
BC Toby
5.3K posts

BC Toby
@BCToby
The only difference between science and screwing around is writing it down - Alex Jason
British Columbia, Canada Katılım Haziran 2019
141 Takip Edilen321 Takipçiler
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Interesting. I interpret this as "we can't raise rates until inflation kicks in and our data indicates that were kinda f'd the next few years so let's pretend to hold it low on purpose."
Bloomberg: Bank of Canada Signals No Rate Hikes Until at Least 2023.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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@sciencegirl Don't get it. I just take out bread, twist bag with one hand and place bag over twisted end back in the fridge.
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@SirTobi28 I played all the top games. This should have been one of the awards at the very least. Incredibly well done. Personally, I didn't find Claire obscure 33. That enthralling and had far far FAR more fun playing Kingdom come Deliverance. 2!
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Unfortunately @MarketManiaCa wildly exaggerates & 50% of the time is dead wrong on the facts
Blocked him years ago
Couple of things about Bank Loan Losses
- when it comes to credit cards 29% interest rates allow for big arrears
- Mortgages are the biggest loan book & may never get past 50 BPS Default
- A loan book's Credit Losses never occur all at once 1% of total loan may take 5 years to Default
- The vast majority of Credit Losses also have Recovery: houses get sold, inventories get sold, Consumer Proposals pay back 70% of debts
It doesn't happen the way people think it does
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RBC holds $1.1 TRILLION in loans.
With 🇨🇦 delinquency rate near 1%, that’s about $11 BILLION in loans already at risk of default.
But instead of preparing, RBC is doing the opposite:
Their loan loss provisions dropped to $881M, down from over $1.1B last year. even as delinquencies surge and PoS spike across Ontario.
They’re growing their loan book, cutting reserves, and inflating short-term profits… while long-term risks explode beneath the surface.
🎥 Full breakdown by @MarketManiaCa on his Youtube channel.
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For the record referring to a subsystem as the "root cause" of the AWS outage is by definition not a root cause. 🙄 #amazon
cbc.ca/news/world/ama…
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@hmacbe The faster these companies can integrate AI into many of our day-to-day tools, the sooner they can reap the rewards over their competitors. I think people will still be needed but humans will not be able to keep up with the speed at which AI can do certain tasks for them.
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@hmacbe I can see increased revenue from big and small companies needing AI for many day to day tasks. Having AI to rapidly do advanced formatting and rules and spreadsheets and documents can save huge amounts of time. Right now the big 7 know this and are starting to charge accordingly
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this AI expenditure needs to earn a very decent return on investment or several large companies will cease to exist because of this mania. So far, nobody has articulated how and when the returns will appear.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
AI CapEx spending is skyrocketing: CapEx as % of operating cash flow for the largest AI spenders hit a record 72% in Q2 2025. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 2 years. Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, and Oracle now deploying more than double their pre-2022 average CapEx relative to operating cash flow. CapEx spending by hyperscalers is estimated to hit a record $433 billion in 2026. That would be 174% above the $158 billion recorded in 2022. CapEx is adding fuel to the fire.
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@RichardDias_CFA IMO the Bond vigilantes are always there, it's everyone else that just forgets about them until the scales need to re-balance again.
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@StephenPunwasi In China the government can "compel" any Chinese company to hand over private encryption keys should they choose to. They also have significant regulations and compliance required when using keys(key use is monitored). 😬
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@CandiceMalcolm Read the thread, was really eye opening to have light shed on such a different perspetive from what was aired. Can any one point me to some other recent examples of this caliber that would objectivly support the argument to overhaul the CBC?
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@RichardDias_CFA @Dave_Eby I think dovetailing off of Trump's windmill comments is probably a poor choice to promote his 5000gw BC Hydro green energy initiative here.... When it's almost for sure not going to be wind based at all. But he was really just blathering on about clean energy IMO.
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@RichardDias_CFA @Dave_Eby At what point did he say we're mostly wind here? My take on the video clip was that he was just saying we support clean energy producers in BC which tracks perfectly with your chart. 🤷♂️
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@Dave_Eby David Eby is lying to British Columbians. Electricity generation was virtually all Hydro. The rest are a fart in the wind.

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@pftq @veritasium Sure, it can depend on the planet and gravity. The problem with this " problem" is that there are a lot of assumptions that need to be made to answer this question. Gravity, wind, height between levels, egg thickness, mass, etc.
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Google used this to screen engineers. It looks simple, but it broke candidates.
We answer it in our newsletter tomorrow, so sign up now👉veritasium.com/newsletter?utm…

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@SnarkyTrader I put a lot less weight on consensus nowadays... If you look at the chart you can see that by 2017 / 2018 things are already leveling off. On top of that they were at historical lows... When you look at the long game the only way is up from there..
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You know what will shock the #vanRE housing market? Rates going up instead of down. Many sellers have never been in a bear market and hope to wait things out while until the BoC drops rates. Rates going up will be a real(i)ty😉 check and potentially trigger a round of drops.
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