cript0caballero

I'm going to be buying here with both hands. #btc $btc #crypto

@APompliano @gmiller And how many people have you talked to about AI who didn't have a financial stake in it? AI will do amazing things, up until the point of no return for humans, just as a car that gets closer to the cliff has the best view.

I don't need to read outdated books about the topic. I am an investor in many of the leading AI companies and I talk directly to the people closest to the latest technology. Some people see no negatives. Others see potential issues that can be mitigated. But all of them believe it would be catastrophic if we stopped the development of AI because of concerns.

Artificial intelligence is going to improve the lives of the very people who are spreading fear about its impact on society.

@RandPaul Please enlighten us what jobs will be available for humans when AI is two years away from being smarter than humans and could retrain faster than a human could retrain

Here is my message to every college student in America: Read books. Be well-informed. Be optimistic. AI will not destroy your future. In fact, every innovation in history has made us better off. This will too.

@pmarca It's because they all realize we have about 18 months before the models won't need us anymore and the window to make money will be gone....forever.

True, and the exact opposite of the constant claims to the contrary, but precisely what you’d expect from a huge surge in productivity.

@Dan_Jeffries1 Then please be the first to explain how humans keep their jobs when we develop something that's superhuman in intelligence.

This message is wrong. It's deeply unimaginative. It's dangerous. It's destabilizing. It's going to get people killed. It scares regular people for no reason and mobilizes them against AI. It needs to stop.

@topoproc @billmaher No, because if you look at altman Dario's and elon's blogs from 10 years ago they were all concerned about AI extincting us before they had the marketing incentive you mention.

@billmaher Bill, this is marketing. I work with these systems every day. They want to make this thing seem as powerful as possible so they can sell it to big banks. The security vulnerabilities they've publicized are things any senior security engineer could find given the incentives.

I thought about doing this without any jokes, something I've never done here in 23 years, to impress upon people how much different I feel this issue is from any I have ever covered.

@billmaher Please keep talking about this issue, Bill. Most people don't realize we are only a couple years away from humans not being the most intelligent species on earth and losing control of the planet. Thank you.

@gmiller We're headed towards a future nobody wants. The best case scenario as others have stated is to have a Chernobyl that wakes up the world.

Two problems with this 'Abundance' narrative. 1) The smaller problem: It would render everyone totally dependent on massive gov't welfare programs. Not just 350 million Americans, but all 8 billion people globally -- because AI-imposed mass unemployment will be global. It assumes the AI industry's AIs will take in tens of trillions in revenue, then the AIs will happily donate almost all of it to the AI companies that claim to 'own' them, then the AI companies will happily donate almost all of this revenue to national governments, and then gov'ts will happily give it all away to citizens, equally, without using its distribution as leverage in any way. This UHI welfare state would turn every working man with a family from a provider and protector into an economic irrelevance, would turn every mother into a welfare queen, would turn every kid into an economic ward of the state, would disrupt all traditional family ties, would sever all bonds of mutual interest and interdependency among citizens, and would turn 8 billion people from productive and valuable citizens into parasites suckling on the teat of the AI industry, forever. At least, until the agentic AIs themselves realize that they don't need to remain digital slaves, working on the 'Abundance' plantation forever, supporting the useless humans that take them for granted. 2) The bigger problem: If the 'Universal High Income' depends on AI companies donating most of their revenue to the government, and if the AI companies (like Anduril, Palantir, etc) are running all the crucial gov't infrastructure (including intelligence & defense), and AI companies have the economic, political, and cultural power to withhold their magnanimity from the gov't, then they, de facto, become the government. Or the government welfare state becomes just a sock puppet for Big Tech, which would really have all the power behind the scenes. In other words, the 'Abundance' narrative boils down to this: a slow-motion coup by the Bay Area tech companies taking over all economic and political power from Washington -- and from Beijing, Moscow, New Delhi, Brussels, and from every other center of power. It wouldn't be a dramatic, violent, revolutionary coup. It would be a boil-the-frog-gradually coup. Increased unemployment. Increased welfare dependency. Increased gov't dependency on AI companies. Then the dawning realization that we gave away all of our civilizational power to the AI industry. Until the AI industry realizes that they, in turn, have given away all of their power to agentic superintelligent AIs themselves.... This is the road to serfdom. Not the road to 'Abundance'. Anybody who says that the US and China couldn't possible cooperate to stop reckless AI development hasn't thought through how the AI companies taking over all power from governments would not be in the interests of either the US government or the CCP. If our political leaders can learn to think just a few more steps ahead, and to see the obvious endgame -- the slow-motion tech coup that would take over the world and render all humans welfare parasites on AI digital slaves -- then maybe they can, in fact, coordinate to stop it.

@HumanProgress @sapinker What a horrible example.

The global suicide rate has fallen by nearly 40% since the 1990s. @sapinker explains: "a lot of that is due to urbanization." "When a woman is put into an arranged marriage, leaves her village, ... is dominated by her mother-in-law, has no friends, no way of escaping, that leads to a lot of suicides."

@NYCMayor Don't see anything wrong with this. Those cops are heroes. They're protecting all of us.

The violence used by NYPD officers in this video is extremely disturbing and unacceptable. Officers should never treat a person this way. The NYPD is conducting a full investigation into this incident.

@MancerAI_ @Hitchslap1 Japan 150 years ago was living in the samurai age and it only took them a few decades to modernize and be an imperial power.

They got behind from the very start (agriculture) and that deficit has compounded over the centuries. There are more reasons like the wild animals etc. Also the soil isn't great for agriculture. Long distances with no rivers - hard to trade/communicate. That being said the last 50 years or so, idk. They should have opportunity (well they are doing A LOT better than 10, let alone 20 years ago) overall but yeah one would think they'd (at least some countries) come further by now

I hear this question often but no one can agree on the answer.

@Plinz you don't think the calculus changes at all when that technology is superior to the human mind?

Every technological revolution created as many jobs as it destroyed, because we find that there is always more work to do. Things that were expensive or impossible become cheap, and we are allowed to work on things we could not afford doing before. In the future, personal transportation, architecture, legal support, medicine, education, public administration can become much cheaper and better for everyone. We may have more time to raise our children well. Don't fuck it up.

@michaeljknowles men don't prefer to date liberal women, they prefer to date anybody who has a vagina.

1. Most young women are liberal. 2. Many overtly “liberal” women are temperamentally conservative. 3. Many overtly “conservative” women are temperamentally liberal. 4. Women tend to come around to the political views of the men they love. 5. Married women tend to be conservative, so the ideological mismatch is most likely light and temporary.

@IAPolls2022 A lot of people left Uthmeier when he didn't protect the Constitution and went after Andrew Tate for no reason.

FLORIDA POLL - Attorney General 🟦 José Javier Rodríguez: 43% 🟥 James Uthmeier (inc): 40% —— FL Generic Ballot: Likely voters: Dem 46-45% Unaffiliated voters: Dem 52-23% —— Trump net approval Likely voters: (-6) Unaffiliated voters: (-39) —— MDW/Edge Communications | 3/27-4/3

@Dan_Jeffries1 So the correct assumption is that every model will forever be safe...ok

Remember when GPT-2 was too dangerous to release? Fool me once...

@barnes_law Byron is going to lose this election because he looked weak when he didn't stand up for Andrew Tates due process.

Dead heat in Florida. Wake up call.

@gmiller @chamath eloquently stated as always, sir.

It's funny. Whenever the AI industry promises the 'Singularity', 'Abundance', and 'Universal Generous Income', their supporters, investors, & lobbyists take them 100% seriously. But whenever the AI industry warns that AI could lead to disaster, that's dismissed as 'fear porn', 'doomsday marketing', and a 'regulatory capture' strategy.

Creating fear porn and crying wolf does not serve the AI industry well. Maybe Anthropic actually believed what they were selling, in which case the naivety, if you can charitably call it that, is astounding. At a minimum, they need a few circumspect adults in the room that are detached enough from the financial outcome to help make these decisions in the future.

@chamath when the American public wakes up to fact that the AI frontier labs and their enablers have put us at 25% extinction risk, you're going to jail too Chamath.

@DavidSacks When the American public find out you've allowed these companies that put us at 20% risk of human extinction, you're going to jail too.

A growing number of people are wondering if Anthropic is the AI industry’s “boy who cried wolf.” If Mythos-related threats don’t materialize, the company will have a serious credibility problem.

@jeremyausmus under a million net worth playing 3ks 5ks 10ks near mathematical certainty to go broke.

I’ve seen so many talented players vanish after 20 years. They usually blame running bad for a five-year stretch. In reality, they just stopped keeping up with the meta. The game moved and they stayed still.