Douglas Lain
36K posts

Douglas Lain
@DougLain
Dissident Marxist, writer & YouTuber. Head of @sublationmedia. Author of Bash, Bash, Revolution Patreon https://t.co/VFXCzs9VbV [email protected]

Trump lashes out at Europe and NATO this morning, calling them "cowards" for not assisting the US in opening the Strait of Hormuz.

Even in a post-conflict scenario, Iran’s ability to threaten and intermittently disrupt the Strait of Hormuz is unlikely to disappear. This is not a temporary wartime tactic, but a structural feature of Iran’s strategy. Over time, the Strait risks evolving into Iran’s version of a controlled chokepoint ("Iran's Suez canal") —where Tehran can impose recurring economic and political costs on global shipping and energy flows. Much like a coercive toll system, Iran would retain the ability to selectively escalate, signal, and extract leverage even without full closure. Absent a fundamental change in Iran’s regime or strategic posture, the challenge in Hormuz is not solvable, it is manageable at best.

Modern democratic politics assumes a literate population. In the US, literacy peaked around 2014 and has been sliding since.jacobin.com/2026/03/politi…



Timothée Chalamet's offhand jab at “dying” high culture sparked celebrity outrage. But without robust public investment and democratic ownership, opera and ballet will keep shrinking into elite pastimes instead of surviving as vibrant public art forms. jacobin.com/2026/03/ballet…

The affluent often blame poverty on bad budgeting skills, claiming the poor just need to be taught financial literacy. But working-class people require living wages and a functioning safety net, not condescending lectures about money management. jacobin.com/2026/03/povert…

News flash from the future: Even a blockade of Kharg Island would not force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This (yet again) reflects a persistent misunderstanding of Iran’s strategic doctrine. For Tehran, control over the Strait is not just economic leverage—it is a core component of regime survival and deterrence. Under pressure, Iran is more likely to escalate than concede. Reopening the Strait would likely require one of two extreme options: either regime change, or a large-scale military campaign to seize and secure the waterway. Such an operation would take months and still wouldn’t prevent Iran from disrupting traffic through asymmetric means. There is no silver bullet to the Iran problem. The regime will hold onto Hormuz the same way it defends every pillar of its survival—with persistence and escalation. If reopening the Strait is the strategic objective, policymakers should recognize the cost: a prolonged, high-intensity conflict, and likely retaliation against Gulf energy infrastructure. #Ira



The way the left has moved from “real socialism has never been tried” to “the socialism we had in the 20th was amazing, and the socialist countries still out there like Cuba are great, so we should be like them” over the last decade is fascinating.

When class antagonisms become undeniable liberalism goes into a crisis, its entire capacity to be effective is upset because as an ideology liberalism is about keeping class conflict covered over. Its two planks of covering over are there is no class, only personal failure or group pathology. These planks are extremely sticky ideological anchors that capitalist market dominated societies rely on to re-route and obfuscate social reality.



Hello, hello, EU In a scathing message, Trump practically announced a complete break with NATO: "Without the US, NATO is a paper tiger. ... They complain about the price of oil but don't want to help open the Strait of Hormuz. They are cowards, and I will always remember that.."

‘While Iran had previously threatened to close the strait, the western official said, “they never knew [they could] until they tried it”. ‘“Now they know, and it’s pretty effective,” the official said. “The risk is they will keep holding the world hostage.”’

In this case I do not think the collapse of the US empire will result in any significant global chaos. China is already the world’s largest economic power and a weighty force for global peace, trade integration and economic stability. The US isn’t leaving a vacuum.


Trump’s gamble in this game of chicken: others have much more to lose and little to gain in refusing to give way. Staring down his opponents, he won’t be the one to blink: he is making commitments for America and the world to last for decades to come. sublationmag.com/post/fear-itse…




