bobby austin
92 posts


@marks1356 @fatbaldguyracin I agree with you. Something was going on. No way 17 of 19 horses regressed. There’s no way Renegade should have closing 1/8 over 25 seconds? Weird
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@fatbaldguyracin the track lookes deep on the rail and listed as fast but the times all day were not fast at all for the class. But lets go with your dumbass analysis.
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@TobyCur09754854 @DailyRacingForm I don’t get it either? According to the Beyers, like 17 of the 19 horses regressed. I understand longer race and different track, and Renegade ran amazing,, but didn’t seem like he had his burst he normally has. He should have easily been under 25 final 1/8. Weird??
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@DailyRacingForm Beyer numbers have always been and will always be flawed! Beat a bad field and get a high Beyer. Lose to a good field and get a lower Beyer. They want you to believe a Belterra Park Beyer and a Churchill Downs Beyer are equivalent. If you believe that, well, good luck.
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@Clonestar85 @DRFGrening Hope he doesn’t run in Preakness. I’m sure the Derby took a lot out of him. Give him a break.
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@DRFGrening Renegade will be a strong favorite if he runs. Danon Bourban will be a strong contender as well.
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@TonyTheodore1 @racing_dudes I didn’t see you mention every other horse that Renegade blew by? Commandment, Wallabee, Further Ado. Did 16 of the 18 runners regress?
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I thought the Japanese horse was gonna blow this field away at the top of the stretch the same way the 8 did. The Computer guys were all over these horses. I picked the wrong one in the futures for the Derby. Renegade was really the only one I was afraid of. He regressed, even though it was a great effort.
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Working on an article/video this week diving into some wild Derby stats…
Golden Tempo’s 95 Beyer (I believe) is the LOWEST ever recorded for a Kentucky Derby winner.
Even crazier: he lost last out to the horse who finished DEAD LAST in the Derby.
Not taking anything away from Golden Tempo—but something didn’t add up. No way this entire field was THAT slow.
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@racing_dudes Everything made sense. The trainer for 6 Speed said I don’t care how fast another horse is trying to get the lead,, we are taking it. Other need the lead horses. This equals benefit for Closers. Surprised Albus didn’t get a piece. Easy Cap race.
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Golden Tempo stole the Derby… but that’s not the whole story.
- Renegade nearly got it done from the 1 hole.
- A MAIDEN had the lead deep stretch… and held 3rd.
- 23-1 winner from last.
Nothing about this race made sense.
👉 Full recap, race quotes, videos, and Preakness plans:
racingdudes.com/golden-tempo-s…
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@belgium420 @Cosmideus Well, how much money is enough and when do you need it by? 100,000 Hbar is around $9000. 9 cents. 2035 possibly $5-$10. So, 9 years, which major adoption would have to happen. At $10-100,000 Hbar $1 million enough for you?
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@Cosmideus for the none wealthy people do you think if they have 10-25k hbar they have enough ?
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@_hederian @hedera Along with all the other major companies,, now Accenture. HBAR has meetings in the Oval Office. Hmmm I’ve used Hbar. Super fast. I’m investing with the companies who don’t lose. Good luck
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Newer ppl to @hedera / coming from other networks miss that $HBAR token appreciation is not proportional to utility growth. When it FINALLY decouples from rest of crypto it will capture value slowly and structurally. Not explosively. I wish ppl would stop focusing on HBAR price.
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@_hederian @hedera I know a little about a lot of things. And I understand currency and the people controlling it and the world. The biggest corporations own the world, they pay the government money to get what they want. If Major corporations are investing in something, I’m going with them.
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@HenryDembski @racing_dudes I agree. The Racing Dudes are awesome and luv there show. I watched there podcasts and they even said they thought the pace would be fast. How could you not take a deep closer? Simple handicapping.1st,2,3rd deep closers.Good shows tho guys
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@racing_dudes What was hard to figure out? Knew six speed was doing 1:10 setting it up for two best closers on two best bred horses with maybe two best jockeys
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@talbotj344 @RenCarothers You can watch a bunch of horses,, but I’m most excited to see Crude Velocity. Wow!!
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@RenCarothers I have watched the Derby a dozen times by this morning and I can glean two things. 1) Golden Tempo had a tremendous run down the stretch and ridden exceptionally. 2) Although Golden Temple won, Renegade ran the best to get 2nd. 3) Watch Mott’s horse in future. ✌️
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@Tinky47flat Why didn’t Renegade lose all chance when he was squeezed and almost bumped over the rail? Just like Mike Repol said “no excuses “
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The first three finishers were far, far back in the early and middle stages of the race. The only other in that rear group was Albus, which unfortunately he lost all chance at the start, after being badly bumped and squeezed.
I haven't analyzed the race seriously yet, but my quick interpretation is that we are almost certainly going to see some different results in the remaining two Classics.
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@pawluk_michael A lot of horses got bumped! Believe me, I wanted Renegade to win soo bad. Had $200 on him Derby Pool 1(48-1) A few years ago I had Epicenter at 150-1(frickin Rich Strike) Is what it is. The better horse won today.
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@MattBrownM2 @Somobomb18 Betting horses is the same as betting any other sport. When you put your original bet in, and the odds change to your benefit, it’s called value. (Example, I bet Renegade in October at 48-1 he went off at 5-1) Value. Lost. But did have Forever F at 12-1 BCup had Justify at 75-1
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You people that bet horses regularly are sick in the head (cc @Somobomb18 )
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@fatbaldguyracin I know the first quarter was a little quick, but I thought the same as you. 46.50 just average.
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@MattBrownM2 I know a little bit. What would you like to know?
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@stoolpresidente @RepoleStable Oh no Dave. My heart sank watching Renegade fight back like that. He got crushed at the start then flew home. So close. That one hurts bad. You okay after it? Tell me. What race does he run next? I want to root for him too.
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Renegade got demolished out of the gate and then for all the world looked home. Just brutal. @RepoleStable may be cursed in this race. Can’t even put into words how tough that beat was. I know the ice cream and don’t feel bad for me photo is coming but that was devastating
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