Jim Smith BHWeather.com

February 2026: Very wet (again) with more than twice the normal rainfall, and very mild. Full details on my blog at bhweather.com

@afcbpodcast Think we'll lose this. West Ham always seem to find a way against us these days.. usually through a very marginal or wrongly applied VAR call. They also came very close to beating a bang-in-form Man Utd side a couple of weeks ago. Not relegation form ATM. Hope to be wrong.

West Ham have improved, but fans remain agitated. ❌ Still in drop zone ❌Recruitment under fire ❌Crap stadium youtu.be/1vtxnC3wMZc Simon Jordan says #whufc fans are "crazy" to be expecting better. Is he right?!🤷‍♂️ And can Bournemouth make their problems worse? 😳 #afcb

@afcb_J To have a chance, we need to break that Brentford hoodoo week after next. They always seem to beat us these days.

I genuinely believe this is our best ever chance to sneak into Europe. Everton are in a false position. Brentford are in a false position. 7th & 8th will be conference and europa. Is this our season? #AFCB

@PaulBlight6 Indeed. Part of Harewood Avenue is flooded to a depth of up to several inches. I've never seen that before in 50 years.

@BournmthWeather Awful figures Jim truly awful ! 232% !!

Current rainfall for this year still running at more than twice the normal levels - 232% as of today and it's still raining. The average for whole of February is 64.8mm, this month 109.8mm, so almost twice the normal rainfall with 10 days still to to go

@peacockreports already 25mm since midnight here, 20.2 since 0900.

Had the low split away eastward more quickly, a cold air undercut from the northeast would have brought snowfall to quite low elevations. Instead, it may be that snow doesn't get below 200 m or so ASL. The far south of England may see 15-20 mm rain - very unhelpful!

Seems the southern scenario that the Met Office favoured isn't going to play out tomorrow. The low spends a little too long interacting with the one just west of Ireland, which causes it to move northward while wrapping in less cold air from the southeast. Tight margins matter.

@Met4CastUK @MATTYWOLVES3 Indeed. Everything right except (for coldies in the UK) everything shifted too far east by maybe 1500km.

Teleconnections performed as expected this winter. Pressure anomalies for winter show a south shifted jet and lots of blocking. What teleconnections can do is give you a broad idea of expected patterns, going into winter blocking was more likely than normal and zonal patterns were less likely than normal, that has come very much to fruition. What they can’t do, and what people like you seem to ignore either deliberately or through ignorance is telling you what weather will be doing in X location. In terms of teleconnections, long range forecasts on the broad scale have been spot on. Regionally, i.e the UK, is always going to be more difficult and impossible to pin point detail.

After all the hype. The promises. The precipitation GFS charts. It’s a Welsh hills & Peak District snow “event”. One day some might learn not to take precipitation GFS charts so literally! More rain for most ☔️

@NathanSSFC_NUFC @Met4CastUK Once in the last 40 years here.

@Met4CastUK How do you know ? It often snows at beginning of march

🚩 🚩 🚩 Winter is *probably* over now.

@pooleweatheruk @JakeGru79480243 @Met4CastUK True. But it’s always in fantasy land. Always 10 + days away. Never gets closer. Not seen a single flake of snow this winter and I’m not expecting to now.

@JakeGru79480243 @Met4CastUK Quite a cold signal in the ECM ensembles

@MATTYWOLVES3 @Met4CastUK Rude. You obviously haven’t read is explanation of what his red flags actually mean.

@Met4CastUK Red flags ffs! Are you a life guard or something? Those red flags need shoving sideways up your rear end!

@liamdutton Wettest Jan day this century here, and the resulting flooding. Also the run of air pressure remaining < 1000hPa (bar a short spell of a few hours) since late on 20th Jan, and looks set to continue till at least Thurs. As I said in my blog on my site, quite unusual for down here.

After a dry and cold start to January, it then turned persistently wet and often windy, leading to saturated ground and flooding in some parts of the UK. What was the most memorable aspect of the weather for you this January?

JANUARY WEATHER STATS Whole UK ☔️rainfall 17% above avg 🌡️mean temp 0.5C below avg ☀️sunshine avg ▪️wettest Jan on record for Cornwall & County Down ▪️2nd wettest Jan for N. Ireland ▪️6th wettest Jan for S. England ▪️ 3 named storms - Goretti, Ingrid and Chandra

@PaulBlight6 @RoostWeather Jan record (this century) 198.2 in 2014. Mean here is 83.4 (probably a little higher once this year is taken into account.) My records go back to 1996, but at this location from 2000 after I moved.

@BournmthWeather @RoostWeather you got over the 200% mark though, and that must be close to your jan record ?

January was a very wet month across many parts of the UK . We should have more complete data by Monday , but early suggestion Anomaly Maps from @RoostWeather Dan Harris show big anomalies from North to South. Hurn near Bournemouth we ended up at 231% of the norm . Plymouth , Boscombe Down and Hurn all at around 230-240% of normal. (some figures are clearly not available yet) Figures on the right 09Z 1/1 to 09Z 1/2 Whitebarrow on Dartmoor seeing an absolutely stonking 22 Inches of Rain, or 550mm of rain. Princetown and Other Dartmoor Gauges seeing 16-18 Inches of rain. Aldnerney Near Poole/Bmth Border receiving 9.2 Inches of Rain or 230mm . These figures must be close to the wettest January on record in parts of Dorset. @peacockreports @RoostWeather @BournmthWeather

@SnowbieWx @kevirlam @ChadWeather @GavinPartridge I lie... we had some in 2009. That was the last February proper covering of snow. The 2018 snow/freezing rain-storm was on 1st March.

@SnowbieWx @kevirlam @ChadWeather @GavinPartridge Last February snow here was a sprinkling in 2018. There was so little of it that it sublimated overnight. I *think* that is the only instance since the Valentines Night snowfall of 1994.

The startling stat is that I have recorded just 1 day of lying snow under Met Office rules during February this decade so far for my location. @ChadWeather @GavinPartridge @SnowbieWx #loveukweather

@GavinPartridge always at Day 10 and beyond!

No livestream today but we are back in business with our ten to fourteen video updates; Turning Colder Around Day Ten Perhaps? youtube.com/watch?v=55Oqxx…

< and looking at fcast charts, v likely to remain so till at least Thurs. This looks set to be the longest period of such low pressure this century. More on bhweather.com later when I update the blog

January - 2nd wettest this century with 176.6mm - 211.7% of the normal for Jan. Temps slightly up on average - mean 6.7°C (+0.5c). A note about the air pressure.. since 21st Jan, the barometric pressure has been below 1000hPa almost continuously (bar a few hrs max 1001.4) cont>

@patriciaasmit16 Yes, Zhongyi showed Alice's pics on FB earlier! Not a surprise, to be honest, I could see how high the water was last week.

@BournmthWeather We are cut off Jim. A tree down and flooding on the lane.

35mm of rain overnight (over an inch and a half). Expecting to hear of a lot of flooding locally. The bulk of the rain has now cleared, the threat of showers remains.

@PaulBlight6 237% Need to go through my numbers at some point and see what the wettest month was in % of normal terms. Never done that.

@BournmthWeather yes def on track for 200% i reckon. what is your Jan 2014 %

maximum Gusts (aside from mountains) 81 mph Orlock Head 76mph Isles of Scilly 74mph Plymouth 74mph St Bees Head 67mph Berry Head Rainfall has been extreme . 28 hrs from 09z on 26th to 13Z on 27th , 107mm at Whitebarrow , 74mm near ottery in East Devon. For the month, Whitebarrow now on 18.64 inches for the month , the area in the SW and south above 8 inches has now expanded up towards Salisbury Bournemouth now on around 174mm or nearly 177% of normal, with more rain expected we are likely to end on around 200% of normal, Why reservoir levels in the SW are quite so low is quite baffling.