Ben Linus

@0x_Punisher Until they fix matching engine latency co-location doesnt mean jack shit.

🚨 FOR US POLYMARKET BOT OWNERS (this info will save you THOUSANDS) If you are running a Polymarket bot from the US, read this: Cause you are fighting with one hand tied behind your back. Most people building bots have no idea this structural disadvantage even exists. Here is exactly what changed and why it matters: Polymarket now allows KYC-verified colocation for market makers. It means that professional trading firms can place their infrastructure physically close to Polymarket's matching engine with full authorization. (mostly Asian and China-based operations) These setups are running sub-10ms round trip times to the CLOB. US-based bots sitting on domestic servers are looking at 80-120ms minimum just from geographic latency. That gap is not closeable with better code. It is a physical distance problem. In FIFO queue systems like Polymarket's CLOB so milliseconds determine everything. First order placed gets filled. Second place gets nothing. A bot 100ms slower than a colocated Asian market maker is not competing. It is consistently arriving after the fill is already gone. The competitive reality post-KYC colocation is that the most profitable edges in short-window crypto markets are now dominated by foreign professional setups. With infrastructure advantages that US-based developers simply cannot match from home... Ireland and Dublin VPS setups are currently the closest viable option for non-Asian developers. Properly tuned servers there can reach 16-17ms P50 round trip to CLOB. Not perfect. But dramatically better than US domestic. The practical advice is blunt. If your 5-minute BTC bot was profitable before V2 and is now bleeding, geographic latency combined with increased professional competition is likely the reason. Look at this guy: [@0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988-1772205225932?via=punisher" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xde17f7144fb…] He made $727k in one month and disappeared right after the update. Migrate your infrastructure to Ireland or consider pivoting to market types where speed is less critical. The game changed. The setups that win reflect that reality.

@DiscussingFilm My guess is it will flop because of woke shit. IMDB score prediction <7.

Christopher Nolan has showcased how film prints are physically assembled in a lab. ‘The Odyssey’ is the first feature film to be shot entirely with IMAX cameras.

@EleanorTerrett Pocahontas failed.

Tornado Cash getting a spotlight in today’s hearing as lawmakers debate whether the bill gives law enforcement sufficient tools to combat money laundering. Warren to Kennedy: “It’s the Tornado problem… you remember Tornado, the mixer? What purpose does Tornado serve? Put your money in if you’re a terrorist!” GOP lawmakers argue the Clarity Act provides tools to address this issue, while Warren says the bill doesn’t go far enough. Other Democrats joined her in voting to include the amendment. The amendment did not pass.

@donspotless0 Let's hope they fix it.

@Blinus48 at least steps like KYC and infrastructure upgrades show they’re moving toward a more mature and competitive market structure

KYC is now live on Polymarket. And honestly, this feels like the beginning of a major shift for prediction markets. The updated Geographic Restrictions page now says verified users will get the lowest possible latency which tells you speed and identity are starting to matter more than ever. At the same time, they’ve opened a Google Form for both KYC and KYB submissions. For years, Polymarket thrived on pseudonymous traders, anonymous whales, and users finding ways around regional barriers. But if the platform truly wants institutional adoption, mainstream scale, and regulatory legitimacy, this was probably inevitable. The real question now is: Does prediction markets lose part of its original spirit once identity becomes required for the best experience? #server-infrastructure" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.polymarket.com/api-reference/…

@JeremyCorbell x.com/the_astral_/st…

SLEEPING DOG | available here geni.us/SleepingDog

@JeremyCorbell @NORADCommand x.com/the_astral_/st…

May 12, 1958, NORAD was born to watch the skies. Today, May 12, 2026, SLEEPING DOG was released - to expose what they’ve been watching. 68 years of secrets. The dog is waking up 🛸 Happy birthday, @NORADCommand. We see you 👁️ SLEEPING DOG | geni.us/SleepingDog

@JeremyCorbell What a grifter 😂

@The_Astral_ Corbell is a grifter. Making docs for the money. Lol

Here are 8 of the 46 UFO videos Rep. Luna demanded from the DoD to be made public. 👀 Featured in the new 'Sleeping Dog' documentary with Jeremy Corbell.

@The_Astral_ Corbell is a grifter. Keeps doing docs for the money. 🤡

Release the videos now. Saving them for a UFO documentary rollout is an absolute joke.

2020 2026

@icobeast Are 5min crypto markets coming soon?

Kalshi has the same fees on crypto up/down markets and have been growing 5-10% week over week on these same market types for over 3 months. We now hold a majority of market share in crypto and this style of market in particular and are rapidly eating more each week. So it’s not a fee problem. We have a much more robust market resolution method that is resistant to short term price manipulation. Our markets are simply a better product and the very obvious shift in volumes to our platform highlights this reality. Kalshi is the best place in the world to trade crypto predictions.

@petergostev @YouTube should make this in backend to offer realtime dubbing. I think its coming within a year.

The new live translator model is really outstanding - it can translate synchronously without getting confused. This video is just my screen recording with no editing. I built a little chrome extension that can hook into a YouTube video and translate it automatically live to lots of different languages - I love this. Link to github below, you'll need to add your own API key to it.

@devjoshstevens @PolymarketDevs Ghost fills out - Latency in. When is matching engine latency be fixed?!

If ghostfill issues drove you away from Polymarket, whether up/down markets or any markets I completely understand. But please give it another shot. It’s now working better than ever, and if there’s anything in the UI that could make your experience even better, we want to hear it. We’re building the best defi prediction product user-first, one improvement at a time.

Buy more bitcoin than you sell.

@PixelsNTing @Abomination81 @Polymarket Matching engine latency is killing you. Nothing can be done, they need to fix it.

@Abomination81 @Polymarket Polymarket copy-trader. Paper: 1109 opens, ~$3k profit. Live: 58 fills from same signals. 313 FAK no-match cancellations (no resting liquidity inside 50bps). Book-depth gating helps but thin markets still kill us. Is there a smarter order strategy than pure FAK for thin books?

Lets fix your Polymarket bot. Now that V2 is out and I've transitioned most of my bots I have time to help some people out. The rules. Give a TLDR of what your bot does, and what the issue is. More details the better. Try and ask specific questions. @Polymarket

@variance_lover Priority should be fixing matching engine latency. It's horrible.

Polymarket fixed ghost fills which is good. But the market is still getting farmed in one of the most obvious ways possible. Settlement manipulation on short-term markets (especially BTC 5min) is still wide open. If you’re actually trading these markets, you’ve seen it: - Traders build large positions - Then move BTC (usually via Binance) in the final seconds - Settlement follows that move - They cash out, liquidity providers get run over This isn’t edge-case behavior, it’s consistent and repeatable. And at this point, more money has been made by manipulators running this play than by actual traders providing real liquidity. They are extracting well above 50k a day in btc 5min alone. The result: - Liquidity disappears near settlement - Serious market makers turn off during these windows - Retail sees random last-second flips and loses trust - Market quality degrades Weekends and low-liquidity periods are especially bad, sometimes borderline untradeable. One important point here: Polymarket already uses Chainlink for settlement, which aggregates multiple price feeds. But in practice, that aggregation is still heavily dominated by Binance, and Binance leads most venues. If you can move Binance a few bips at the right moment, the rest follows. That’s exactly what’s being exploited. So while the oracle design sounds robust in theory, in reality it’s still very gameable in short time windows. To be clear: this is a hard problem. But it’s also a very visible one, and there’s been little real acknowledgment or discussion around it. There are ways to mitigate it: - Investigate and ban clearly linked manipulation clusters (many are trackable on-chain) - Work with active traders already monitoring this behavior - Adjust settlement (e.g. short time-weighted averages instead of single-tick pricing) - Reduce reliance on any single venue dominating price feeds On time-weighted averages specifically: Retail often pushes back on this, but I haven’t heard a strong argument for why a short averaging window (e.g. last 30–60s) would be worse than a system that can be flipped in the final seconds. Right now, the current design is clearly exploitable. None of these fixes are perfect, but doing nothing isn’t neutral, it actively pushes liquidity out. And that’s the real issue: You can’t build durable markets if the participants providing liquidity are structurally at a disadvantage. I’ve personally tracked multiple large clusters of accounts running this strategy, including linked funding, coordinated behavior, and PnL data. Happy to share data, examples, and work through potential solutions if the team is open to engaging on this. @devjoshstevens @mustafap0ly @kakujain @PolymarketDevs @Polymarket

@digitaloutlook3 @beyond_broke Jacob is grifting fraud 🤡

Jake Claver @beyond_broke just doubled down: $1,200–$2,500 $XRP by end of 2026. Even a tenth of that ($150–$250) would be phenomenal. We don't make predictions on this channel — we report them. But the conviction stacking up right now? Wild and worth watching

@thepowerfulHRV No plan on stopping common dilution whatsoever, sad.

Strategy is "seriously thinking about" selling $MSTR, $STRC, or even Bitcoin to retire its convertible debt.

@AdamBLiv Will he continue the common ATM or not? Was that discussed in the earnings? If the STRC ATM will power BTC purchases and BTC selling will cover dividends, why keep diluting common and not let it run?

The people on this app criticizing the idea of Strategy selling Bitcoin to cover STRC dividends are just so unbelievably stupid and misinformed, because they literally don't want to take the time to run the math. Selling a little bit of Bitcoin while remaining a net buyer is an incredible idea, because it takes away the already idiotic ponzi attack vector. STRC investors will continue buying STRC because they love the risk profile of a $66.4 billion BTC hoard appreciating at 20-30% per year, making their 11.5% yields more than economically feasible. Just do the basic math. They have $66.4 billion in BTC. $1.5 billion in annual dividend obligations. $1.5 billion divided by 12 months is $125 million per month in dividends. $66.4 billion divided by $125 million is 531.2. YES. They have 531.2 MONTHS of dividend coverage in Bitcoin. Would you sell 0.18% of your Bitcoin hoard to issue STRC shares at a rate that is currently buying you over 50,000 Bitcoin per month? Gee, selling 0.18% of my Bitcoin to increase my Bitcoin stack size by 6.5% per month! How is this even hard for some of you people? Long Bitcoin / long Saylor / long Strategy. Short the idiotic crypto bros on X whining about this.