Armchair Economist

@MarioNawfal Literally nothing has been agreed to except a ceasefire.

Here's a few important points before I go to sleep: 1. Iran won the war. The terms of the ceasefire they shared give them control of the Strait of Hormuz, charging $2M per ship, pocketing $100 Billion a year. Those numbers are wild! And on top of it, the ceasefire proposal includes the lifting of all sanctions Remember, one could say Iran has been in a state of war for decades due to the crippling American sanctions, and now this is all coming to an end 2. Trump did the right thing pulling out, not listening to the lunatic war mongers around him, and not listening to anyone in the Israeli lobby that may have wanted the war the continue. As I said earlier today, a good leader knows when to walk away 3. I am not surprised we have a deal, I've mentioned it all day, as Trump's posts made it obvious to me he was pressuring Iran for some final concessions before accepting his off-ramp 4. Trump will twist this into a win, and his diehard supporters will believe him. This is a GOOD thing, as Trump no longer needs to militarily try to get a 'win'. As I've said earlier in the day, Trump can (and just did) create his own offramp. 5. The Middle East will never look the same. I expect the Gulf to gradually normalize relations again with Iran, which started after Israel's strike on Qatar. Also the balance of power will drastically shift away from Israel, and this may have massive positive implications on Lebanon, Syria, and possibly even Palestine. 6. China is the BIGGEST winner, as Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz means China is indirectly controlling it 7. Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz is a generational strategic loss for the U.S., and a risk to the dollar dominance (Iran can chip away at the Petrodollar) 8. Hezbollah will come out stronger from all this, possibly more powerful than it has been in decades (unless the deal involves Iran disbanding their proxy network) 9. I'm exhausted and need to sleep. Below there's some more info on my stance over the past 24 hours, as well as how we broke the story of a ceasefire almost an hour before any media outlet and Trump's post. Good night everyone!

@CNNPR Yes we're aware you're spreading Iranian government misinformation. That's what you were being accused of.

@neosovietposter @The_Jolly_Co Regroup what? You think they are going to recover their ships from the bottom of the ocean? Rebuild their missile factories?

@The_Jolly_Co No matter what happens it’s a disaster. Do you think the USA can regroup as fast as Iran can in two weeks? Because clearly that’s not the case

Going from “a whole civilization will die tonight” to “yeah we surrender” is truly magnificent lol

@peterdaou The point is they think Orange Man Bad, thus whatever he does is the bad, wrong, or dumb thing. They have no actual thoughts or principles on him other than to take the opposite stance.

Saying Trump "chickened out" does what exactly? Is the idea to goad him into nuclear war?

@SaradaSupremecy @SpeakServeGrow @mattvanswol @SecRubio @prettytoes Yup, instead of having all sanctions lifted and having total economic success by purchasing nuclear fuel rods from Europe and Asia, they support terror organizations across the Middle East and execute dissidents publicly for... energy independence. Okay.

@DatNightingale @SpeakServeGrow @mattvanswol @SecRubio @prettytoes Plenty of countries enrich uranium and even though their level is much higher there is no real evidence of intent and they have stated several times that Iran wants energy independence.

@Polymarket ? There is no agreement, there is a ceasefire.

BREAKING: Iran claims the agreement with U.S. includes giving Iran control of the Hormuz Strait & allowing uranium enrichment.

@BillKristol I she a genocidal maniac or a coward? Fucking disingenuous asshats.

The Mother of all TACOs.

@SaradaSupremecy @SpeakServeGrow @mattvanswol @SecRubio @prettytoes All my friends are enriching uranium underground for peaceful purposes.

@DatNightingale @SpeakServeGrow @mattvanswol @SecRubio @prettytoes A reported 1500 civilians have been killed. There was also no evidence Iran had any plans of creating a nuclear bomb. No programs in place, nothing. They had the capability

@unusual_whales Friendly reminder that Iran lies about literally everything.

"Iran’s president says 14 million have offered to risk their lives just to stand up to Trump," per FORTUNE

@SpeakServeGrow @mattvanswol @SecRubio @prettytoes Uh Iran's entire military has been decimated and their nuclear plans are set back another 10-20 years. I don't know how to explain to you people that these guys are religious zealots and WANT to use nukes as soon as they get them. They aren't just power hungry like Kim Jong Un.

@mattvanswol @SecRubio @prettytoes What exactly worked? The Straight WAS open before we started attacking them. How is getting back to 0 a success?

@Tim_Walz You should be in prison for covering up fraud.

The President has lost his mind.

@llamalaikum Literally nobody is talking about nukes except Leftists lol. Trump talked about bombing power plants and bridges to destroy the Iranian economy, the Left pretends its a genocide threat. The post was made immediately after a press conference where he talked about it.

Donald can't launch nukes on his own. There is a process and it ends with 2 random guys with keys. It only takes one guy to prevent disaster. If you're one of the guys with a key, don't do it. Disobey the order.

@mmpadellan Why are you pretending to be retarded? He had a press conference right before the post where he made it clear he was talking about hitting power plants and bridges to destroy their infrastructure and economy.

REMINDER TO OUR MILITARY: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO FOLLOW ILLEGAL ORDERS. LIKE GENOCIDE.

@KyleKulinski Iran has announced on their State TV that they have agreed to a ceasefire.

Trump TACO hits. Any minute now Iran will say they didn’t agree to anything at all. Genocidal threats and war profiteering market manipulation. Get this man THE FUCK OUT OF THE OVAL OFFICE & INTO PRISON.

@FmrRepMTG Why are you pretending that is what he meant? He is talking about talking about crippling their industry and economy by hitting power plants and bridges, not literally killing them.

25TH AMENDMENT!!! Not a single bomb has dropped on America. We cannot kill an entire civilization. This is evil and madness.

@TheQuartering I cannot wait for Israel to violate the ceasefire by the end of the weekend.

Ceasefire Agreed upon and the Strait Or Hormuz is opened. Who could have predicted this. Where will they move the goal posts to now?

@AOC Only if you're retarded.

This is a threat of genocide and merits removal from office. The President’s mental faculties are collapsing and cannot be trusted. To every individual in the President’s chain of command: You have a duty to refuse illegal orders. That includes carrying out this threat.

@RepSwalwell For what?

The President must be removed. If Congress is too cowardly to do it, his own Cabinet must.

@Jvnior Who the hell is talking about nukes? He said bomb bridges and power plants. Why would anyone use a nuke for that?

So if Trump nukes Iran: - Iran nukes israel - Pakistan nukes israel - North Korea nukes israel - Russia nukes the United States Yeah this is not good. Let’s abort this now.

@GiffLasta I am once again begging people to openly communicate with their spouses about their needs.

I cringe because I’ve been there. Fellas, what’s a better response to an unsolicited, “no, not tonight”?