

KNICKS IN 5 CLAIRE IN 7

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Spectrum News NY1
During a #NY1Debate for New York's 13th Congressional District, candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier was asked about past comments she made calling for the police to be abolished. "I know that we will not get rid of police overnight. That was never the goal," she said. "But the goal is to make sure that we get to a place as a society where we do feel safe."
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
Maybe ask her why she hasn’t filed her financial disclosure report with the House clerk as required by law. Title I of the Ethics in Government Act of 1978 (EIGA), as amended (5 U.S.C. §§ 13101-13111), requires Members, Officers, Candidates, and certain Employees of the U.S. House of Representatives (the House) and Legislative Branch Offices to file a Financial Disclosure Report (FD) with the Clerk of the House (the Clerk).
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umichvoter
umichvoter@umichvoter·
Canvassing for Claire Valdez tonight✌️
umichvoter tweet media
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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@bradlander Are there Israeli students at P.S. 130 because you said Israelis will not be safe. Nice try to pivot after your strategy started to backfire. Some in #NY10 are not fooled. @AIPAC
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Brad Lander
Brad Lander@bradlander·
Maria Nunziata was the beloved principal of P.S. 130 in Windsor Terrace for two decades, leading with conviction & grace, and shaping the school into a beacon of nurturing education.  I proudly led the effort alongside her to redevelop the school's playground through “participatory budgeting,” which I helped bring to NYC. And we took it one step further, working with the Trust for Public Land on a program that enabled P.S 130 first-graders to design the new playground, one of the most joyful spots in the neighborhood.
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Justin Allen
Justin Allen@JAllen_NYC·
I will preface this by saying I am in favor of investing in Israeli companies. But this once again shows Brad Lander to be the bullshit artist say whatever you have to in the moment to get elected asshole we all know him to be.
BadEmpanada 🇧🇦🇿🇦@GoyEmpanada

@bradlander Here's Brad Lander bragging about investing in Israeli arms companies

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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
The @DemSocialists is fracturing. Has @bradlander tarnished the brand by all but calling them deplorable.
Rafael Shimunov 🍉 🕎@rafaelshimunov

Love @DemSocialists. It's not perfect but I respect the hell out of the everyday people who build it. People I've recruited, years later, thank me for helping them find a political home. And I could recruit so many more if some stopped doing petty, personal, childish 💩 like this

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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@admcrlsn That looks bad for Lander. If he doesn’t max out the Slope he’s not winning.
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Adam Carlson
Adam Carlson@admcrlsn·
1) NY-07 is asleep at the wheel (39% of what early voting was on this day in 2025). Probably not ideal for Team Valdez but still early days. 2) Early voting turnout being highest on the Upper West Side is a good early sign for Lasher, though those voters are always super locked in and there’s a competitive primary between Eli Northrup and Stephanie Ruskay in his Assembly District. 3) Turnout being the highest in plurality Black Central Harlem (in AD where Jordan Wright is facing DSA challenger Conrad Blackburn) is very surprising. Unclear if it’s good for Espaillat or Chevalier given that it’s thought to be a swing area. 4) Writ large this is tracking toward a normal midterm primary turnout environment. Nothing close to 2025. Which almost certainly means an older electorate.
Adam Carlson tweet media
Brigid Bergin@brigidbergin

NEW: Few voters casting early ballots in NYC primaries that will test Mamdani's power A look under the early voting hood from me and Joe Hong. gothamist.com/news/few-voter… via @gothamist

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83 Beals
83 Beals@83beals·
@AlbaneseNYC That markets mispriced. The district has soured on Lander.
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