James Heaney

@NateSilver538 What if the #1 seed also runs a polling institute, e.g. Marquette next year?

If a #1 seed falls 10 points behind any school that runs a polling institute at any point in the game (Siena, Quinnipiac, Marist) they should just be eliminated IMO.

@Marcute22 Use lists! Lists are still chronological!

Longtime users are frustrated with X because it no longer works the way it used to. Back in the early days of Twitter, your reach was simple and direct. If you had 5,000 or 10,000,20,000 followers, your posts were delivered to them in real time. It was a true chronological feed—your tweets showed up in the order you posted them, and your audience actually saw your content. The “old” Twitter (pre-2016) was built around that real-time experience. Your voice reached the people who chose to follow you, without interference. Today, that’s no longer the case. X relies on an algorithm-driven, engagement-based feed, meaning even your own followers may never see your posts unless the system decides to prioritize them. That shift—from a guaranteed audience to an unpredictable algorithm—is why so many longtime users feel frustrated and disconnected.

@StuffForSisters As a survivor of 16 years of Catholic school, I love it. I took the kids sledding on Sunday. In March! My body was unready.

As someone who was raised Catholic, I'm tired of all this snow and cold weather.

Hegel is an affront.

Everyone's dragging this but I'm a Thomist and we've been asking this same question for twice as long. The fact that Quine exists makes my eye twitch. Frankly how dare he.

@straczynski Thanks. (And thanks for all your writing over the years, of course.)

@BCSWowbagger No, it's me.

@straczynski There's a writer on Substack who claims to be you, responding to a YouTube drama. I have heard it suggested that this writer is an imposter who has taken your name. Is this true? Or is this your new Substack? And will there be more posts? Thx jmichaelstraczynski.substack.com/p/a-few-words-…

@Swamp_Fox_1776 @SouthernKeeks @baseballcrank I do. It is demonstrated to the Ents that (1) someone IS on their side and (2) one side will kill them but the other will not. Doesn't pertain here.

@BCSWowbagger @SouthernKeeks @baseballcrank You of course realize how the LOTR turns out.

@Swamp_Fox_1776 @SouthernKeeks @baseballcrank youtube.com/watch?v=7F9R5g…

@SouthernKeeks @baseballcrank Time to pick a side you support, one would think. Otherwise it starts to smell like you aren’t really with us. Is the good the enemy of the perfect?

@PhotobombingC @allie__voss @InezFeltscher I do believe this is one of the most ancient and enduring filial duties, part of "life's bargain" (for those who believe in a contractural model of virtue) from roughly 10,000 B.C. until 1936.

@allie__voss @InezFeltscher No child should ever have to take care of their parents - no matter their political views. Not part of life’s bargain.

“I don’t want to take care of my parents”: heartless, unloving, immature “Oh I forgot to mention: they have the wrong political beliefs”: stunning, brave, principled, basically Rosa Parks

@StuffForSisters Veronica Mars, if they still have it. The first season is one of the great seasons of the early golden age. The second season is fine. The third season is bad. The fourth / reboot season is... aight. Only Murders In The Building is dumb fun.

I've subscribed to Hulu for a month. Any recommendations?

@SeanTrende @Nolan_Mc I think you should still mind your P's and Q's, just in case: (1) the llm is secretly sapient (2) Roko's Basilisk

@Nolan_Mc I found myself saying "please" and "thank you" and then I made myself stop because I didn't want to become one of those weirdos who thinks their AI is their best friend or God (i will remain a different kind of weirdo thank you very much!)

Am I supposed to thank Claude after he answers one of my questions?

@asymmetricinfo Maybe there are PE models that don't care about the long term? Maybe some PE would rather get cash out now and invest it in ETFs at 7% instead of getting by with a business that earns a steady 4% annual profit? Dunno. I just know PE wrecks a LOT of businesses with a future.

@asymmetricinfo I dunno, man. I had a dozen people in a room last week trying to figure out what the hell happened to Ellucian, and the *only* theory we could come up with was that PE bought it and decided to extract as much as it could from customer lock-in until Workday killed it.

This is sometimes true (in media for example) but in media, it's a product of the alas probably correct analysis that there is no long term. For assets with long term prospects you lose money by gutting them.

@RandyEBarnett Isn't this argument just legislative history, with all the usual problems legislative history creates? The drafters had a phrase and changed it. They could have done so either to clarify the meaning or to change the meaning, so the original phrase by itself sheds no light on OPM.

Chuck Cooper is an eminent conservative lawyer and Federalist Society mainstay. Has the intellectual challenge to the contemporary “conventional wisdom” about “birthright citizenship” been mounted too late to prevail at the Supreme Court?

@conor64 Why #2? I've received no new information about Ms Harris. Trump falling even further below the basement of minimal accessibility does not raise her retroactively to that basement. (I didn't vote for either.)

When the person you supported does a bunch of things that you didn't expect and that horrify you, 1) you should have regrets! 2) it should make you wonder if you also erred in your assessment of the alternatives.

@X_Fan_Dan25 Incredible to me that Big East Pope is a #5 seed.

Every year I trade in the flowchart for the bracket before the BET, so here it is: The 2026 Big East Drama Bracket, capturing significant events/storylines in Big East Twitter this season. Who wins and what did I miss?

@HHH_Report @michhuan It seems like a very levelheaded move to have taken Selzer Iowa seriously. Some people lost their heads over it, but it moved me from about 55% Trump wins to 50%, which still seems right. Thing to remember is Selzer had published insane results before *and was always right*.

@michhuan On the one hand, he’s a fantastic forecaster. On the other, I remember him taking the final Selzer 2024 poll seriously (even at the time, EV data suggested Selzer was very badly off the mark), and that pushed him to be wrong about the most impt. political event in recent years

Top ranked forecaster predicts “all humans dead or obsolete” in seven to sixteen years (~2033-2042) due to AI

@itsallstraw Now that Marquette won (!), this chart predicts that will be the #8 or #7 seed, depending on who else wins. Not bad!

@itsallstraw Well, if you tell me who you think's going to win I'll tell you the seed order.

I'm going to ask my son, whose profession involves programming computers, to read this. I certainly cannot! @BCSWowbagger

I was using ChatGPT for legal advice and it decided to completely hallucinate some preposterous nonsense about how growing wheat to use on my own farm somehow constitutes interstate commerce