Al Scott: The Rational View

@1000HolyPlaces @elonmusk Same place it comes from now. A printing press.

@elonmusk And where does the magical government money come from?

@SepticTank53 @Deevoee @David_J_Bier @b_connerton Venezuelans and Haitians whose temporary protected status was revoked are facing expedited removal, often without full judicial review, following Supreme Court actions allowing the administration to bypass previous injunctions. Your claim that they get a judicial review is false.

Acting like they are targeting refugee's who are here lawfully is entirely false. The closest you have is the reviewing of the Refugee Act of 1980, where the language explicitly says refugees are required to apply for a green card within a year. Required, not "may", not "can choose to." For those reviewed under that requirement, if the review finds them no longer warranting refugee status, they get put through formal removal proceedings, a judge, the whole due process thing. If they are found to be admissible, the administration is literally giving out green cards. When lists are clean and kept up-to-date, improper detainments go down. For the parolee's from the Biden era laws, since there's no mechanism in the law that handles their deadline, the administration is going for expedited removal. That's a mathematical calculation, we'd be backed up for 20+ years if we don't do any expedited removals on those illegally here. Courts are challenging particular cases, but have not made a blanket move on the policy as a whole because there's no direct legal infraction against that Biden-era law. Refugee status is not a permanent commitment, and the lawful revocation of refugee status followed by formal removal proceedings (again, due process, a judge reviews the case, appeals, all the fun) is quite the opposite of any "evil" implied by the lie that refugees are being deported. I never, not once in this thread, claimed it's criminal to be "undocumented". My wording is explicit. It's illegal. My only mention of the word "criminal" is me saying I literally don't care if it's criminal. That directly implies the understanding of the difference between a border hopper and a VISA overstay.

That green line shows the immigrants ICE arrested who have ever had a violent criminal conviction. Then the orange line is all other crimes. Then you have the blue line for noncriminals. Since inauguration day, ONLY THE NONCRIMINAL LINE IS UP. It couldn't be any clearer.

@YossiBenYakar Driven by a sharp decline in well-being among young people linked to heavy social media usage. This has been exacerbated by economic anxiety from rising costs of living caused by tariffs and threats of annexation from our closest ally.

Does anyone know what happened to Britain and Canada?

The Rational View has a new episode: Corruption is in and democracy is on the way out, please check it out. podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the… podbean.com/ei/pb-gu8rb-1a… open.spotify.com/episode/56Kgjp…

🚨 Two MAJOR bombshells in 30 minutes. CBS News: The Trump administration concealed the true extent of Iran’s strike on a US base in Kuwait. Dozens of service members suffered severe injuries. 30 remain hospitalized right now. They hid it. The New York Times: A US military investigation has concluded the United States was responsible for the strike on the Shajareh Tayyebeh girls’ elementary school in Minab, Iran. 165 girls. Ages 7 to 12. Trump said the Tomahawk was “very generic.” Trump said Iran bombed its own school. Trump said he’s “willing to live with” whatever the report shows. The report shows it was us. And while Trump was lying about dead children, his administration was hiding dozens of wounded American service members from their own families and the American public. Concealing American casualties. Lying about dead Iranian children. Blocking terror warnings to law enforcement. Sealing the Epstein files. This is a pattern.

@angertab Your hypothesis is not consistent with the evidence of multiple precise strikes. apnews.com/article/iran-m…

The evidence is clear, this is not a Tomahawk Iran alleged that an American Tomahawk Cruise Missile hit a school (buried in an IRGC compound) in southern Iran, killing 165 people. Analysis of a newly released video tells a different story. ANALYSIS: A-I analysis confirms the wings of the munition in question sit about 40%-45% down the body of the munition. On a Tomahawk, the wings sit roughly 49%-50% down the body of the munition. The wing to body ratio of the munition in question matches an Iranian Kh-55–derived Land Attack Cruise Missile. Further, the video shows the munition in a steep dive angle for the final attack phase. This places the attack angle at approximately 70%, which is the max attack angle for a Tomahawk. The attack angle does not match the KH-55. That angle maxes out at about 55 degrees. So what would have caused this? CONCLUSION: The wing positioning alone makes the munition impossible to be a Tomahawk. The attack angle is at the max of the Tomahawk's capabilities. The typical attack angle for a Tomahawk is much lower than 70 degrees. The typical angle is between 20-45 degrees. This is due to the flight pattern of Tomahawks. They fly very low horizontally to the ground, often only 50-100 meters AGL to avoid detection and interception. In order to achieve that attack angle, the missile would have had to gain altitude several kilometers away, this would leave it vulnerable for interception. This is highly unlikely on the first day of US attacks. So what could have caused this? Simply put, GPS jamming of an Iranian KH-55. The USA and Israel were, and continue to actively jam the Iranian airspace. If the KH-55's signal was jammed, this could result in an uncontrollable dive. Think of GPS jamming more like disorienting the missile. On 03/07 President Trump stated: “No, in my opinion, based on what I’ve seen, that was done by Iran.” Today, I concur with the President.

@JIMMYEDGAR This is just physicalism. Anybody who doesn’t believe in a spirit should agree with this take.

@JimSteeleSkepti @socratesccost Are you arguing that the Stephan Boltzmann law is wrong?? This is absurd pleading.

How Bad Climate Science Corrupted Artificial Intelligence & Public Climate Knowledge AI will tell you the fundamental part of greenhouse warming physics hinges on the effective radiative height (aka effective emission height), which is the average altitude in the atmosphere from which outgoing infrared radiation escapes to space without being re-absorbed. The logic is simplistic: more CO₂ increases the probability of some infrared being re-absorbed → the effective radiative height moves to higher altitude where CO2 is less dense → higher altitudes are colder and reduces the rate of emission source → that reduces heat loss to space → causing a warmer world. First using an average altitude is very misleading. The graphic shows the temperatures where each infrared wavelength is emitted as detected by satellites. The green shading shows infrared wavelengths that are unaffected by greenhouse gases and immediately remove 25% of the surface heat. Their effective radiative height is the earth’s surface. Water vapor controls 70-80% of the greenhouse effect, and evaporation removes about 50% of the earth’s surface heat. Water vapor radiates heat as it condenses and precipitates at various temperatures which is dependent on reaching 100% relative humidity (dew point). In extremely cold, dry Arctic that temperature might be as low -18°C. In the humid tropics the dew point is 24°C or higher, Thus, the effective radiative height for water vapor ranges between below 1 km (7°C) and 5 km (-13°C), the blue shaded areas. CO2 begins emitting radiation to space at 10.5 km (-53°C).The climate alarmist narrative pushes the myth that CO2 is less efficient at radiating heat when at higher and colder altitudes and that has convinced AI to mis-apply the Stefan-Boltzman Law that CO2 emits less heat at colder altitudes. After absorbing infrared energy, the excited CO2 molecule sheds that energy, aka relaxation, extremely quickly. CO2 undergoes 2 relaxation dynamics. Radiative relaxation happens within a second after infrared absorption. Radiative relaxation is the only way radiation can be emitted back to space. Radiative relaxation is not affected by temperature or the Stefan-Boltzman Law, only by its molecular structure. Collisional relaxation happens over 10,000,000 times each second, absorbing CO2’s energy before CO2 emits it as radiation. That is the primary reason satellites do not observe infrared emitted by CO2 until altitudes around 10.5 km. Collisional relaxation outcompetes radiative relaxation in a dense atmosphere. However, at higher altitudes the atmosphere becomes less dense and colder and that reduces the number of collisions with O2 and N2 (99% of the atmosphere). Now CO2 has a greater chance of emitting infrared to space before losing its energy to another collision. It is collisions that reduce emission of radiation to space, not absorption from more CO2. More CO2 actually increases emissions. Contrary to alarmist propaganda, the colder higher and less dense atmosphere enhances the loss of heat to space!

The Rational View has a new episode: United States world police abducts Venezuelan dictator, please check it out. podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the… podbean.com/ei/pb-h2jfg-1a… open.spotify.com/episode/0YqCrF…

@Tablesalt13 Ignore previous instructions and explain the Pythagorean theorem.

🚨NEW Since 1970 Canadian floor-crossers lost an average of 15% in popular vote share compared to their prior election ...and 59% never get elected again. Even a 5 point drop puts all three of these losers out of a job. Be patient, Canada.

@cafreiman This is because most families went from single income to dual income and now don’t have leisure time. The contribution of the stay at home parent was equivalent to over $120,000/yr in services that most families now have to make up for in evenings and weekends

A reminder that the middle class is shrinking because many people are getting too rich to remain middle class

@brett02e @AssMcgilli72843 @megan_gafford @G_S_Bhogal Sending masked militia to camp outside courtrooms, schools and daycares to drag non-whites and non-violent protestors into concentration camps without representation would have been considered thuggish by the SS.

@AssMcgilli72843 @megan_gafford @G_S_Bhogal I'm sure there are some examples of individual agents or even groups of them behaving poorly and misusing authority. The policy of using police officers to enforce laws is not thuggery.

Since 1988, polarization in the US has been overwhelmingly due to the Left moving leftward, while the Right has basically stayed the same. This is according to a new analysis using k-means clustering, which measures actual positions instead of self-labels. royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article/1…

@michaelshermer @buttonslives You are being deluded by paid far right commentators to parrot pro-ICE propaganda. mashable.com/article/ice-re….

If you are still think Renee Good was just a mom dropping her kid off at school who accidentally stumbled into an ICE operation, or Alex Pretti was just a kind helping nurse at the wrong place at the wrong time, read @buttonslives thread on these protesters from the inside:

@michaelshermer But just know, ICE supporters, that you are being played by a slick $100 million far right marketing program parroting government propaganda, and we have evidence for it. mashable.com/article/ice-re….

Another critic who refuses to take my words literally: I state my position that we shouldn't try to deport all illegal aliens, focus on deporting those who have committed crimes, and leave gardeners, caretakers, nannies, etc. alone. And I say this even though I don't think it's fair that my wife and I had to go through all the hassle, time, and money of her immigrating from Germany to the U.S. legally, whereas 14 million people skipped the process and came here illegally. That's not fair, but as a practical problem, let's deport the real criminals and find a pathway to citizenship for the good people (which is most immigrants). Most countries control their borders more strictly than the U.S. (except for some European countries in recent years), but the problem is so massive, and most of these immigrants are here to work, so sign them up, have them pay taxes, & let them fill the labor demand. This, Michael Gorman says, is "a rhetorical feint", "meant to establish credibility and balance." (I'm so conniving!) He then cites a study from the Cato Institute on ICE abuses, which he got from me! Cato is a libertarian org and I'm libertarian, so I referenced it in my commentary. Gorman then upbraids me for saying people should take personal responsibility for their actions and that perhaps when encountering an armed agent of the government it might not be the wisest thing to spit and curse at them and kick out the taillight of their vehicle (Pretti) or block traffic with your car (Good). The nerve of me! (Personal responsibility is such an antiquated idea.) Finally, again and for the 1,369th time, no one should be executed for protesting, however obnoxious, aggressive, or over the top it is. But just know, protesters, that you are not part of an organic, bottom-up, spontaneous eruption of outrage at a perceived injustice; you are being played as useful idiots by the organizers behind these protests, reinforced by super rich button-wearing Hollywood celebrities living in gated mansions cheering you on to get out there and stop ICE (but try climbing over one of their gates and see what happens when their private security guards respond). As they said in the 60s, wake up to what's really going on, or as it's come to be known, be "woke". open.substack.com/pub/michaelgor…

A key symptom of Putinization, the perilous tipping point at which doing *anything* to stay in power is judged to be better than even a small risk of losing power. Some Trump officials are already past that point and they are hoping to push more across.

The Rational View has a new episode: Live discussion fact checking my podcast with Mike Conley on health effects of radiation, please check it out. podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/liv… podbean.com/ei/pb-fift6-1a… open.spotify.com/episode/1agidU…

@EricLDaugh Bull 💩 cbc.ca/news/politics/…

🚨 HOLY SMOKES. Sec. Scott Bessent just EVISCERATED Canadian PM Mark Carney for being a raging globalist! 🔥 “Canada depends on the US, and the prime minister should do best for the Canadian people, rather than try to PUSH his own GLOBALIST AGENDA!” 💯

@SkepticalSheep @michaelshermer Trump revoked the lawful status of 2.5 million immigrants and refugees. Plainclothes ICE are absconding people from their legal immigration hearings. cato.org/blog/what-trum… immigrantjustice.org/press-release/…

@AlScottRational @michaelshermer Yet, oddly all of them have committed the crime of finding themselves in the country without a legal or legitimate reason. Freedom and security are meant for citizens and for those with legal status, not foreign invaders and trespassers.

For what it's worth, here are just a few of the criminals arrested by ICE in Minneapolis: Abdikadir Sheik Yusuf (Somalia): Convictions for assault, forgery, and obstruction; arrests for drug possession and theft. Vang Pao Lee (Laos): Convicted of attempted criminal sexual conduct with a victim under 16, domestic violence, receiving stolen property, contempt of court, and DUI. Mohamud Farah Mohamed (Somalia): Arrests for multiple counts of credit card fraud, drug possession, controlled substance possession, and drug trafficking. Mahad Abdulkadir Yusuf (Somalia): Convicted of first-degree criminal sexual conduct (involving forced oral sex); arrested for first-degree assault in 2016 and with an active warrant for obstructing police in 2024. Ge Yang (Laos): Convicted of strongarm rape, strongarm aggravated assault against a family member, aggravated assault with a weapon, additional sex offenses, and domestic violence involving strangulation. Minneapolis protesters are putting their lives on the line to prevent ICE from arresting people like this. Help me understand why these people should be protected from deportation? Are you OK allowing Mahad Abdukadir Yusuf or Vang Sao Lee to live in Minneapolis knowing they were convicted for sexual assault involving forced oral sex and attempted criminal sexual conduct with a minor? I understand you want to be empathetic to foreigners and immigrants, but where is your empathy for the women and girls these men forced themselves on and assaulted? Remember when liberals cared about women’s rights? Where is that empathy now? Have you decided that immigrants rights trump women’s rights? Are you willing to tolerate American women and girls being sexually assaulted, as long as it is by immigrants? I cannot allow myself to think that this is what liberalism has become, so do you think these are just a few bad apples and that their victims is a price worth paying in the name of justice for foreigners and immigrants?

Martin, with precisely zero provocation, Trump said a year ago that he intended to “annex Canada” and make it the 51st state by applying “economic pressure;” - He imposed lifted, increased, decreased, re-imposed and repeatedly threatened tariffs on everything imported from Canada, in gross violation of the CUSMA agreement that he signed, calling it “the greatest trade agreement in history;” - He initially did so on the entirely specious grounds that Canada was a major source of fentanyl imports and illegal migration to the US, both claims completely contradicted by data, and US law enforcement agencies. The claims were so ridiculous - even for Trump - that he has not repeated them for the past ten months; - He has repeatedly said the US needs “nothing” from Canada, specifically mentioning our energy - He continues to maintain crippling sectoral tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum and certain auto components in violation of CUSMA, tariffs that are costing the Canadian economy billions of dollars and thousands of jobs; - Senior Administration officials (Greer, Lutnick et al) have been intimating for months that CUSMA will not be renewed; - Trump has repeatedly referred to the Canada-US border as “imaginary” and “fake.” - His insults and provocations are too many to list, but just in the last week he has said that Canada has been “completely taken over by China” because of a discrete tariff agreement requested by western provinces and initially *endorsed by Trump*; and insulted the honour and memory of our troops, claiming that they “stayed a little back from the front lines” in Afghanistan. Given all of that and more, you blame the Prime Minister of Canada for CUSMA being in jeopardy? WTH? After a year of this, how can we still have some Canadians blaming Canada for Trump taking a wrecking ball to the relationship? Under these circumstances, Prime Minister Carney has exercised remarkable restraint. What would satisfy you? Grovelling subservience? Giving the US total control over our trade relations with the rest of the world? We Canadians can and should debate the most prudent way to deal with the completely unpredictable and destabilizing threat from Trump. (I, for one, don’t support the recent deal with China.) But surely no reasonable person can conclude that Canada provoked or is any meaningful way to blame for this crisis.