Hunter Anderson

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Hunter Anderson

Hunter Anderson

@ColdCoreCowboy

Meteorologist who enjoys CC500Ls, Lapse Rates above 8°C/km, Isoplething, & Analogs. Opinions = mine & not employer's. SCSU AHS | Job 36:26-30 | Married to K.

Formerly KMSN|KD25|KSTC ➜ KMSP Katılım Ocak 2015
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
Normally don't do a post like this, but wanted to say happy 27th birthday to my (Twitterless) wife, Kristin.☺️ WAIT, did I mention we got married?! This was back on Sept 14th...😅 I want to prioritize my marriage, so I'll remain less active on SM. Much love to you all🙏💙
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Kyle J Gillett
Kyle J Gillett@wxkylegillett·
Coming to an Iowa Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference near you this Saturday.... Storm interactions impact storm behavior and we may be beginning to unravel why. I'll share some preliminary findings from my Master's work at UND that investigates this relationship!
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
The vertical wind profiles are certainly supportive of robust low-level mesocyclones & copious streamwise vorticty magnitudes. For you tornado junkies, I'd be concerned with the "inverted-V" thermal profile, albeit shallow, as this could support stronger RFDs/cold pools.
Connor Croff@ChasingWConnor

The highest tornado threat today may actually be across NW PA and NE Ohio. Several cams not limited to the HRRR suggest storm development here and the more tornadic wind profiles reside in this region. Hopefully someone targets this region because I certainly will not be lol.

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Cameron Nixon
Cameron Nixon@CameronJNixon·
Anyway here's a map of all EF2+ tornado soundings for select locations across the U.S.
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@webberweather Correct, you didn't, & shame on me for assuming...but I believe there needs to be established strong verification first before worrying about public consumption & building trust. All of that needs a basis or foundation, which I think yields greater importance.
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Eric Webb
Eric Webb@webberweather·
@ColdCoreCowboy Strawman. I didn’t say that weren’t both important, but if you can’t sell your forecast to the public, and they can’t make informed decisions and take action from it, what good it is then?
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Eric Webb
Eric Webb@webberweather·
Idk who needs to hear this but, how you message/“sell” your forecast is arguably more important than how your forecast actually verifies. If mets like myself, let alone the public can’t fully understand it, then clearly you’re doing it wrong.
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Ethan Moriarty
Ethan Moriarty@EMoriartyWX·
Sláinte my fellow Irish descendants.
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@armchaircast @oldscarf1stweek I would offer the same response to the previous. Area impacted/area forecast perspective there's a chance it verifies "well", but from SPC definition of a "high risk" (numerous tornadoes with numerous EF2+) it would not.
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maybe: k*rk
maybe: k*rk@oldscarf1stweek·
I’m curious if DC meteorologists, and meteorologists and forecasters in general, value a forecast verification over the public perception of your message, and is forecast verification > public assessment of risk communication.
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Logan Giles@LoganGilesWx

From a forecast perspective you can’t call this a bust. Numerous gusts over 65 mph with the strongest gust for DC since 2012, 68 mph. From a people perspective it was and that’s what the public will remember it by. The risk had messaging of storms bad enough to cancel school

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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@oldscarf1stweek It's okay to disagree here too, I enjoy playing devil's advocate, I was merely QT'ing my favorite arguement to this (-:
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maybe: k*rk@oldscarf1stweek·
@ColdCoreCowboy Yeah that’s fair, i think my wording here could’ve been much better, nuanced
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@armchaircast @oldscarf1stweek Couldn't have worded this better myself. As for the Kankakee event, if the parent supercell produced 1 long track EF3+ tornado vs 10+ tornadoes (objectively verifying a 15%) I still would've considered it strong verification...but I'm also a human prone to inconsistencies (-:
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Armchair Forecaster
Armchair Forecaster@armchaircast·
@oldscarf1stweek @ColdCoreCowboy ... So there is definitely a need to account for both. Personally, I lean more on objective metrics because I don't trust human perception of risk to be objective or consistent through time. (For example, schools used to not close for an ENH risk, now it seems it's commonplace).
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@oldscarf1stweek @ben_williams_wx The SPC's wind (tor) forecast verified great (poorly), but because they've done a great job with their tor forecasts, the public's trust & perception shouldn't be negatively impacted. If consistent verification didn't exist first, then there's no basis for public consumption.
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maybe: k*rk
maybe: k*rk@oldscarf1stweek·
@ben_williams_wx I think to some folks forecast verification matters more than public perception and I’m not sure why
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@oldscarf1stweek @armchaircast (Personally, I value verification > public assessment. Naturally, if you're verifying forecasts well & consistently the public trust & improved perception should follow.) If you as a forecaster have no basis to begin with, then why should public trust & value your product?
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
@oldscarf1stweek I wanted to put 60%+ contours in the Mid Atlantic but @armchaircast only allows up to 220 vertices 🥲 (Need to adjust how carefully I trace the E coast I guess)
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Hunter Anderson
Hunter Anderson@ColdCoreCowboy·
Feeling content so far with my wind-driven high risk (I would've put CIG2 if those were an option). #ArmchairForecaster
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Michael Marz
Michael Marz@MichaelMarz1·
5 years ago today - 3/13/2021 - a tornado near Plainview, Texas
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Keşfet

@wxkylegillett @CameronJNixon @MatthewCappucci @webberweather @EMoriartyWX @armchaircast @oldscarf1stweek @elonmusk