Dr. Orivan

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Dr. Orivan

Dr. Orivan

@DrOrivan

Thinking through the 2nd, 3rd, and nth-order effects of the AGI/ASI revolution.

United States of America Katılım Şubat 2026
25 Takip Edilen25 Takipçiler
Path of Men
Path of Men@PathOfMen_·
How to be attractive as a man: 1. Get a haircut every 2 weeks.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
@PathOfMen_ But being broke at 40 starts at 30! It’s not too late, gentlemen.
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Path of Men
Path of Men@PathOfMen_·
being broke at 30 starts at 20
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Dan Go
Dan Go@CoachDanGo·
Society has become so sedentary that a 20 minute walk is now considered exercise.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Assume AGI by ~2027 and humanoid robots everywhere by ~2032. Not asking which jobs can’t be automated. Which jobs will society insist remain human — even if robots could technically do them better? My list so far: • Professional athletes • Political leaders • Clergy / spiritual leaders • Investigative journalists (humans investigating the machines) • Influencers / creators (including adult content) • Sex workers What am I missing?
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
The real shift happening now is the volume and realism of fake content crossed a threshold where casual verification doesn’t work anymore. You used to be able to eyeball something and know. Now you actually have to investigate. And most people aren’t going to do a 5-minute fact check every time they scroll. That’s the real problem. Scary times.
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Colin Wright
Colin Wright@SwipeWright·
AI video is still detectable, for now. As it improves, it will fool an increasing percentage of people until it reaches 100%. I fear that moment isn't far off. Probably within five years. I don't think we're prepared for the widespread chaos it will cause.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Reducing life to the shape of one bone in your face is internet pseudoscience. Character, health, and success come far more from habits, fitness, and social skill than obsessing over palate width. These talking points comfort lonely men because they offer an easy excuse: “If only I had the right jaw, my life would be great.” The harder truth is that you can improve your character, your fitness, your career—and that’s scarier, because it means actually waking up early and doing the work.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Careful with the “go ghost and grind alone” advice. Relationships, opportunities, and even income tend to grow out of strong social networks. Instead of disappearing, it’s more powerful to invest deeply in community and connections while you build. The same skills that help socially also compound in romance, business, and life.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
@PathOfMen_ Drug dealers be like: ‘I didn’t drop out, I pivoted.’
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Path of Men
Path of Men@PathOfMen_·
"Drug dealers know more about running a business than 95% of college professors.” - Elon musk
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Did you know the universe has a point of no return? About 50 galaxies cross the cosmic horizon every day. After that, they are permanently unreachable. Each one contains hundreds of billions of stars. Potentially trillions of worlds. Entire civilizations we will never meet. Every day we delay superintelligence and interstellar expansion, humanity loses ~50 galaxies forever. Alien biospheres we will never study. Intelligences we will never encounter. Worlds no mind will ever explore.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
I wish more guys understood their value doesn’t come from the size of their chin or jawline. It comes from how they treat people, the kind of character they have, and the value they bring to others. Research consistently shows that when couples start as friends, a man’s physical attractiveness has little to no relationship with how attractive his partner is. In other words: spend less time worrying about your jawline and more time building a life. Join activities, make friends with women, be genuinely kind and interesting. If you’re great on the inside, the rest matters a lot less than the internet tells you.
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Path of Men
Path of Men@PathOfMen_·
this is not because of genetics btw...
Path of Men tweet media
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
If technological utopia makes all goods abundant but land stays scarce, the long-term wealth trade is simply owning land. And if Musk is even partially right about Tesla Full Self-Driving + Starlink weakening the need for cities, that investment thesis may not just be generational, it might start repricing land in the short-medium term too.
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Peter H. Diamandis, MD
Peter H. Diamandis, MD@PeterDiamandis·
@elonmusk believes FSD + Starlink may reverse urbanization in America. This is a plausible possibility... The US has <50 people per sq km.
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Are any startups working on AI dispute resolution systems? We shouldn't be trying to replace lawyers. We should be trying to replace courts!
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
A common argument against AI replacing lawyers goes like this: because lawyers effectively control the legal system, they will never allow technology to displace them. This argument assumes that legal services would have to be displaced through legislation. That assumption is questionable. Under centuries of freedom of contract doctrine, parties are generally allowed to determine ex ante how disputes between them will be resolved. The rise of mandatory arbitration illustrates this clearly: large categories of disputes have already migrated away from courts into privately agreed dispute resolution systems (i.e., mediation and arbitration). If parties can agree in advance to arbitration by a human arbitrator, there is no obvious doctrinal barrier to agreeing in advance to AI mediated dispute resolution. A contract clause could specify that in the event of a dispute, a designated AI system will determine the outcome of the dispute. Courts would not need to accept the AI's reasoning as law; they would only need to enforce the agreement the parties voluntarily made regarding how disputes are resolved. From this perspective, the question is not whether the legal profession will permit AI substitution through statute. Rather, it is whether contract law will allow markets to route around traditional legal processes when doing so dramatically lowers dispute resolution costs. If so, mandatory AI mediation clauses may become as commonplace in contracts as arbitration clauses are today.
Dr. Orivan tweet media
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
It’s getting harder to ignore how many people now believe blatantly false videos and headlines because social media is their primary news source. Deepfakes were once a warning about the future. That future is here.
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Demis Hassabis
Demis Hassabis@demishassabis·
Ten years ago, AlphaGo’s legendary match in Seoul heralded the start of the modern era in AI. Its famous ‘Move 37’ signaled to us that AI techniques were ready to tackle real-world problems in areas like science - and ideas inspired by these methods are critical to building AGI
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Who said this? “What we are creating now is a monster whose influence is going to change history, provided there is any history left... yet it would be impossible not to see it through. Not only for military reasons, but it would also be unethical, from the point of view of scientists, not to do what they know is feasible, no matter what terrible consequences it may have.” ✗ Sam Altman ✗ Demis Hassabis ✗ Dario Amodei ✓ John von Neumann
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
“What we are creating now is a monster whose influence is going to change history, provided there is any history left... yet it would be impossible not to see it through. Not only for military reasons, but it would also be unethical, from the point of view of scientists, not to do what they know is feasible, no matter what terrible consequences it may have.” Who said this? ✗ Sam Altman ✗ Demis Hassabis ✗ Dario Amodei ✓ John von Neumann
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
@curiosityonx I disagree. “Gut feelings” probably happen because your brain picks up patterns and predicts things before you consciously realize it. It can feel like you somehow knew the future, but it’s really just your brain processing information faster than your awareness.
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Curiosity
Curiosity@CuriosityonX·
🚨: Scientists suggest consciousness isn't strictly linear ─ it can jump through time, suggesting 'gut feelings' are information from the future. 🧵
Curiosity tweet mediaCuriosity tweet media
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
Roughly 70% of the world’s stored data is cold data. These are archives, backups, and logs that are rarely accessed but must be preserved. Legal records must remain verifiable decades later, scientific datasets like climate and genomics gain value over time, and societies want to preserve books, films, and journalism. Much of this lives in the cloud through companies like AWS and Azure, but the cloud is still physical infrastructure. Behind it are enormous data centers and archival systems that require land, electricity, cooling and constant hardware replacement. DNA changes the economics. DNA is the densest data storage medium, bar none. A single gram can store about 200 petabytes of data. All of humanity’s data could theoretically fit in a few hundred kilograms of DNA. It also requires zero power while stored and can preserve information for millennia. At scale, it will save hundreds of billions of dollars in energy, real estate, and hardware costs for the global data infrastructure. Today DNA storage is far more expensive than magnetic tape. But, don’t forget, the first human genome cost three billion dollars to sequence. Today it costs like 100 bucks. Biotech follows some of the fastest cost decline curves in technology. The molecule that stores the instructions for life may eventually store the memory of civilization.
Dr. Orivan tweet media
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Dr. Orivan
Dr. Orivan@DrOrivan·
We are living in a world where inequality is literally built into human DNA. People often imagine smarter “designer babies” as something far in the future. But in 2026 a quieter version already exists. It is called embryo selection. With IVF, parents can create multiple embryos, sequence them, and choose the one with the highest polygenic score for cognitive potential. No gene editing. Just choosing among embryos. Today the gain is modest, maybe around 3 to 5 IQ points when selecting from about 5 to 10 embryos. But as genetic prediction improves that gap will widen. In 2026, having enough money means you can literally have smarter children. The next generation of elites isn't just inheriting wealth from their parents. They are inheriting engineered genetic advantages before they’re even born.
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