This Guy Chux

@GaetenD Do you pronounce it "toe-muh-tom-it-errr"?

I'm not sure when they added a live Tomatometer score to the RT markets but I hadn't noticed it before today. Nice addition!

@goldenpants013 @Sports__Proj Any tips for a Kalshi bot that continuously trades the 15 minute bitcoin price up or down market? My bot has been running for about a month and seems to have a small edge. Just looking for any non-obvious insights into order book dynamics.

Looking for some questions for tomorrows podcast. Will be me and @Sports__Proj riding solo. Got a good main topic and some juicy news, we just need some spicy questions to top it off

@RWM21 @CDCNewswire Maybe don't offer such exploitable games.

Focus on WGPC: Fraudsters are gaming casino comp systems – better surveillance can help stop it cdcgaming.com/focus-on-wgpc-… via @CDCNewswire

@GaetenD Sportsbetting is definitely not -EV by definition. There are plenty of people who beat those markets using a variety of different approaches.

Five things to make 2026 my most profitable yet: 1. No sports betting: fun but -EV 2. No financials: same 3. Better bet sizing: Going bigger when I'm more certain and smaller on low N data sets. Failed at both of these frequently in 2025 4. No long breaks 5. No withdrawals

@isles589 @GaetenD Just ask an LLM how what advantage play is and how it applies to promotional offers from online sports books and casinos. Ask why it's technically not considered gambling

@ChuxGuy @GaetenD what the hell are you talking about

Finally. For the longest time, I've wanted to play on DraftKings but I hate sportsbooks and gambling.

@dsfence64 @GaetenD Maybe you should focus on things you like instead of things you don't like.

@GaetenD Yes, and you need to make risky bets each time. Might as well just buy treasuries at that point

I've seen people divide earnings by trade volume to get a return a couple of times now but that doesn't make any sense. Would you calculate a stock portfolio's return by dividing the earnings by the trade volume, or by the account balance?

@jonbryson93 @goldenpants013 @willshawison @Sports__Proj @BookieBeats1 @pickifyai Please provide public Kalshi account for verification

@goldenpants013 @willshawison @ChuxGuy @Sports__Proj @BookieBeats1 @pickifyai Update: We took this seriously. Just audited the logs on our last 607 picks to establish the baseline before we integrate: 63.2% Win Rate (Blindly betting every single output). Devs are spec-ing out the integration now. See you on the leaderboard. 🤝

Looking for some questions for tomorrow's episode of the podcast. We will have an insane amount of news to cover along w/ a good topic - but still looking for some listener questions for me and @Sports__Proj . Leave them in the comments - and thanks everyone who asks a Q.

@goldenpants013 @Sports__Proj @BookieBeats1 Oh, got it, thanks, I've always just been a casual listener without ever really attempting serious betting.

@ChuxGuy @Sports__Proj To be clear GP Picks+ is totally shut down. But I will answer this question w/ regards to a top down alert system I know has had some success - @BookieBeats1

@GaetenD fml, I girl bossed too close to the sun

Holy shit. Somebody knew something that we didn’t.

@GaetenD That's hilarious that Moana 2 being shitty is your biggest win. That movie was an injustice to the Moana franchise. I guess it was originally supposed to be a series but got morphed into a movie

Thanks to the 43Y Truthers for allowing me to add another $5k on top of the earlier winnings. So close to my biggest win ever, but Moana 2 being shitty will continue to hold that crown.

@goldenpants013 @RWM21 @Sports__Proj Wow congratulations for landing this legend on your pod! You know you've made it when you hit this milestone

New Episode w/ @RWM21 just dropped. It was an honor for myself and @Sports__Proj to have Richard on. We are both HUGE GWE fans and he did not disappoint on this podcast. Quite possibly the most electric bayesian update of the week yet along with incredible stories & advice⬇️