BrownJesus

@sentdefender They will keep hitting oil infrastructure until saudi and GCC decide they will ally with china for security. China will ask in term for Naval base and eventually petroyuan. this is a strategic blunder that is gambling US influence in region

According to Israel’s N12 News, during trilateral negotiations between the U.S., Pakistan, and Iran, the U.S. proposed a partial release of frozen Iranian funds and the end to the conflict in exchange for a 20-year freeze on Iranian enrichment, the removal of all enriched material from Iran, and toll-free navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

@esaagar the play is oil pressure on china via its allies in Africa Asia SA will cave before Saudi GCC caves. if Iran keeps hitting gcc infrastructure to damage their long term capacity they will all make deals with china to fill the security umbrella void that means petroyuan.

The US Military is claiming that any vessel en route to Iran will be subject to "interception, diversion, and capture" this would include ships owned by China and India If this occurs we will be in a full blown diplomatic crisis with these nations

@firasmodad This is the next play after the US squeezes China oil supply chain. China takes chip dominance.

This is huge. China may yet get Taiwan without firing a single bullet.

@ProfessorPape blockades lead to wars

Within 10 days, parts of the global economy will start running short of critical goods After 30 years studying economic sanctions and blockades, I don’t say this lightly: --Not just higher prices --Shortages. Markets are not ready for this

@War_Radar2 China has a strong reserve 1.2 billion

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump Gives BIG Shock to China According to reports, China will be hit hardest by the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz ordered by Donald Trump, as nearly 60–80% of Iran’s oil exports go to China. Any disruption in the Strait could directly impact China’s energy supply and send shockwaves across global markets. A single chokepoint, massive global consequences.

@DropSiteNews They are collapsing. Look at actions not words. Russia sent second tanker. US wants to stop Lourdes SIGINT spy on US.

🔹NBC: Trump says Cuba is on the verge of collapse. Is it? 🇨🇺 President Díaz-Canel: That narrative appears whenever tensions rise. What country could endure decades of blockade and pressure and still function? We have not collapsed. We have universal healthcare, free education, and strong social programs. Yes, conditions are difficult, but the country remains organized and functioning.

@araghchi @ryangrim I firmly believe US-Israeli-Sunni Axis launched war to dismantle supply chain of Eastern axis powers before china could project naval power to control supply chain in Persian Gulf Red Sea, Venezuela, Cuba. Eliminating places where yuan may avoid dollar sanction regime.

In intensive talks at highest level in 47 years, Iran engaged with U.S in good faith to end war. But when just inches away from "Islamabad MoU", we encountered maximalism, shifting goalposts, and blockade. Zero lessons earned Good will begets good will. Enmity begets enmity.

@willchamberlain next phase of this is already in motion. in 72 hours Israel will do what they finally want go all out on the remaining nuclear targets. Iran will knock out more GCC energy targets. By May crude > 145. China will restrict diesel jet fuel sulphuric acid to chile & drc mining etc

There’s a really obvious tension between “Iran had a fatwa on nuclear weapons, there’s no reason to think they would have built one” and “Demanding Iran give up uranium enrichment is a non-starter, even if you offer to provide them already-enriched nuclear fuel.”

@willchamberlain JFK was Boston Irish. You don't get cold south of Boston

“JFK was far more cavalier about security than you are! What are you, some kind of wuss?”

@EricWillison1 @HealthRanger @dangambardello sorry change trillion to billion and billion to million

@EricWillison1 @HealthRanger @dangambardello China SPR 1.2 trillion US SPR 415 billion Japan SPR 475 billion China is ready for this war

This is the Gulf of America, packed with supertankers racing to load up on US oil. Record exports. Global energy demand is shifting directly to 🇺🇸 Economic boom incoming. Paying attention…

@AlexanderSoros Hungary back in western orbit is an energy power play. Russia oil and gas control over EU weakened further.

The people of Hungary have taken back their country! A resounding rejection of entrenched corruption and foreign interference. 🇭🇺 🇪🇺

@DropSiteNews Hungary being lost to Russia is a good thing for US interests and further weakens their energy hold in EU as hungary has chokepints in key russian and turkish pipelines. I beleive US sent vance to campaign with Orban to sabotage him and flip Russia biggest ally /UN vote possibly

🇭🇺 Viktor Orbán Defeated, Bringing Down One of Trump and Israel’s Closest EU Allies 🔹Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s authoritarian prime minister and one of Donald Trump’s most loyal global allies, conceded defeat Sunday after 16 years in power, as opposition leader Péter Magyar’s center-right Tisza party took a commanding lead. 🔹With over half of precincts counted, Tisza stood at 52 percent to Orbán’s Fidesz at 38 percent. Orbán called the result “painful” but “clear.” Turnout was the highest in Hungary’s post-communist history, with nearly 78% of eligible voters casting ballots. 🔹Magyar is a former Fidesz insider who broke with Orbán in 2024 over a government corruption scandal. He ran on a platform of Christian-conservative politics but without what he calls Fidesz’s corruption — promising to restore EU ties, unfreeze billions in EU funds, and bring Hungary back into Western institutional norms. 🔹On Israel, a Magyar government would likely mark a shift from Orbán — who Netanyahu has called “a rock”: 🔸 Magyar is expected to reverse Hungary’s withdrawal from the ICC, which issued an arrest warrant for Netanyahu — before it becomes permanent on June 2 🔸 Hungary has been the sole EU member blocking sanctions on violent West Bank settlers; Magyar may lift that veto 🔸 Orbán repeatedly blocked EU joint statements condemning Israeli strikes, forcing the bloc’s foreign policy chief to issue them in her name alone — that firewall would likely end 🔸 Magyar is expected to distance himself from Netanyahu personally, while maintaining ties with Israel more broadly

@HealthRanger @dangambardello Assume he is adding venezuela heavy crude

@dangambardello You're kind of stupid, aren't you? Look up how many million barrels a day the U.S. produces versus consumes domestically. That is, if you can read numbers at all.

@araghchi US fears dedollarization and wants oil priced in dollars. US has 500B barrels China 1.2 Trillion. This has potential to be drawn out struggle in iran to force a petrodollar

@WhiteHouse China oil pressure. Sell gold

"Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz." - President Donald J. Trump

@ryangrim China next move take taiwan to close semiconductor gap. US has restricted semi tech to china.If invasion happens it means china thinks they cannot self produce from ASML engineers Shenzhen. This industrial city needs oil US is effectively embargoing CCP semiconductors

C'est la guerre

@ryangrim Western acquisition of tiktok was a pure power play.Powerful tool acquired from china for oil.Understanding now much better why china is fast tracking autarky in supply chain.China determined to end bully economic regime enforced by sanctions on payment systems they control

@ryangrim Total war not any one president.They follow script spit out by supercomputer.Some diverge from script slightly but the system always spits out optimal iteration incorporating new data.Less data=less optimal.Disinformation is meant to confuse eastern bloc AI.

@ryangrim Bitcoin co-opted by US to track demonetize eastern payment regimes.Over time having to transact in USD instead of yuan/btc will be a anchor to chinese growth.CCP GDP 77% of US right now.Convergence expected 2040s.Original expected 2020s.West made successful interdictions