(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman

(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman

@DCSureshAnalyst

Political Analyst | Data-Driven Insights | Analytical perspectives on Cricket | https://t.co/w6hlvjgg2a | https://t.co/9wZwpiQmt6

Washington DC Metro Area Katılım Temmuz 2024
277 Takip Edilen270 Takipçiler
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
It is ok sir. We are not doing surveys or polls. It is only our gut feeling with anecdotal evidence that we are going by. Except for a very few, no one else predicted this. The key is to have some humility whether your prediction becomes true or not. You have shown that on multiple occasions. So, keep doing what you are doing no matter what people say. #TNElections #TNElections2026 @tnrags
T.N. Raghu @ TNR@tnrags

தோல்விகரமான தோல்விதான் :-) I had no clue! Sorry 🙏

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
This election proves yet again that 1 + 1 is not equivalent to 2 in electoral politics. Both DMK alliance and AIADMK alliance arithmetic has gone wrong. Electoral votes are not basic algebra. I did mention this on your CIC event @sumanthraman sir as part of my question. Full disclosure -> I thought the DMK+ would win 140 seats. I was wrong as well. #TNElections2026 #TNElectionsResults @tnrags
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman

What a colossal result!! Admit clearly that I honestly did not see this coming. Congratulations to @actorvijay for a stunning perfomance.

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Let us see how our predictions measure up with the reality.
T.N. Raghu @ TNR@tnrags

ஒரு #Elections2026 prediction video shoot செய்தோம். Editing delay ஆகி விட்டது. Here are our predictions Suresh Kalyanaraman: DMK to form government & not more than 18% for Vijay TNR: DMK to form government & Vijay above 20% Sid: Hung assembly Note: If Vijay crosses 18%, Suresh is sponsoring lunch for us at ITC Grand Chola. If he doesn’t, we will congratulate him. Dear all, have fun on the counting day; let’s hope for a more prosperous Tamil Nadu! #Elections2026 #TamilNadu @DCSureshAnalyst @Sidprabhakar7

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Religion has no role in politics. It is a very slippery slope to use religious sentiments for political dividends.
T.N. Raghu @ TNR@tnrags

🔴 Churchக்குள் விஜய், விஜய் என்று ரசிகர்கள் கத்துவது அநாகரீகம். 🔴 Christian குருமார்கள் pulpitஐ திமுக propagandaவுக்கு பயன்படுத்தியது அநியாயம்.

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
It all depends on what is the final vote percentage for @TVKVijayHQ and how they approach 2029. RSS/Modi/Shah continue to believe that he is a @INCIndia supporter. They are waiting for 2028/2029 to see if that is validated and asserted (if @actorvijay stitches an alliance with Congress). Then, they will start their games. Let us see how Vijay handles that. Till then, let us all enjoy the conversations. Finally, TN has moved away from discussing AIADMK internal issues (OPS,EPS,Sengottaiyan,Gurumurthy) on a daily basis to Vijay and TVK and that is a very good thing. #TNElections2026 #TNElections #TVK #DMK #AIADMK #BJP @tnrags
Adv Rabi@ucanreachrafi

It’s clear that Vijay isn’t merely pulling from the BJP/RSS cadres; he’s drawing support from every demographic, including all religions, castes, women, and anti-DMK voters. If this trend continues and his interest in politics remains genuine ( must educate followers), his trajectory resembles that of Jayalalithaa’s(anti-DMK). Unlike Kamal/Vijayakant if he stays committed to policies that resonate with the people of TN, he is positioned to eventually replace the ADMK. Over the next few elections, we could see the ADMK collapse, with its base shifting to either the DMK or TVK. Provided he puts in the hard work, he has a bright future in politics. Just as Delhi handled MGR, JJ, and KK, it will leverage him for its own political needs 🤷‍♂️ ☕️ @DMKITwing @ADMKofficial @TVKVijayHQ @_ITWingNTK

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Nothing. He survived the 2024 LS exit poll non sense. He will survive this as well. People need to tune out these “so called” exit polls or ask tough questions to these pollsters on how they have arrived at their numbers. None of this will happen. Life goes on for everyone as we are a forgiving society.
Latha Srinivasan@latasrinivasan

#TNelections - the big question is what will @AxisMyIndia boss Pradeep Gupta do if their exit poll is wrong for Tamil Nadu? #DMK #AIADMK #TVK #congress

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Irrespective of the results, @INCIndia will break away from @arivalayam Rahul Gandhi is hell bent on losing 2029 to PM Modi. If Mamata loses WB, it will become easier for @BJP4India to win in 2029.
Latha Srinivasan@latasrinivasan

#DMK #Congress sources also say that if congress doesn’t break off DMK alliance, some congress members could join #TVK. Thought now among many congress members is they should have gone with #TVK reportedly

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Irrespective of the results Vijay will continue on the political arena for 2031. But he will act in the next 4 years to further consolidate his support among youth, women and so on. Some of the popular movie personalities will slowly start moving towards him in the next few years in the run up to 2031. His alliance formation for 2029 will determine his chances for 2031. #TNElections #TNElections2026 #VijayFactor @tnrags
T.N. Raghu @ TNR@tnrags

Do you think Vijay will never be able to politicise his fans? @WriterRavikumar

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Even they have gone wrong. But they have a better reputation than others. That is all to it.
Mr. Democratic@MrDemocratic_

Axis My India & C Voter These are the only 2 agencies that conduct Election related fieldwork and have people on their side, so I consider them Authentic. Other than these are fake, just making guesses. Apart from Pradeep Gupta and Yashwant Deshmukh, no other agency's words carry any weight in this field.

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Yes. AxiMyIndia exit poll numbers are suspect and questionable and so are Nagarajan’s analysis and his numbers. They both have inherent bias inbuilt on their seat projections. Those who know, know. #TNElections2026
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman

Just got this analysis done by Psephologist S. Nagarajan on why the @AxisMyIndia exit poll for Tamil Nadu is likely to be 77% inaccurate. Statisticians and Data Scientists, your opinions please. in.docworkspace.com/d/sbCaejoceoZR…

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(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman
(Washington DC) Suresh Kalyanaraman@DCSureshAnalyst·
Exactly @sumanthraman sir. That is what I have been saying ever since his poll has been released. You look at his own data, it does not validate any of his assertions in terms of seats or vote percentages. BTW, this is just one of his errors. If you look deep, there are more. I will talk more about this on Saturday. #TNElections2026 @tnrags @Sidprabhakar7 @venkata_ramani
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman

This makes no sense. If you under represent or over represent any group the final numbers will be skewed too.

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Keşfet

@tnrags @sumanthraman @TVKVijayHQ @INCIndia @actorvijay @arivalayam @BJP4India @ashokrts