Neil_1066

@citrinowicz @mashabani If the US can break the Iranian blockade in the strait, they can then fire at will on Iranian targets and kill regime leaders. Eventually they will be left with a much reduced adversary and it looks like that may be the plan.

The fundamental question we should be asking about U.S. policy toward Iran is simple: what is the actual objective? If the goal is freedom of navigation, a U.S. president has the diplomatic tools to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open as long as he lifts the maritime blockade. If the goal is to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon, then there are well-established mechanisms sich as limits on enrichment, stockpile reduction, and intrusive inspections, that can significantly push Iran away from breakout capability. But if the goal is broader, meaning ending Iran’s regional influence or eliminating its control over strategic chokepoints, then we are no longer talking about containment or deterrence. We are talking about regime change. And that’s where the core problem lies. The administration’s rhetoric often implies ambitions that resemble regime change, yet in practice it is neither willing nor able to pursue the kind of sustained, large-scale military and political effort that such a goal would require. As a result, policy falls into a strategic gray zone, meaning applying pressure without a clear end state. Continuing to escalate under these conditions is unlikely to achieve meaningful results. Instead, it risks worsening global economic instability, especially through energy markets, without bringing the U.S. closer to a resolution. At some point, a basic decision has to be made: If the U.S. accepts that the current Iranian regime will remain in power, then it should pursue a realistic agreement based on existing frameworks, focused on nuclear constraints and regional de-escalation. If the U.S. seeks fundamentally different outcomes, then it must acknowledge what that entails: a long, costly campaign, potentially involving boots on the ground and months (or years) of sustained conflict. Trying to do both - demanding concessions that effectively amount to regime transformation while negotiating with that same regime, is inherently contradictory. It assumes Iran will capitulate under pressure, despite no clear indication that it sees itself as defeated. As long as U.S. policy remains in this strategic limbo, it risks achieving neither objective, ending up with escalation, economic fallout, and no durable solution. You can’t have it both ways... #iran

@PowerOwn45 I really hope it isn't going to be one of those shows that gets cancelled after two series with no proper ending.

The series finale of Iran has finally kicked off. Looks like a lot of action ahead. Thank God. The writers should be fired for that stupid negotiation arc that wasted our time for like 7 episodes. I see trailers for Cuba already dropping. Looks like a limited series, maybe 3 episodes. But should be interesting and action filled. Honestly it seems like the studio is setting the stage for a China franchise, maybe a trilogy with Russia and North Korea, but all connected. Kind of like the marvel universe but with enemies of Western civilization.

@JohnCleese To be fair, Pete Hegseth's pastor said something very similar.

With the world held to ransom by inflated male egos, the last thing we need religious dogma holding women responsible for male atrocities

@araghchi @jeremyscahill I think this may finally be the end of the Islamic Republic, Seyed, and it cannot come soon enough. Let's think of the victims of your regime.

Events in Hormuz make clear that there's no military solution to a political crisis. As talks are making progress with Pakistan's gracious effort, the U.S. should be wary of being dragged back into quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE. Project Freedom is Project Deadlock.

I think this is the lady who got sent to prison for tweeting something. Meanwhile this weekend a boatload of migrants raped and beat a woman and a girl then threw them into the Chanel to drown with no consequences at all.

@AngelaRayner Under Labour the nation is being overrun by uncontrolled immigration, with people who hate us swarming in to steal, rape and kill. We can't have a national health service without a nation. ps no-one wants you as PM because you are dishonest and thick.

Reform UK would destroy our NHS, and make working people pay the price with an American-style insurance system. Vote Labour on 7th May 🌹

@WarMonitor3 What does destroyer activity look like in 2026? I still think of a destroyer as being a WWII type ship with big guns. Is it more like a missile carrier nowadays?

Huge US navy destroyer activity reported around the entrance to the strait of Hormuz.

@Gerashchenko_en @DucuGavril Anton, let us remember the "cornered rat" idea was promoted by Putin himself. In reality we know what he does when cornered because Wagner did corner him in 2023 and Putin got straight on a plane to his bunker.

The May 9 parade in Moscow is still a few days away, yet Putin is already a laughingstock - including within Russia itself - and the 2026 parade has already turned into a symbol of failure for Russia: • Air defense systems pulled in from across the country; • No heavy equipment or aviation on display; • Internet outages in Moscow lasting several days; • Unprecedented security measures; • The absence of high-profile guests. All of this points to fear - and a regime in its final throes. Putin may try to provoke Ukraine into striking Red Square during the parade. He could also stage such a strike himself and use it as a pretext to legitimize a retaliatory attack on Ukraine. Putin is cornered. The war has reached a stalemate, and the situation in Russia is deteriorating by the day. A cornered rat is the most dangerous.

@benonwine Would that be "inflation is stabbing Jews in the face" Millward?

UNBELIEVABLE: The new Green party deputy-leader Rachel Millward has objected to housing asylum seekers in her constituency, citing safety concerns. It seems the Greens want mass migration but not on their doorstep Just like Labour’s policies of let’s change things as it suits us. Just send them all back, problem solved. But they won’t say that because it will cost them their Muslim Voters. Shameless hypocrisy, it really is.

@WarMonitor3 That's terrible. I will have to conduct an in depth field study to confirm those results. Might cost me a bit, maybe I can get a research grant.

Beer pint prices for the first time in history have started to hit over 10 pounds in London-Telegraph What a disgrace...

@RobertJenrick Robert, why shouldn't we have high taxes to pay for foreign rapists to live in hotels? I'm sure if I arrived in Egypt in a boat with no passport they would give me a free hotel room.

50% of what you pay for petrol is just tax for Rachel Reeves. She could halve VAT and help you out while prices are so high. Instead, she’s wasting your money on a record benefits bill.

@jeremycorbyn Islamists from foreign countries have not fought for the right to protest. The current government is not much better than you, but soon we will have a British government for the British people, and we won't tolerate hamas, your friends hezbollah ir the muslim brotherhood.

The government knows our marches for Palestine are made up of all faiths and none. The are suppressing our hard-fought right to protest for one reason: to hide their complicity in genocide. Israel’s occupation must end. Until then, our movement for peace isn’t going anywhere.

@SanderRegter @MicSNielsen Russia is erupting in flame! #RussiaVolcano

Massive strike: Ukraine hits Russia's biggest oil refinery in Rostov Украина нанесла серьёзный удар по ключевому нефтяному объекту в Ростове

@Keir_Starmer Keir, with your islamist Home Secretary and your refusal to stop the small boat migrant invasion, you are weakening Britain.

Together, we will build a stronger Britain.

This is the islamist Green Party.

@ZackPolanski A Somali migrant terrorist stabbed two people, and you criticised the police for arresting them. The public are horrified, but not about people drinking in the past.

I think most of the public are horrified that MPs continue to defend the idea they can get drunk at work and then go to vote. Lots of people work hard. It's incredibly out of touch from Labour MPs in particular.

@jeremycorbyn Jezza, there's no fool like an old fool. We have to deport Somali immigrants on benefits. They hate us and they want to kill us.

The stabbing of two Jewish men is horrifying. So too is the attack on a Muslim man the same day, ignored by much of our media. All human lives are equal — and we should oppose all hatred and violence wherever it appears. That’s how we build a safe & peaceful society for all.

@NiohBerg I know. It looks so nice, doesn't it? And then it has foreign murderers and rapists lurking inside, and we have to pay for that for some unknown reason.

It drives me absolutely insane that this expensive house in a leafy area housed three illegal migrants, of which: • all are rapists • one is a convicted murderer The British state hates Britain with a passion.

@nexta_tv @SpoogemanGhost Oh no, please don't "metal rain" on my parade!

@VolodyaTretyak I know what he means. As you get older it gets harder to carry big suitcases cases up and down staircases and along train platforms. Then sometimes the toilets aren't working and older gentlemen can have incontinence issues. Bit there are always some nice people who will help.

Poor guy Witkoff won’t come to Kyiv because it’s difficult for him to take a train 😭